Rickards: This is bigger than Ukraine. [Altucher Confidential] January 20, 2023 [WEBSITE]( | [UNSUBSCRIBE]( When future historians look back on the 2010s they will be baffled by the lost opportunity for the U.S. to mend fences with Russia [Hero_Image] âItâs Too Late For Americaâ By Jim Rickards URGENT: Your $557 Credit Is Now Available I am pleased to announce that you've got an immediate $557.00 credit for our research you can take advantage of⦠[Please click here immediately to learn how to claim this credit.]( **DISCLAIMER: Please note, this offer is limited to the first 1,000 that take advantage today** [Chris Campbell] CHRIS
CAMPBELL “With all the world’s attention on the situation in Ukraine,” says our colleague Jim Rickards, “I want to focus on the larger geopolitical picture involving the U.S., Russia and China.” In short, the U.S. fumbled the ball… Big-time. Jim tells all below. But before we go there, our customer service team would like a word… $557 Credit APPROVED. If you’re seeing this, it means you qualify for a $557 credit. Cassandra Fox from our customer service team asked us to extend the invitation below… Where she’ll show you why and how to claim it. To learn how to claim your $557 credit, [please click here.]( IMPORTANT NOTE: This credit opportunity is set to expire Monday at midnight. And read on. Attention! Before You Read Any Further⦠[Click here for more...]( Hey, itâs James. Before you read any further in todayâs issue, an urgent situation needs your immediate attention. If you donât plan on claiming this upgrade to your Altucherâs Investment Network subscription, youâre missing out on a huge opportunity. Right now is your chance to grab one of the biggest (and most valuable) upgrades our company has ever made to a newsletter. Iâm taking Altucherâs Investment Network to an entirely new level and Iâd hate to see you left behind. [To see how to claim your upgrade, just click here now.]( How Did the U.S. Lose Russia? Jim Rickards There’s an old saying in poker: If you’re in a three-way poker game and you don’t know who the sucker is, you’re the sucker. The idea is that in a three-handed game, two players will disadvantage the sucker by coordinating their betting and not raising each other. Eventually, the sucker is cleaned out and the two survivors can then turn on each other. The world is in a three-handed poker game today. Russia, China and the U.S. are the only true superpowers and the only three countries that ultimately matter in geopolitics. That’s not a slight against any other power. But all others are secondary powers (the U.K., France, Germany, Japan, Israel, etc.) or tertiary powers (Iran, Turkey, India, Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, etc.). This means that the ideal posture for the U.S. is to ally with Russia (to marginalize China) or ally with China (to marginalize Russia), depending on overall geopolitical conditions. The U.S. conducted this kind of triangulation successfully from the 1970s until the early 2000s. One of the keys to U.S. foreign policy in the last 50 or 60 years has been to make sure that Russia and China never form an alliance. Keeping them separated was key. Playing One Player off Against the Next In 1972, Nixon pivoted to China to put pressure on Russia. In 1991, the U.S. pivoted to Russia to put pressure on China after the Tiananmen Square massacre. Unfortunately, the U.S. has lost sight of this basic rule of international relations. It is now Russia and China that have formed a strong alliance, to the disadvantage of the United States. The war in Ukraine only intensified it as the U.S. has tried to destroy Russia economically through sanctions. One leg of the China-Russia relationship is their joint desire to see the U.S. dollar lose its status as the world’s dominant reserve currency. They chafe against the ways in which the U.S. uses the dollar as a financial weapon. Again, the U.S. sanctions have only accelerated these efforts. But ultimately, this two-against-one strategic alignment of China and Russia against the U.S. is a strategic blunder by the U.S. The U.S. is the sucker in this three-way game of poker. The fact is Washington has squandered a major opportunity to turn it in America’s favor. With the U.S. now fighting a proxy war against Russia in Ukraine, it's too late. ‘What Were They Thinking?’ When future historians look back on the 2010s they will be baffled by the lost opportunity for the U.S. to mend fences with Russia, develop economic relations and create a win-win relationship between the world’s greatest technology innovator and the world’s greatest natural resources provider. It will seem a great loss for the world. Here’s the reality: Russia is the nation that the U.S. should have tried to court. That’s because China is the greatest geopolitical threat to the U.S. because of its economic and technological advances and its ambition to push the U.S. out of the Western Pacific sphere of influence. Russia may be a threat to some of its neighbors (ask Ukraine), but it is far less of a threat to U.S. strategic interests. It’s not the Soviet Union anymore. Therefore, a logical balance of power in the world would be for the U.S. and Russia to find common ground in the containment of China and to jointly pursue the reduction of Chinese power. Of course, that hasn’t happened, and now it won't. And we could be paying the price for years to come. Who’s to blame for this U.S. strategic failure? You can start with the globalist elites… All About Getting Trump The elites’ efforts to derail Trump gave rise to the “Russia collusion” hoax. While no one disputes that Russia sought to sow confusion in the U.S. election in 2016, that’s something the Russians and their Soviet predecessors had been doing since 1917. By itself, little harm was done. Yet the elites seized on this to concoct a story of collusion between Russia and the Trump campaign. The real collusion was among Democrats, Ukrainians and Russians to discredit Trump. It took the Robert Mueller investigation two years finally to conclude there was no collusion between Trump and the Russians. By then, the damage was done. It was politically toxic for Trump to reach out to the Russians. That would be spun by the media as more evidence of “collusion.” Whatever you think of Trump personally, the collusion story was always bogus. So Russia became public enemy No. 1 because of politics. Ironically, the same people who were soft on the Soviet Union today are often the biggest Russia hawks. They're the ones who've pushed for the most aggressive action against Russia, which could potentially drag us into direct conflict with Russia. Could Russia and China Circle Eurasia? A strategic goal of the U.S. has been to ensure that no power, or combination of powers, could dominate the Eurasian landmass. But Russia and China could be cooperating to do just that, to strategically encircle Eurasia. Here’s what I mean: Much of the early exploration by Europeans of New England and the Canadian Maritime provinces was not based on a desire to settle and farm but was driven by a search for the “Northwest Passage.” This was the name given to a hypothetical sea route from the Atlantic to the Pacific somewhere between North America and the North Pole that would allow direct sea transportation from Europe and Asia without having to navigate the Cape of Good Hope or Cape Horn around Africa and South America, respectively. Early voyages up the St. Lawrence, Hudson and Delaware rivers were driven as much by the hope that explorers would find a Northwest Passage as they were by indigenous exploration. The Northwest Passage was never found. It existed on a map north of Canada, but that route is frozen most of the year and extremely dangerous because of ice and bad weather even when it is not entirely frozen. But that was then. Today, with some help from warmer temperatures, improved icebreakers and GPS navigation, vessels can now routinely make the passage. The 21st-Century Northwest Passage China and Russia are now prepared to pick up where the 17th-century explorers left off. Russia has its own Arctic passage between its northern territory and the Arctic Circle similar to Canada’s. It has also made strides in opening up its Arctic sailing routes through the East Siberian, Kara and Barents seas with connections to Moscow, St. Petersburg, the Baltic Sea and the ports of Europe. Meanwhile, China has been building a new maritime “Silk Road” around South Asia, Africa and the Middle East that would facilitate Chinese trade with countries in those regions (and, not coincidentally, enhance the operational flexibility of an expanding Chinese navy). The combination of an Arctic passage and China’s Maritime Silk Road would encircle much of the Eurasian continent by sea. That opens up potential for wealth creation (and military dominance) that early explorers could only dream. The U.S. would largely have itself to blame. Regards, Jim Rickards
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