Option Pit Stop [fstp, logo, header] May 24, 2024 [ag views, logo, header] Jensen of Nvidia Corp is the stock whisper A couple of kind words by the CEO of Nvidia Corp (Ticker: NVDA), Jensen Huang, and Dell Technologies Inc (Ticker: DELL) is off to the races again after launching from $129 10 days ago to $161 today. [ded] That was very good for some of our Ticker Highlight Show positions in DELL. Now Jensen also mentioned Tesla Inc (Ticker: TSLA) and their FSD (Full Self Driving) tech coming to cars near you. TSLAâs chart appears to be coiling and the IV is reasonably low. Might make for some good upside next week. Might make a decent Triple Two-Way trade. I did close my first Triple Two-Way trade today in [Weekly Profit Cycles](for a win. Sign up while you can! - AG  [logo, pit profits] Want to find YOUR winning fit? Give our Customer Care Team a call at [1-888-872-3301](tel:/1-888-872-3301) Monday-Friday from 9 a.m. - 5 p.m. EST. Or email them anytime at [support@optionpit.com](mailto:/support@optionpit.com)  [logo, fvix, header,] A Trend I'm not Liking Hey traders, In todat's video, we'll cover: - What happened in the markets this week
- NVDA
- Interest Rates
- What i'm not liking [ded]( [Click here to watch!]( - Mark --------------------------------------------------------------- Want to get Mark's Trader's Edge updates directly to your inbox?[Click this link to sign up!](  [fpip] One Last Chance Hi Shoppers, This is your last chance to become a Weekly Profits Cycle member and get todayâs trade which will be announced in Andrewâs live session at 2:15 ET. [Here is the replay with a complete explanation of his strategy which produces 20% every 14 days on average.]( That is 147% annualized. As a member you will meet with Andrew live twice a week to learn all about two way trading. If you are not completely happy with your membership after two weeks, you can get a full refund. Also, if you are already a Delta Strike member, you can get special pricing. [So you need to join today.]( [After that I have a new trade idea for you.]( - Licia --------------------------------------------------------------- Join Licia's trading community and start receiving her Profits In Pumps Newsletter. [Click this link to sign up!](  [fprm] Analyze the movement of money between D.C. and Wall Street Hey Influence Traders, Time for the second installment of our 5-part Capitol Gains series. In the first article ([click here to read](), we went over the type of information my âinsiderâ status uncovers and how such information can be harnessed to achieve significant investment success. In this article, we are going to look at how I analyze the movement of money between D.C. and Wall Street, and how it can point to where certain sectors or stocks might be headed. We will also discuss trading strategies that Andrew Giovinazzi and I utilize to maximize our chance of success. How Analyzing the Movement of Money Between D.C. and Wall Street Actually Works Introduction Over the course of my 35-year career Iâve learned that understanding the flow of money between Washington D.C. and Wall Street is crucial for making informed investment decisions. This intricate process involves tracking government spending, regulatory changes, and policy shifts to anticipate their impact on financial markets. My time working on Capitol Hill, with top law firms and New York financial firms, and with national security start-ups, has provided me with a unique perspective and extensive network to analyze these movements effectively. In this second part of our series, weâll delve into the methodology behind analyzing the flow of money between D.C. and Wall Street and showcase the tools, techniques, and insider insights that guide my investment strategies. Understanding Government Spending No person or entity on the planet moves more money than the U.S. Government. Federal budgets, legislation and regulations, government contracts, grants and subsidies, and administrative actions represent substantial flows of money that can significantly impact various sectors. By monitoring these proposed and actual expenditures, we can identify which industries and companies are likely to benefit. Here are some of the things that I look at: - Federal Budgets: Each year, the federal budget outlines government spending priorities. Analyzing budget allocations helps identify sectors poised for growth. For example, increased funding for defense typically boosts defense contractors, while higher allocations for healthcare can benefit medical companies.
- Legislation and Regulations:Â Congress makes laws and directs federal agencies to implement those laws. That puts trillions of dollars into play each year. Big items, like allocations to Ukraine, get the headlines, but man laws are proposed and passed that are pet projects. And some of those create investing gems. Once legislation is passed, agencies implement them and disperse the funds. Sounds straight forward, but often those agencies have their own agendas. Understanding that nuance can avoid missing the true target of money.
- Government Contracts:Â Government contracts represent direct infusions of money into specific companies. By keeping an eye on contract awards, particularly in defense, infrastructure and technology, we can pinpoint companies likely to experience stock price increases.
- Grants and Subsidies:Â Grants and subsidies support various industries, from agriculture to renewable energy. Tracking these allocations provides insights into which sectors are receiving government support and are likely to perform well.
- Administrative Actions:Â Often, âlegislationâ is created at the administrative level, such as by presidential decree, not through acts of Congress. Such actions can impact different market sectors. Assessing Regulatory Changes on the Market Regulatory changes can have profound effects on industries and individual companies. By staying informed about upcoming regulations, we can predict which sectors will face challenges and which will benefit. Hereâs how it works: - Monitor Proposed Regulations:Â Proposed regulations often signal upcoming changes that can impact industries. For instance, stricter environmental regulations might negatively affect traditional energy companies while benefiting renewable energy firms.
- Assessing Timelines:Â Knowing when new regulations will take effect is crucial. Immediate implementation can lead to swift market reactions, while delayed regulations might provide more time for strategic positioning.
- Evaluating Industry Responses:Â Analyzing industry responses helps gauge the potential impact on stock prices. For example, tech companies might adapt quickly to new data privacy laws, while fossil fuel companies will drag their feet on climate proposals. The Role of Information My experience and access to information enhances the analysis of government spending, regulatory changes, and policy shifts. It keeps me a half step ahead of the broad market, by providing: - Early Access to Information:Â Insider information provides early warnings about significant developments. For example, when a defense contract is being debated, knowing which defense contractor was invited to meet with a committee and which got the cold shoulder provides insight as to the one that will benefit from the contract.
- Contextual Understanding:Â What happens behind closed doors on Capitol Hill and what is reported by the mainstream media are not always consistent. Often, backroom deals are cut by our elected representatives, but contradictory public displays are made to appease constituents. You might call it plausible deniability. I understand this process and have learned to read telltale signs to better understand the context and nuances of legislative actions that are not available through public sources. Understanding the motivations behind policy decisions and the likely response from various stakeholders gives me a more learned view.
- Strategic Advantage: My insider status provides me access to perspectives on policy discussions and legislative strategies, which gives me details about upcoming projects and funding allocations. Combining my information with public data creates a more accurate and timely analysis. This strategic advantage helps identify investment opportunities and mitigate risks more effectively. Advanced Trading Strategies Evaluating the impact of D.C.âs actions is just the first step. Once target industries and companies are identified, they have to be traded. Thatâs where professional traders like Andrew Giovinazzi come in. Andrew tests my thesis, looks at the volume and volatility of stocks, and helps me formulate a plan for buying and exiting positions. He builds actionable trading strategies around my ideas. Sometimes, after looking at the market for a given security, we have to hold off or even abandon an investment plan because good trades are not supported. For example, I am a fan of a couple of micro-reactor companies, but Andrew has yet to find the options volume to support a good trade. Trading Rumors/Hype vs. Trading Facts The timing of trades is usually the key. But not many people understand how the movement of money from D.C. to Wall Street impacts that timing. Most believe that when a big budget announcement is made that money immediately starts flowing. But the fact is that the money can take months or years to start moving ⦠if it moves at all. No matter the hype, sooner or later, the reality of corporate balance sheets catches up to stocks. Big announcements about large capital allocations draw a lot of press and headlines. That causes many investors to immediately react. And that allows us to build multi-level trades. Andrew and I love to trade rumors. What do I mean? People read the headlines, which are meant to boost a certain party or goal, and that drives sentiment. But the actual impact is often way off and offset by contradictory policy. We can trade that up and then get out when the reality of the legislation sets in. For example, in 2022, the Biden Administration allocated billions to promoting green energy. I knew that green energy companies would see no benefit for many quarters, but we traded around the announcement and saw pops in EVs, solar and other green plays. It was only hype, but we knew it would have an impact and we could make quick gains. At the same time, we focused longer term strategies on miners, green energy transition companies, and traditional fossil fuel companies that we knew would be on the forefront of green technology. Some of the big oil companies were key contributors at Hill meetings on green energy. That told me they would be part of the transition. We initially downplayed them because we knew theyâd dip on the âgreenâ announcements, but jumped in to take advantage of the strong financial performance that we knew would produce a rebound. Conclusion Studying government spending, regulatory changes, and policy shifts helps us make informed predictions about market movements and identify lucrative investment opportunities. This comprehensive approach, combined with the strategic advantage of âinsiderâ insight, provides a unique edge in the financial markets. In the next part of our series, we will explore how actual and proposed legislation, as well as executive actions, have impacted stocks over the past few years. This analysis will provide insights into how government actions shape market trends and offer guidance on navigating future changes. Stay tuned for more in-depth exploration of the intersection between D.C. and Wall Street. - Frank --------------------------------------------------------------- Get all your DC Insider info inside of Frank Gregory's "Power Movies" Newsletter. [Click this link to sign up!]( --------------------------------------------------------------- Don't miss when our traders go live! Get an alert everytime we open the live rooms to all of our readers for free by selecting the calendar you use below. Add Option Pit Live Events to Your Calendar [Apple]( [Google]( [Outlook]( [Outlook.com]( [Office 365]( [Yahoo](   [glossary, logo] There are plenty of terms in the trading world that need explaining. The Option Pit Glossary is here to help. Today's phrase is:  Butterfly wings- the âouterâ part of the butterfly that surrounds the body of the butterfly. Also knowns as âlegsâ [ftsp] All the Right Options. The Option Pit Team brings more than 150 years of experience to you every day. 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