The new year could prove just as dramatic as the last one... SPECIAL OPPORTUNITIES [The Oxford Club Special Opportunities]( Your 2022 Playbook Matt Benjamin, Senior Markets Expert, The Oxford Club [Matt Benajmin] Happy New Year, and welcome to 2022! This new year promises to be just as interesting as 2021. That's quite a statement, considering that we began 2021 at the peak of a global pandemic, with businesses, schools and workplaces shuttered and most people sheltering at home. Governments continued to provide unprecedented monetary and fiscal stimulus last year, which lit a spark under economies and markets, especially in the U.S. When all the numbers are in, economists forecast that U.S. GDP for 2021 will come in at 5.6%, the best figure since 1984. And that produced near-record corporate earnings, which, coupled with massive liquidity (extra money flowing around the economy from all those stimulus checks and low interest rates), sent the S&P 500 Index up 27%. It also produced a whopping 70 all-time highs in the S&P 500 last year. That's the most new highs in a single year since 1954. And while energy and real estate were the best-performing sectors in 2021, every S&P 500 sector rose last year by double digits due to the stimulus and earnings performance. That's the first time in history that's happened. Hang On for a Choppier 2022 So, considering the year 2021 was, how can 2022 possibly produce anything even remotely as dramatic? Well, there are many open questions about markets and the economy for 2022. How these play out will have major consequences for your portfolio. Consider: - Stimulus is coming to an end. The Federal Reserve has clearly signaled it will take its foot off the gas by reducing its bond purchases and raising short-term rates several times this year. Federal government stimulus, in the form of checks and major spending bills, looks to be a thing of the past. Notably, the passage of Build Back Better, President Biden's massive infrastructure bill, appears unlikely.
- For stocks to continue rising, we'll need a successful "hand off" this year from the Fed and the government to consumers and businesses, both of which will need to keep spending money to keep the economy and markets moving upward.
- Valuations of stocks are already stretched. The [Shiller cyclically adjusted price-to-earnings (CAPE) ratio]( stands at 40.02, the second highest it's been in well over a century (the dot-com bubble was the highest). Take a look at the chart below to see for yourself. [Chart - ]( So what should we expect from 2022? If you're puzzled about how all this will play out, fret not! Our Club strategists are already on the case. In his monthly newsletter, The Oxford Communiqué, [Chief Investment Strategist Alexander Green]( says value stocks should trounce growth stocks in 2021, in a reversal of what we've seen during the pandemic. (And he recommends a stock that gives the best of both worlds, value and growth.) And if you're interested in finding out more about how Alex sees 2022 shaping up - and one method you could use to generate spectacular potential profits - [you'll want to check out his latest video presentation](. In it, Alex discusses one strategy he uses to make profitable stock recommendations - he watches the insiders. Insider buying is 100% legal, and you could use it to generate your own profits.[Just click here to learn more.]( Meanwhile, in Oxford Growth Investor, [Chief Trends Strategist Matthew Carr]( and [Engineering Strategist David Fessler]( recently made their top 10 forecasts for 2022, some of which you probably wouldn't suspect. Following their advice will very likely help you hedge your portfolio against the market volatility we expect this year. And next week we'll get [Chief Income Strategist Marc Lichtenfeld's]( outlook for 2022. Interestingly, 2022 is expected to be decisive precisely because it will be divisive. I don't expect double-digit gains from every sector this year. In fact, some sectors and stocks will suffer due to their sensitivity to rising interest rates, inflation and a potential rotation into different classes of stocks, while others will benefit from these same factors. As usual, our Club strategists will be right on top of these trends. We hope you keep reading! Invest wisely, Matt SPONSORED [Is THIS the Greatest Investment Strategy in Stock Market History?]( Academic research proves that even BLINDLY following [THIS STRATEGY]( can be insanely profitable. A Wharton School of Business professor found that "investors can reap 'exceptional' profits." A joint study by Harvard and Yale researchers found that [this signal]( can beat the market by double digits per year. And the Journal of Business & Economic Policy found it outperforms the S&P by up to 2,000% in the short term. Bottom line: If you don't invest [this way]( you're doing it wrong! [Discover this BRILLIANT strategy now.]( [The Oxford Club] You are receiving this email because you subscribed to Oxford Club Special Opportunities.
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