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[The drop]( THE ELECTION DENIERS WHO COULD OVERTURN YOUR VOTE If you thought Americaâs 2020 election was controversial, todayâs midterms could make 2024 even worse. Jay Rubin from Los Angeles Time and time again, evidence shows that the 2020 U.S. presidential election was not stolen. There was no [statistically significant fraud](. Italian satellites did not [magically change votes](. Research has shown that various arguments pushed by disappointed Republicans were not even â[remotely convincing](.â Former President Donald Trump and his allies have brought[more than 60]( lawsuits, all but one of which failed because they couldnât prove their assertions in court. Yet an October study by the Brookings Institution showed that [over 300 Republicans]( on the ballot today are election deniers. Many of them are projected to win positions that will put them in charge of the very elections they claim are rigged. One can only imagine what impact this could have in future elections. Kari Lake, a former news anchor and Trump defender, is in a close race for the Arizona governorâs mansion. When recently asked by CNNâs Dana Bash if sheâd accept todayâs election results, Lake repeatedly said, â[Iâm going to win the election, and I will accept that result.](â So why arenât these elections rigged when they win? Virtually nobody, particularly in GOP primaries, has paid a political price for claiming that the 2020 election was stolen. - Kenneth R. Mayer âI think most election deniers are opportunistic, using false claims of a stolen election because there is political benefit in doing so,â said Kenneth R. Mayer, a political science professor at the University of Wisconsin-Madison. âVirtually nobody, particularly in GOP primaries, has paid a political price for claiming that the 2020 election was stolen.â Election deniers may be capitalizing on the apparent lack of confidence Americans have in elections. Christina Barsky, assistant professor of public administration and policy at the University of Montana, believes misinformation and disinformation affect citizen confidence in the democratic process. âWe are seeing some of the phenomena around confidence in elections that we see in citizen approval of Congress,â Barsky explained. âVoters feel confident in the process in their jurisdiction/locality, but not in the process in state/locality. Think, I like my representative, but I donât like Congress.â FiveThirtyEight.com [researched and reached out]( to 552 GOP candidates for House, Senate, governor, secretary of state and attorney general to see where they stood on the 2020 election. Just 77 of them fully accepted the results, with another 93 saying they accepted them âwith reservations.â These numbers mean nearly 70% of those running believe (or claim to believe) that the [most secure election in American history]( was stolen. Many have unequivocally stated they would not have certified the results. This could create serious legal and constitutional issues during the 2024 presidential election â and it makes races for governor, secretary of state and attorney general more important than usual, since those positions administer and certify elections.
Three States, 45 Electoral Votes 1
Arizona All of the Grand Canyon Stateâs candidates are full election deniers. From gubernatorial candidate Kari Lake to state representative and aspiring secretary of state Mark Finchem, and from attorney general candidate Abe Hamadeh to Senate hopeful Blake Masters, all have fervently pushed what has been dubbed âThe Big Lie.â Lake, possibly Trumpâs biggest acolyte, tends to move the goalposts depending on what question sheâs answering and what audience itâs for. Sheâs stated she [would not have certified]( the 2020 election, believes the Democrats â[have a demonic agenda](â and one of her recent campaign ads featured a far-right extremist pastor who describes Islam as âSatanicâ and likens LGBTQ people to [child molesters and murderers](. Finchem [introduced a resolution]( in Arizona to decertify votes in three counties. Heâs a member of the [Oath Keepers](, one of the so-called militias that participated in the Jan. 6 insurrection. He references âSorosâ â a hot conspiracy-theory keyword â on his Twitter feed more times than you can count, and he says he [would not have certified]( the 2020 election. Hamadeh has reportedly [lied]( about his background, [said President Joe Biden didnât win Arizona in 2020]( and [seemingly admitted to voter fraud]( as a teenager by saying he changed his motherâs ballot. He also said he would not have certified the 2020 election, even though thatâs not a responsibility the Arizona attorney general has. Masters, during a debate against Sen. Mark Kelly in October, [called Biden the âlegitimate presidentâ]( and said heâd seen no evidence the vote was rigged â while he continued to promote exactly the opposite. Arizona has 11 electoral votes for the 2024 presidential election. Biden won [the state]( by 10,457 votes, or 0.4%. 2
Michigan Gubernatorial candidate Tudor Dixon, secretary of state candidate Kristina Karamo and state attorney general candidate Matthew DePerno are key Wolverine State contenders â and are all complete deniers. Dixonâs stance on the 2020 election being stolen [has oscillated between certainty and ignorance](. Her communications director said Dixon would not commit to accepting the results in this upcoming election, since â[thereâs no reason to believe they [Gov. Gretchen Whitmer and Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson] are serious about secure elections](.â Karamo entered the wider public eye by claiming [she witnessed fraud at Detroitâs absentee counting board]( in 2020. This earned her Trumpâs endorsement. In a recently filed lawsuit, Karamo claimed Detroitâs absentee ballot counting system was so flawed [that Detroit voters should be required to vote in person](. She also wants to [roll back access to mail]( voting, and sheâs a supporter of the America Project, which encourages âcitizen election monitorsâ to [set up hidden cameras to capture votersâ license plate numbers]( and to show up to polling places âwell-armed.â DePerno is currently under investigation by [a special prosecutor]( for an [alleged plot to illegally take and analyze]( ballot tabulation machines after the 2020 election. He also [met with a top Trump appointee at the U.S. State Department]( on Jan. 6, 2021, and is considered to have played an important behind-the-scenes role in crafting the âstolen electionâ narrative. Michigan has 15 electoral votes. Biden [won the state]( by over 150,000 votes, or 2.8%. 3
Pennsylvania The Keystone State has an extra wrinkle: The secretary of state is not elected, but appointed by the governor. Gubernatorial candidate Doug Mastriano and would-be senator Dr. Mehmet Oz are both election deniers. Though FiveThirtyEight.com tags Oz as merely having raised questions about the election, his actions look more like complete denial. [Mastrianoâs victory in the Republican primary]( was unpopular with both Democrats and establishment-minded Republicans. While he seemingly didnât break any laws on Jan. 6, Mastriano was in Washington, D.C., and arranged buses to carry pro-Trump protesters there. Heâs repeatedly said he wants [to reset the voter rolls and require all Pennsylvanians to re-register in order to cast a ballot in future elections](. Thereâs one problem: It [violates federal law](. Mastriano has also stated he could â[decertify every [voting] machine in the state with the stroke of a pen via my secretary of state](.â Oz, better known as TV personality âDr. Oz,â has repeatedly stated the 2020 election was [riddled with fraud](. He was brought before Congress to testify about [hawking questionable diet aids]( on his now-canceled show, and he began his candidacy with [questions about his Turkish citizenship]( (and his explanation for why he kept it). Heâs also come under fire for [residing in New Jersey rather than Pennsylvania](, though being a non-resident [is not disqualifying](. Some worry he could become uniquely dangerous as a senator if he [chose to push pseudoscience]( like the diet aids he promoted on his TV show. Pennsylvania has 19 electoral votes. Biden [took the state]( by just over 80,000 votes, or 1.2%.
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What Now? Elections are complex. As Barsky says, âThose viewing the apparatus from the outside may lack a nuanced understanding of how elections work. This lack of understanding can contribute to feelings of distrust. If we donât understand the process, itâs easier for us to believe there are flaws.â While voting access is clearly essential to a democracy, who counts the votes and certifies elections is even more so. These races in todayâs midterms will clearly have a huge impact, not just on their states, but on the 2024 presidential election. While voting access is clearly essential to a democracy, who counts the votes and certifies elections is even more so. These are just three states where election-denying candidates running for office will have direct control over elections should they win. Elections should be conducted transparently, where the candidate who wins actually wins. The constant evidence-free deluge of accusations regarding so-called stolen elections harms the perception of free and fair elections â whether there is fraud or not. Americans donât currently appear to trust the process. Since politics is perception, not trusting the voting process is an existential threat that could irreparably harm democracy itself. Â What electoral changes would make you feel more confident in American elections? [SHARE YOUR THOUGHTS]( [TV]( | [PODCASTS]( | [NEWS]( | [FESTIVALS]( OZY is a diverse, global and forward-looking media and entertainment company focused on âthe New and the Next.â OZY creates space for fresh perspectives, and offers new takes on everything from news and culture to technology, business, learning and entertainment. #OZYMedia, #TheDrop OZY Media, 800 West El Camino Mountain View, California 94040 This email was sent to {EMAIL} [Manage Subscriptions]( | [Privacy Policy]( | [Read Online](