Upshot: Look ahead to 2024? First go back to 1948.

Also: NFL playoff trees are back [View in browser](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRneVaIP4QyAWh0dHBzOi8vbWVzc2FnaW5nLWN1c3RvbS1uZXdzbGV0dGVycy5ueXRpbWVzLmNvbS9keW5hbWljL3JlbmRlcj9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0yOSZlbWM9ZWRpdF91cF8yMDI0MDEwNCZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0xMTE2NzEmbmw9dGhlLXVwc2hvdCZwYWlkX3JlZ2k9MiZwcm9kdWN0Q29kZT1VUCZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTU0MjQ3JnRlPTEmdXJpPW55dCUzQSUyRiUyRm5ld3NsZXR0ZXIlMkY2ODg3YjI0NS0yNTVmLTU1ZTAtOWZmYi1iMGMwNDAwZTk3OTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpllIjRlmXRtv-HUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAM~)|[nytimes.com](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRneVaIP0SuaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTI5JmVtYz1lZGl0X3VwXzIwMjQwMTA0Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTExMTY3MSZubD10aGUtdXBzaG90JnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD0xNTQyNDcmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmWUiNGWZdG2_4dSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAw~~)[Continue reading the main story](#) [Ad](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRneVaIP0SVaHR0cHM6Ly9saXZlaW50ZW50Lm5ld3lvcmt0aW1lc2luZm8uY29tL2NsaWNrP3M9MTYyMDE0JmxpPVVQJm09YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDcmcD1VUF8yMDI0MDEwNCZ0ZT0xJm5sPXRoZS11cHNob3QmZW1jPWVkaXRfdXBfMjAyNDAxMDRXA255dEIKZZSI0ZZl0bb_h1IbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAD) [The Upshot](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRneVaIP0SzaHR0cDovL3d3dy5ueXRpbWVzLmNvbS91cHNob3Q_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9MjkmZW1jPWVkaXRfdXBfMjAyNDAxMDQmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9MTExNjcxJm5sPXRoZS11cHNob3QmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTE1NDI0NyZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKZZSI0ZZl0bb_h1IbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAD) January 4, 2024 [[Harry Truman waves his hat on board a special presidential train along with his wife, Bess Truman. ] Associated Press Want to Understand 2024? Look at 1948. Americans were angry with Truman because of high prices in the aftermath of World War II, even as other economic signals looked promising. By Nate Cohn](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRneVaIP0TnaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyNC8wMS8wNC91cHNob3QvMjAyNC1lbGVjdGlvbi1iaWRlbi10cnVtYW4tZWNvbm9teS5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTI5JmVtYz1lZGl0X3VwXzIwMjQwMTA0Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTExMTY3MSZubD10aGUtdXBzaG90JnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD0xNTQyNDcmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmWUiNGWZdG2_4dSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAw~~) Feedback For suggestions on how we can improve this newsletter, write to [theupshotnewsletter@nytimes.com](mailto:theupshotnewsletter@nytimes.com?subject=Upshot%20Newsletter%20Feedback). If you have a compelling data set you’d like us to pursue, send it to [dear.upshot@nytimes.com](mailto:dear.upshot@nytimes.com?subject=Upshot%20Newsletter%20Feedback). 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