Evening Briefing: The global economy slows

Also, Floridians brace for Hurricane Ian and a NASA spacecraft speeds toward an asteroid. [View in browser](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRlFKkwP4QrAWh0dHBzOi8vbWVzc2FnaW5nLWN1c3RvbS1uZXdzbGV0dGVycy5ueXRpbWVzLmNvbS90ZW1wbGF0ZS9vYWt2Mj9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD01NyZlbWM9ZWRpdF9uZV8yMDIyMDkyNiZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD03MzAxNSZubD1ldmVuaW5nLWJyaWVmaW5nJnByb2R1Y3RDb2RlPU5FJnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD0xMDgxOTImdGU9MSZ1cmk9bnl0JTNBJTJGJTJGbmV3c2xldHRlciUyRmE4Nzk2M2I4LWMwNjEtNTZmMC05NWEzLTRkODZiMWEyNmYwOSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmMtMCQyY8NbLCJSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~)|[nytimes.com](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRlFKkwP0SzaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTU3JmVtYz1lZGl0X25lXzIwMjIwOTI2Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTczMDE1Jm5sPWV2ZW5pbmctYnJpZWZpbmcmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTEwODE5MiZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKYy0wJDJjw1ssIlIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAA)[Continue reading the main story](#a11y-skip-ad-marquee) ~/AAAAAQA~/RgRlFKkwP0RtaHR0cHM6Ly9saXZlaW50ZW50Lm5ld3lvcmt0aW1lc2luZm8uY29tL2NsaWNrP3M9MTYxOTUwJmxpPU5FJm09YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDcmcD1ORV8yMDIyMDkyNlcDbnl0QgpjLTAkMmPDWywiUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~ [The New York Times](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRlFKkwP0SyaHR0cDovL3d3dy5ueXRpbWVzLmNvbS8_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9NTcmZW1jPWVkaXRfbmVfMjAyMjA5MjYmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9NzMwMTUmbmw9ZXZlbmluZy1icmllZmluZyZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTA4MTkyJnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpjLTAkMmPDWywiUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~) September 26, 2022 [Author Headshot](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRlFKkwP0TEaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vYnkvbWF0dGhldy1jdWxsZW4_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9NTcmZW1jPWVkaXRfbmVfMjAyMjA5MjYmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9NzMwMTUmbmw9ZXZlbmluZy1icmllZmluZyZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTA4MTkyJnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpjLTAkMmPDWywiUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~) By [Matthew Cullen](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRlFKkwP0TEaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vYnkvbWF0dGhldy1jdWxsZW4_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9NTcmZW1jPWVkaXRfbmVfMjAyMjA5MjYmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9NzMwMTUmbmw9ZXZlbmluZy1icmllZmluZyZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTA4MTkyJnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpjLTAkMmPDWywiUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~) Good evening. Here’s the latest at the end of Monday. The strong dollar is nudging debt-ridden Argentina, Egypt and Kenya closer to default.Aly Song/Reuters 1. The global economy is slowing as the U.S. wages an aggressive fight against inflation. American policymakers’ decision to fight soaring inflation with aggressive interest rate hikes is inflicting profound pain in other countries — pushing up prices, ballooning the size of debt payments and [increasing the risk of a deep recession](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRlFKkwP0TraHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wOS8yNi9idXNpbmVzcy9lY29ub215L3VzLWRvbGxhci1nbG9iYWwtaW1wYWN0Lmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9NTcmZW1jPWVkaXRfbmVfMjAyMjA5MjYmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9NzMwMTUmbmw9ZXZlbmluZy1icmllZmluZyZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTA4MTkyJnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpjLTAkMmPDWywiUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~). The British pound [hit a record low](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRlFKkwP0ToaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wOS8yNi9idXNpbmVzcy9icml0aXNoLXBvdW5kLWRvbGxhci1nYnAtdXNkLmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9NTcmZW1jPWVkaXRfbmVfMjAyMjA5MjYmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9NzMwMTUmbmw9ZXZlbmluZy1icmllZmluZyZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTA4MTkyJnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpjLTAkMmPDWywiUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~) against the dollar as investors balked at the new British government’s tax cut and spending plans. And China, which tightly controls its currency, [let it weaken](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRlFKkwP0TjaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wOS8yNi9idXNpbmVzcy9jaGluYS1yZW5taW5iaS1jdXJyZW5jeS5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTU3JmVtYz1lZGl0X25lXzIwMjIwOTI2Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTczMDE1Jm5sPWV2ZW5pbmctYnJpZWZpbmcmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTEwODE5MiZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKYy0wJDJjw1ssIlIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAA) to its lowest level in two years. Broadly, global markets [showed signs of weakness](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRlFKkwP0T3aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wOS8yNi9idXNpbmVzcy9nbG9iYWwtZWNvbm9teS1vZWNkLWZvcmVjYXN0Lmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9NTcmZW1jPWVkaXRfbmVfMjAyMjA5MjYmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9NzMwMTUmbmw9ZXZlbmluZy1icmllZmluZyZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTA4MTkyJnNtaWQ9dXJsLXNoYXJlJnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpjLTAkMmPDWywiUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~), and the [S&P 500 dropped to its lowest level of 2022](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRlFKkwP0TtaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wOS8yNS9idXNpbmVzcy9zdG9jay1tYXJrZXQtdG9kYXkuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD01NyZlbWM9ZWRpdF9uZV8yMDIyMDkyNiZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD03MzAxNSZubD1ldmVuaW5nLWJyaWVmaW5nJnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD0xMDgxOTImc21pZD11cmwtc2hhcmUmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmMtMCQyY8NbLCJSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~). In other economic news, American manufacturers added enough jobs to regain all the ones they shed during the last recession, [defying a trend of automation and outsourcing](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRlFKkwP0ToaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wOS8yNi9idXNpbmVzcy9mYWN0b3J5LWpvYnMtd29ya2Vycy1yZWJvdW5kLmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9NTcmZW1jPWVkaXRfbmVfMjAyMjA5MjYmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9NzMwMTUmbmw9ZXZlbmluZy1icmllZmluZyZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTA4MTkyJnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpjLTAkMmPDWywiUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~). And President Biden’s student loan plan [could cost up to $400 billion](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRlFKkwP0TzaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wOS8yNi91cy9wb2xpdGljcy93aGl0ZS1ob3VzZS1zdHVkZW50LWxvYW4tZm9yZ2l2ZW5lc3MuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD01NyZlbWM9ZWRpdF9uZV8yMDIyMDkyNiZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD03MzAxNSZubD1ldmVuaW5nLWJyaWVmaW5nJnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD0xMDgxOTImdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmMtMCQyY8NbLCJSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~), the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office said. Drafted reservists outside a recruitment office in the Siberian town of Tara in Russia today.Alexey Malgavko/Reuters 2. Russia’s mobilization effort faces a growing domestic opposition. A gunman, apparently distraught over Russia’s chaotic mobilization effort, [opened fire at a draft office in Siberia](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRlFKkwP4QsAWh0dHBzOi8vd3d3Lm55dGltZXMuY29tL2xpdmUvMjAyMi8wOS8yNi93b3JsZC9ydXNzaWEtdWtyYWluZS13YXItbmV3cy9hLXJlY3J1aXRtZW50LW9mZmljZXItd2FzLXdvdW5kZWQtaW4tdGhlLXNob290aW5nLWluLXNpYmVyaWE_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9NTcmZW1jPWVkaXRfbmVfMjAyMjA5MjYmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9NzMwMTUmbmw9ZXZlbmluZy1icmllZmluZyZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTA4MTkyJnNtaWQ9dXJsLXNoYXJlJnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpjLTAkMmPDWywiUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~) today, seriously wounding a recruitment officer. The attack came after mass protests in Russia’s streets and attempts by hundreds of thousands of men to flee the country before being called up to fight in Ukraine. [Continue reading the main story](#a11y-skip-universal-0) ADVERTISEMENT ~/AAAAAQA~/RgRlFKkwP0RtaHR0cHM6Ly9saXZlaW50ZW50Lm5ld3lvcmt0aW1lc2luZm8uY29tL2NsaWNrP3M9MTYxOTQ3JmxpPU5FJm09YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDcmcD1ORV8yMDIyMDkyNlcDbnl0QgpjLTAkMmPDWywiUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~ Ethnic minorities in Russia and occupied areas of Ukraine have disproportionately been called up in the draft. Activists say the conscription drive is [clearly discriminatory](~/AAAAAQA~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). In a Kremlin decree, Edward Snowden, the former U.S. intelligence contractor who exposed classified N.S.A. documents and fled the U.S. in 2013, [was granted Russian citizenship](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRlFKkwP0TxaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wOS8yNi93b3JsZC9ldXJvcGUvZWR3YXJkLXNub3dkZW4tcnVzc2lhLWNpdGl6ZW5zaGlwLmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9NTcmZW1jPWVkaXRfbmVfMjAyMjA5MjYmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9NzMwMTUmbmw9ZXZlbmluZy1icmllZmluZyZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTA4MTkyJnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpjLTAkMmPDWywiUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~). In Ukraine, the battle for the critical Donbas region is now centered on two strategically important cities: [Lyman and Bakhmut](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRlFKkwP0TzaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wOS8yNi93b3JsZC9ldXJvcGUvdWtyYWluZS1kb25iYXMtcnVzc2lhLWx5bWFuLWJha2htdXQuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD01NyZlbWM9ZWRpdF9uZV8yMDIyMDkyNiZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD03MzAxNSZubD1ldmVuaW5nLWJyaWVmaW5nJnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD0xMDgxOTImdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmMtMCQyY8NbLCJSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~). The fighting is fierce as both armies race to claim new ground before winter sets in. Giorgia Meloni at her party’s electoral headquarters in Rome today.Gregorio Borgia/Associated Press 3. Giorgia Meloni, whose hard-right party dominated Italy’s elections, is set to [become the country’s first female prime minister](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRlFKkwP0TyaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wOS8yNi93b3JsZC9ldXJvcGUvaXRhbHktZWxlY3Rpb24tbWVsb25pLXdoYXQtdG8ta25vdy5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTU3JmVtYz1lZGl0X25lXzIwMjIwOTI2Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTczMDE1Jm5sPWV2ZW5pbmctYnJpZWZpbmcmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTEwODE5MiZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKYy0wJDJjw1ssIlIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAA). [Continue reading the main story](#a11y-skip-universal-1) ADVERTISEMENT ~/AAAAAQA~/RgRlFKkwP0RtaHR0cHM6Ly9saXZlaW50ZW50Lm5ld3lvcmt0aW1lc2luZm8uY29tL2NsaWNrP3M9MTUxNjMwJmxpPU5FJm09YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDcmcD1ORV8yMDIyMDkyNlcDbnl0QgpjLTAkMmPDWywiUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~ A right-wing coalition led by Meloni’s Brothers of Italy party, which emerged from the remnants of fascism, won 44 percent of Italy’s vote, which will most likely allow the right to govern without help from the opposition. Her victory is the latest in a [string of right-wing successes in Europe](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRlFKkwP0TraHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wOS8yNi93b3JsZC9ldXJvcGUvZXVyb3BlYW4tdW5pb24taXRhbHktbWVsb25pLmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9NTcmZW1jPWVkaXRfbmVfMjAyMjA5MjYmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9NzMwMTUmbmw9ZXZlbmluZy1icmllZmluZyZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTA4MTkyJnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpjLTAkMmPDWywiUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~). The region’s leaders are watching how Meloni responds as prime minister to the Russian invasion of Ukraine — [which she has denounced, unlike many of her allies](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRlFKkwP0TraHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wOS8yNi93b3JsZC9ldXJvcGUvbWVsb25pLWl0YWx5LXJ1c3NpYS11a3JhaW5lLmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9NTcmZW1jPWVkaXRfbmVfMjAyMjA5MjYmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9NzMwMTUmbmw9ZXZlbmluZy1icmllZmluZyZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTA4MTkyJnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpjLTAkMmPDWywiUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~). In U.S. politics, the Republican candidate for governor of Pennsylvania, Doug Mastriano, is trailing badly in polling and being heavily outspent. [National Republicans show little desire to help him](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRlFKkwP0TzaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wOS8yNi91cy9wb2xpdGljcy9kb3VnLW1hc3RyaWFuby1jYW1wYWlnbi1wZW5uc3lsdmFuaWEuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD01NyZlbWM9ZWRpdF9uZV8yMDIyMDkyNiZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD03MzAxNSZubD1ldmVuaW5nLWJyaWVmaW5nJnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD0xMDgxOTImdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmMtMCQyY8NbLCJSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~). The water aisle of a supermarket in Kissimmee, Fla., today.Gregg Newton/AFP via Getty Images 4. Some Florida residents have been urged to evacuate as Hurricane Ian strengthens. Forecasters are warning of “significant” winds and storm surge for western Cuba [as Hurricane Ian approaches tonight](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRlFKkwP0TcaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vYXJ0aWNsZS90cm9waWNhbC1zdG9ybS1pYW4taHVycmljYW5lLmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9NTcmZW1jPWVkaXRfbmVfMjAyMjA5MjYmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9NzMwMTUmbmw9ZXZlbmluZy1icmllZmluZyZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTA4MTkyJnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpjLTAkMmPDWywiUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~). Ian is expected to become a major hurricane — meaning Category 3 or stronger, with winds of at least 111 miles per hour — before following a course west of the Florida Keys late on Tuesday. The storm is set to approach the west coast of Florida on Wednesday. Forecasters expect high storm surge in and around Tampa Bay. [Our map is tracking Ian and where it is heading](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRlFKkwP4QAAWh0dHBzOi8vd3d3Lm55dGltZXMuY29tL2ludGVyYWN0aXZlLzIwMjIvMDkvMjQvY2xpbWF0ZS90cm9waWNhbC1zdG9ybS1pYW4taHVycmljYW5lLXBhdGgtdHJhY2tlci5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTU3JmVtYz1lZGl0X25lXzIwMjIwOTI2Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTczMDE1Jm5sPWV2ZW5pbmctYnJpZWZpbmcmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTEwODE5MiZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKYy0wJDJjw1ssIlIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAA). As Earth’s climate warms, [more storms are undergoing rapid intensification](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRlFKkwP0TuaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wOS8yNi9jbGltYXRlL2h1cnJpY2FuZS1pYW4tcmFwaWQtaW50ZW5zaWZpY2F0aW9uLmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9NTcmZW1jPWVkaXRfbmVfMjAyMjA5MjYmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9NzMwMTUmbmw9ZXZlbmluZy1icmllZmluZyZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTA4MTkyJnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpjLTAkMmPDWywiUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~), growing in under 24 hours from relatively weak tropical storms to Category 3 or higher hurricanes. In other climate news, a wildfire earlier this year in New Mexico set off a crisis that left much of the surrounding region [without clean drinking water](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRlFKkwP0TlaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wOS8yNi91cy9uZXctbWV4aWNvLWxhcy12ZWdhcy1maXJlLXdhdGVyLmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9NTcmZW1jPWVkaXRfbmVfMjAyMjA5MjYmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9NzMwMTUmbmw9ZXZlbmluZy1icmllZmluZyZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTA4MTkyJnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpjLTAkMmPDWywiUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~). Women protested the killing of Mahsa Amini in Erbil, the capital of the semiautonomous Kurdistan region in northern Iraq, on Saturday.Safin Hamed/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images 5. Iran strikes Kurdish groups as protests thrust the country into turmoil. Iranian forces attacked what they said were the bases of Kurdish separatist groups in the Kurdistan region of northern Iraq, [unleashing drone and artillery attacks for almost eight hours today](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRlFKkwP0T8aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wOS8yNi93b3JsZC9taWRkbGVlYXN0L2lyYW4taXJhcS1wcm90ZXN0cy1rdXJkaXN0YW4tc2VwYXJhdGlzdHMuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD01NyZlbWM9ZWRpdF9uZV8yMDIyMDkyNiZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD03MzAxNSZubD1ldmVuaW5nLWJyaWVmaW5nJnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD0xMDgxOTImdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmMtMCQyY8NbLCJSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~). A semiofficial news agency accused paramilitary groups in the region of fostering chaos in Iran. Protests have [swept the country](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRlFKkwP0ThaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wOS8yNC93b3JsZC9taWRkbGVlYXN0L2lyYW4tcHJvdGVzdHMuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD01NyZlbWM9ZWRpdF9uZV8yMDIyMDkyNiZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD03MzAxNSZubD1ldmVuaW5nLWJyaWVmaW5nJnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD0xMDgxOTImdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmMtMCQyY8NbLCJSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~) for 10 days in response to the killing of Mahsa Amini, 22, an Iranian Kurdish woman who was in police custody for violating the country’s strict dress codes for women. The demonstrations — larger than any antigovernment movement in Iran since the Green Revolution in 2009 — have been [especially intense in northwest Iran](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRlFKkwP0TnaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wOS8yNS93b3JsZC9taWRkbGVlYXN0L2lyYW4tcHJvdGVzdHMta3VyZHMuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD01NyZlbWM9ZWRpdF9uZV8yMDIyMDkyNiZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD03MzAxNSZubD1ldmVuaW5nLWJyaWVmaW5nJnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD0xMDgxOTImdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmMtMCQyY8NbLCJSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~), where many members of the country’s Kurdish minority live. My colleagues Vivian Yee and Farnaz Fassihi [explain what’s driving the protests](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRlFKkwP0T2aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wOS8yNC93b3JsZC9taWRkbGVlYXN0L2lyYW4tcHJvdGVzdHMtcmFpc2kta2hhbWVuZWktaGlqYWIuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD01NyZlbWM9ZWRpdF9uZV8yMDIyMDkyNiZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD03MzAxNSZubD1ldmVuaW5nLWJyaWVmaW5nJnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD0xMDgxOTImdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmMtMCQyY8NbLCJSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~). Subscribe Today We hope you’ve enjoyed this newsletter, which is made possible through subscriber support. [Subscribe to The New York Times with this special offer.](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRlFKkwP0TPaHR0cDovL3d3dy5ueXRpbWVzLmNvbS9zdWJzY3JpcHRpb24_Y2FtcGFpZ25JZD05OVE5OSZjYW1wYWlnbl9pZD01NyZlbWM9ZWRpdF9uZV8yMDIyMDkyNiZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD03MzAxNSZubD1ldmVuaW5nLWJyaWVmaW5nJnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD0xMDgxOTImdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmMtMCQyY8NbLCJSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~) TikTok has been under a legal cloud in the U.S. because of its Chinese ownership.Tony Luong for The New York Times 6. TikTok moves toward a U.S. security deal, but hurdles remain. The Biden administration has drafted an agreement to resolve national security concerns posed by the popular Chinese-owned video app, bringing yearslong negotiations [closer to the finish line](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRlFKkwP0TsaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wOS8yNi90ZWNobm9sb2d5L3Rpa3Rvay1uYXRpb25hbC1zZWN1cml0eS1jaGluYS5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTU3JmVtYz1lZGl0X25lXzIwMjIwOTI2Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTczMDE1Jm5sPWV2ZW5pbmctYnJpZWZpbmcmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTEwODE5MiZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKYy0wJDJjw1ssIlIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAA). The agreement would require TikTok to make changes to its data security policies, but would not require that it be sold to a different owner, as former President Donald Trump ordered in 2020. Some officials, including the deputy attorney general, are worried that the terms are not sufficiently tough on China. Separately, TikTok may face a $29 million fine for [failing to protect children’s privacy](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRlFKkwP0TtaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wOS8yNi90ZWNobm9sb2d5L3Rpa3Rvay1jaGlsZHJlbi1wcml2YWN5LWZpbmUtdWsuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD01NyZlbWM9ZWRpdF9uZV8yMDIyMDkyNiZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD03MzAxNSZubD1ldmVuaW5nLWJyaWVmaW5nJnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD0xMDgxOTImdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmMtMCQyY8NbLCJSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~) in Britain. Dr. Sidhbh Gallagher’s unusual embrace of social media platforms like TikTok has made her one of the most visible surgeons in her field.Eva Marie Uzcategui for The New York Times 7. More trans teens are choosing top surgery. A very small but growing group of transgender adolescents are [choosing to get top surgery](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRlFKkwP0TraHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wOS8yNi9oZWFsdGgvdG9wLXN1cmdlcnktdHJhbnNnZW5kZXItdGVlbmFnZXJzLmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9NTcmZW1jPWVkaXRfbmVfMjAyMjA5MjYmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9NzMwMTUmbmw9ZXZlbmluZy1icmllZmluZyZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTA4MTkyJnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpjLTAkMmPDWywiUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~), or breast removal, to better align their bodies with their experience of gender. Few groups of young people have received as much scrutiny. Republican elected officials across the U.S. are seeking to ban all gender-affirming care for minors, turning an intensely personal medical decision into a political maelstrom. Much research has shown that top surgery improves quality of life for transgender men, and a few small studies of adolescents suggest similar benefits in the short term. But some clinicians have pointed to the rising demand and the turmoil of adolescent development as reasons for doctors to slow down. In other health news, monkeypox is [showing signs of retreat in the U.S.](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRlFKkwP0TbaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wOS8yNi9oZWFsdGgvbW9ua2V5cG94LXZhY2NpbmUuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD01NyZlbWM9ZWRpdF9uZV8yMDIyMDkyNiZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD03MzAxNSZubD1ldmVuaW5nLWJyaWVmaW5nJnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD0xMDgxOTImdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmMtMCQyY8NbLCJSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~), but recent reports suggest that a single dose of the vaccine, Jynneos, may not be protective enough. Andres at the Chase Contemporary gallery in SoHo.Elliott Jerome Brown Jr. for The New York Times 8. A 10-year-old boy whose artworks command six-figure price tags. In the last year, Andres Valencia has gone from a relative unknown to [a bona fide art phenomenon](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRlFKkwP0TmaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wOS8yNi9zdHlsZS9hbmRyZXMtdmFsZW5jaWEtYXJ0LXBhaW50aW5ncy5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTU3JmVtYz1lZGl0X25lXzIwMjIwOTI2Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTczMDE1Jm5sPWV2ZW5pbmctYnJpZWZpbmcmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTEwODE5MiZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKYy0wJDJjw1ssIlIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAA). His surrealist-style paintings have caught the attention of art directors and gallery owners, as well as celebrities like Sofia Vergara and Channing Tatum, who own pieces. One of Andres’s paintings went for $159,000 at auction in Hong Kong, and another hit $230,000 at a charity gala in Capri, Italy. Andres said of his doubters, “Sometimes older people just don’t get it.” In other art news, runners and cyclists are [using GPS tracking on fitness apps to draw](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRlFKkwP0TkaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wOS8yNC90ZWNobm9sb2d5L2dwcy1hcnQtc3RyYXZhLXJ1bm5pbmcuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD01NyZlbWM9ZWRpdF9uZV8yMDIyMDkyNiZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD03MzAxNSZubD1ldmVuaW5nLWJyaWVmaW5nJnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD0xMDgxOTImdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmMtMCQyY8NbLCJSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~) hearts, birthday wishes and other designs across the landscape. N.F.C. tight end George Kittle catching a pass in front of A.F.C. outside linebacker Harold Landry during the Pro Bowl this year.David Becker/Associated Press 9. The N.F.L. is turning its annual all-star competition into a flag football game. Players will [no longer tackle one another during the Pro Bowl](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRlFKkwP0TkaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wOS8yNi9zcG9ydHMvZm9vdGJhbGwvbmZsLXByby1ib3dsLWdhbWUuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD01NyZlbWM9ZWRpdF9uZV8yMDIyMDkyNiZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD03MzAxNSZubD1ldmVuaW5nLWJyaWVmaW5nJnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD0xMDgxOTImdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmMtMCQyY8NbLCJSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~), the league announced today. The exhibition has seen lackluster play and declining ratings in recent years; few stars who are selected for the game actually participate, citing the need to rest and avoid injury after the regular season. The new version of the showcase is designed to draw some big-name players — and viewers — back to the event. In other sports news, Eliud Kipchoge [broke his own world record in the marathon](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRlFKkwP0ToaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wOS8yNS9zcG9ydHMvZWxpdWQta2lwY2hvZ2UtbWFyYXRob24tcmVjb3JkLmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9NTcmZW1jPWVkaXRfbmVfMjAyMjA5MjYmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9NzMwMTUmbmw9ZXZlbmluZy1icmllZmluZyZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTA4MTkyJnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpjLTAkMmPDWywiUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~), running the 26.2-mile race in Berlin this weekend in 2 hours 1 minute 9 seconds. NASA/Johns Hopkins/APL 10. And finally, a NASA spacecraft is set to crash into an asteroid tonight. Traveling at 14,000 miles per hour, the Double Asteroid Redirection Test, or DART, is set to [collide with a near-Earth asteroid named Dimorphos](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRlFKkwP0TdaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wOS8yNS9zY2llbmNlL25hc2EtZGFydC1hc3Rlcm9pZC5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTU3JmVtYz1lZGl0X25lXzIwMjIwOTI2Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTczMDE1Jm5sPWV2ZW5pbmctYnJpZWZpbmcmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTEwODE5MiZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKYy0wJDJjw1ssIlIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAA) at 7:14 p.m. Eastern. Dimorphos is the moon of a larger asteroid, Didymos. Neither poses an immediate threat to our world. But if the test works, it will deflect both into new trajectories — and model a technique that could eventually be used to defend the planet. [Follow our live coverage of the collision](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRlFKkwP0TlaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vbGl2ZS8yMDIyLzA5LzI2L3NjaWVuY2UvbmFzYS1kYXJ0LWFzdGVyb2lkLW1pc3Npb24_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9NTcmZW1jPWVkaXRfbmVfMjAyMjA5MjYmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9NzMwMTUmbmw9ZXZlbmluZy1icmllZmluZyZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTA4MTkyJnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpjLTAkMmPDWywiUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~). Have an out-of-this-world night. Brent Lewis compiled photos for this briefing. Your Evening Briefing is posted at 6 p.m. Eastern. Want to catch up on past briefings? [You can browse them here](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRlFKkwP0TNaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vc2VyaWVzL3VzLWV2ZW5pbmctYnJpZWZpbmc_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9NTcmZW1jPWVkaXRfbmVfMjAyMjA5MjYmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9NzMwMTUmbmw9ZXZlbmluZy1icmllZmluZyZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTA4MTkyJnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpjLTAkMmPDWywiUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~). What did you like? What do you want to see here? Let us know at [briefing@nytimes.com](mailto:briefing@nytimes.com?subject=Evening%20Briefing%20Feedback). 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