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The Oil Spike I Predicted Is Here... And It's Going to Last

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For more than a year now, I've been ringing alarm bells about inflation. But earlier this spring I c

For more than a year now, I've been ringing alarm bells about inflation. But earlier this spring (March 11) I called out oil prices specifically. For more than a year now, I've been ringing alarm bells about inflation. But earlier this spring (March 11) I called out oil prices specifically. [Outsider Club logo] The Oil Spike I Predicted Is Here... And It's Going to Last [Jason Simpkins Photo] By [Jason Simpkins]( Written Jun 03, 2021 For more than a year now, I've been ringing alarm bells about inflation. But earlier this spring (March 11) I called out oil prices specifically. "Oil prices have staged a comeback and are now trading above $65 per barrel — an 80% surge from their October lows," I noted. "Better still, for the industry at least, they're poised to shoot even higher." And indeed oil prices have continued their climb. West Texas Intermediate crude hit $69.65 on Wednesday, their highest level since Oct. 23, 2018, and a 7% jump from mid March. [5 year crude 6-21] The Gold Story of a Generation Two self-made billionaires took notice and joined forces to invest in this operation. They’ve each poured millions into this small company’s stock. For the details, [click here.]( Of course, past is prologue, as they say. What I'm here to tell you now is that oil prices are going to keep rising. In the short-term I foresee us hitting $80 per barrel in the next few months. And in the long-term, a year or two, I think we'll see triple-digit oil prices for the first time since 2014. To be clear, regardless of what government experts and the media might tell you, higher oil prices are not just temporary. They're here to stay. And my reasoning is simple. As always, it comes down to supply and demand. Obviously, demand is on the rise. Global demand for oil fell from nearly 100 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2019 to 91 million bpd amid the pandemic. You may recall prices fell by more than $50 in a single day to less than zero at one point. This led to massive cuts in production. Now, of course, demand has returned — but supply hasn't. [QUIZ] Most Investors Get This Wrong What do you think is about to kill Tesla? ([Skip ahead for the answer.]() - [Elon Musk’s tweets]( - [SEC]( - [Chinese competitor NIO]( - [Off-the-radar fuel (NOT hydrogen)]( No matter what you pick, when you really think about it, the answer isn’t actually that surprising. Make your selection to find out! OPEC, which controls 40% of the world's oil supply, cut its output by a record 9.7 million bpd as demand collapsed last year. However, the cartel has remained committed to bringing that supply back gradually, with a planned production increase of 350,000 bpd in June and another 450,000 bpd starting in July. That means as of July, the curbs still in place will stand at 5.8 million bpd. Meanwhile U.S. producers have been even more reluctant. The U.S. industry, which requires higher prices to make production viable, is still only producing 11 million barrels a day, which is down from about 13 million before the pandemic. And there's no real appetite to change that any time soon. That's because U.S. producers are more inclined to pay down debt and restore dividends following last year's collapse. On top of that Western companies are now facing more pressure from the government to help the country decarbonize and from shareholders sensing a foundational shift towards green energy. Indeed, over the past week activist hedge fund Engine No. 1 has succeeded in replacing three members of Exxon Mobil's board of directors — succeeding in its effort to force the company in a more eco-friendly direction. "We look forward to working with all of our directors to build on the progress we've made to grow long-term shareholder value and succeed in a lower-carbon future," Exxon Chairman and CEO Darren Woods said in a statement Wednesday. Get Behind This $1.5 Billion DARPA Project The Defense Department’s research wing, DARPA, just teamed up with one off-radar company... Their goal? To save the future of computing. Without this innovation it’ll be impossible to scale artificial intelligence, 5G, and the internet of things... Institutional investors like Vanguard and BlackRock are [pouring billions into this company as we speak.]( Now you have the chance to get on board with them. Everyday Americans could set themselves up for 950%... 6,893%... or even an incredible 12,795% gain. But a huge announcement could be made as soon as tomorrow... causing the stock to skyrocket. [That’s why you must act now.]( Also in the past week, a Dutch court ordered Royal Dutch Shell to drastically deepen pledged cuts to greenhouse gas emissions. Such efforts will undoubtedly draw capital away from production, as well as exploration and development. Thus, OPEC is now projecting a supply deficit this year, with demand reaching 99.8 million bpd and supply stalling at 97.5 million bpd. And that imbalance is likely to endure for the foreseeable future. The real question is, how bad will it get? When we last discussed the oil market back in March, I warned of $4.00 per gallon for gasoline. Well, data from GasBuddy shows gas in the United States is at its most expensive point since 2014 (when we last saw $100 oil). And AAA puts the national average at $3.05 per gallon, up from $2.90 last month and $2.83 in March. I'd say we're well on our way. So remember what I said about inflation creeping from the shadows this spring and seizing the spotlight come summer. Fight on, [Jason Simpkins Signature] Jason Simpkins [follow basic]([@OCSimpkins on Twitter]( Jason Simpkins is Assistant Managing Editor of the Outsider Club and Investment Director of The Wealth Warrior, a financial advisory focused on security companies and defense contractors. For more on Jason, check out his editor's [page](. *Follow Outsider Club on [Facebook]( and [Twitter](. Browse Our Archives [Where Vanadium Fits into the Future of Energy]( [Get Paid This Memorial Day]( [From a Fool to a Billionaire]( [What's Rising And What's Falling]( [The Dollar's Reserve Currency Status Is Safe (... ish)]( --------------------------------------------------------------- This email was sent to {EMAIL}. It is not our intention to send email to anyone who doesn't want it. If you're not sure why you've received this e-letter, or no longer wish to receive it, you may [unsubscribe here](, and view our privacy policy and information on how to manage your subscription. To ensure that you receive future issues of Outsider Club, please add newsletter@outsiderclub.com to your address book or whitelist within your spam settings. For customer service questions or issues, please contact us for assistance. [Outsider Club](, Copyright © 2021, [Angel Publishing LLC]( & Outsider Club LLC, 3 E Read Street Baltimore, MD 21202. For Customer Service, please call (855) 496-0830. All rights reserved. [View our privacy policy here.]( No statement or expression of opinion, or any other matter herein, directly or indirectly, is an offer or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell the securities or financial instruments mentioned. Angel Publishing and Outsider Club does not provide individual investment counseling, act as an investment advisor, or individually advocate the purchase or sale of any security or investment. Subscribers should not view this publication as offering personalized legal or investment counseling. Investments recommended in this publication should be made only after consulting with your investment advisor and only after reviewing the prospectus or financial statements of the company in question. This letter is not intended to meet your specific individual investment needs and it is not tailored to your personal financial situation. Nothing contained herein constitutes, is intended, or deemed to be – either implied or otherwise – investment advice. Neither the publisher nor the editors are registered investment advisors. This letter reflects the personal views and opinions of the editors of Outsider Club and that is all it purports to be. While the information herein is believed to be accurate and reliable it is not guaranteed or implied to be so. Neither the editors of Outsider Club, nor anyone else, accepts any responsibility, or assumes any liability, whatsoever, for any direct, indirect or consequential loss arising from the use of the information in this letter. The information contained herein is subject to change without notice, may become outdated and may not be updated. The editors of Outsider Club, entities that they control, family, friends, employees, associates, and others may have positions in securities mentioned, or discussed, in this letter. No part of this letter/article may be reproduced, copied, emailed, faxed, or distributed (in any form) without the express written permission of the Outsider Club. Unauthorized reproduction of this newsletter or its contents by Xerography, facsimile, or any other means is illegal and punishable by law. ---------------------------------------------------------------

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