Opinion Today: Will this be the spark that flares a U.S.-China confrontation?

Inside the growing tension around Taiwan. [View in browser](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRkzOinP4QoAWh0dHBzOi8vbWVzc2FnaW5nLWN1c3RvbS1uZXdzbGV0dGVycy5ueXRpbWVzLmNvbS90ZW1wbGF0ZS9vYWt2Mj9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0zOSZlbWM9ZWRpdF90eV8yMDIyMDgwMyZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD02ODMzMiZubD1vcGluaW9uLXRvZGF5JnByb2R1Y3RDb2RlPVRZJnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD0xMDAzMjYmdGU9MSZ1cmk9bnl0JTNBJTJGJTJGbmV3c2xldHRlciUyRjZiODNiODZjLTRjNDctNTM2Ny1iYjcyLTU2NzQyOWNjMjY4NCZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmLgp2PqYhVvyIhSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~)|[nytimes.com](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRkzOinP0SwaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTM5JmVtYz1lZGl0X3R5XzIwMjIwODAzJmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTY4MzMyJm5sPW9waW5pb24tdG9kYXkmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTEwMDMyNiZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKYuCnY-piFW_IiFIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAA)[Continue reading the main story](#a11y-skip-ad-marquee) ~/AAAAAQA~/RgRkzOinP0RtaHR0cHM6Ly9saXZlaW50ZW50Lm5ld3lvcmt0aW1lc2luZm8uY29tL2NsaWNrP3M9MTYyMTM5JmxpPVRZJm09YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDcmcD1UWV8yMDIyMDgwM1cDbnl0Qgpi4Kdj6mIVb8iIUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~ [Read more from Opinion](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRkzOinP0S_aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vc2VjdGlvbi9vcGluaW9uP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTM5JmVtYz1lZGl0X3R5XzIwMjIwODAzJmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTY4MzMyJm5sPW9waW5pb24tdG9kYXkmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTEwMDMyNiZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKYuCnY-piFW_IiFIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAA) August 3, 2022 By Dan Martin Senior staff editor Imagine the American Civil War never really ended. The Union Army triumphed on the battlefield, but the Confederacy, instead of surrendering, fled to Florida and dug in across a militarized panhandle, and a lengthy stalemate ensued. It’s an imperfect analogy to apply to the seven-decade rift between Taiwan and China, but it has some value in helping to fathom the intensity of the blood-and-soil passions underlying the dispute. Those passions are threatening to erupt into open conflict between China and the United States. China has intensified [military](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRkzOinP4QVAWh0dHBzOi8vd3d3Lm55dGltZXMuY29tLzIwMjEvMTAvMDkvd29ybGQvYXNpYS91bml0ZWQtc3RhdGVzLWNoaW5hLXRhaXdhbi5odG1sP2FjdGlvbj1jbGljayZjYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0zOSZlbWM9ZWRpdF90eV8yMDIyMDgwMyZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD02ODMzMiZtb2R1bGU9UmVsYXRlZExpbmtzJm5sPW9waW5pb24tdG9kYXkmcGd0eXBlPUFydGljbGUmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTEwMDMyNiZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKYuCnY-piFW_IiFIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAA), [diplomatic](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRkzOinP4QGAWh0dHBzOi8vd3d3LmFhLmNvbS50ci9lbi9hc2lhLXBhY2lmaWMvdGFpd2FuLXNsYW1zLW5pY2FyYWd1YXMtZGlzZ3VzdGluZy1zZWl6dXJlLW9mLWl0cy1mb3JtZXItbWlzc2lvbi8yNDU5NTU4P2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTM5JmVtYz1lZGl0X3R5XzIwMjIwODAzJmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTY4MzMyJm5sPW9waW5pb24tdG9kYXkmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTEwMDMyNiZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKYuCnY-piFW_IiFIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAA) and [economic](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRkzOinP0TkaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cudm94LmNvbS8yMzAwNjM1OS9jaGluYS10YWl3YW4taW1wb3J0LWJhbi1mcnVpdC1waW5lYXBwbGUtYXRlbW95YT9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0zOSZlbWM9ZWRpdF90eV8yMDIyMDgwMyZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD02ODMzMiZubD1vcGluaW9uLXRvZGF5JnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD0xMDAzMjYmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmLgp2PqYhVvyIhSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~) pressure on Taiwan in recent years as part of a long-term strategy to isolate and someday reclaim the democratically ruled island. President Biden has responded by [pledging that the United States would militarily defend Taiwan](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRkzOinP0TdaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wNS8yMy93b3JsZC9hc2lhL2JpZGVuLXRhaXdhbi1jaGluYS5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTM5JmVtYz1lZGl0X3R5XzIwMjIwODAzJmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTY4MzMyJm5sPW9waW5pb24tdG9kYXkmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTEwMDMyNiZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKYuCnY-piFW_IiFIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAA) in the event of a Chinese attack. And now Nancy Pelosi, the speaker of the House, has thrown more potential fuel on the fire with a [trip to Taiwan](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRkzOinP0TTaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vbGl2ZS8yMDIyLzA4LzAyL3dvcmxkL3BlbG9zaS10YWl3YW4_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9MzkmZW1jPWVkaXRfdHlfMjAyMjA4MDMmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9NjgzMzImbmw9b3Bpbmlvbi10b2RheSZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTAwMzI2JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0Qgpi4Kdj6mIVb8iIUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~), meant to reinforce U.S. support. China has responded with plans for [military drills](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRkzOinP0TeaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wOC8wMi93b3JsZC9hc2lhL2NoaW5hLXRhaXdhbi1wZWxvc2kuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0zOSZlbWM9ZWRpdF90eV8yMDIyMDgwMyZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD02ODMzMiZubD1vcGluaW9uLXRvZGF5JnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD0xMDAzMjYmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmLgp2PqYhVvyIhSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~) near the island. We assess these tensions in a pair of contrasting essays. Bonnie Glaser and Zack Cooper, experts on China, [argued](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRkzOinP0TeaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wNy8yOC9vcGluaW9uL2NoaW5hLXVzLXRhaXdhbi1wZWxvc2kuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0zOSZlbWM9ZWRpdF90eV8yMDIyMDgwMyZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD02ODMzMiZubD1vcGluaW9uLXRvZGF5JnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD0xMDAzMjYmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmLgp2PqYhVvyIhSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~) last week that Pelosi’s trip would raise the risk of a superpower confrontation and should be postponed. They urged the Biden administration to lower temperatures by crafting a clear U.S. policy on Taiwan based on a commitment to a peaceful solution. [Continue reading the main story](#a11y-skip-universal-0) ADVERTISEMENT ~/AAAAAQA~/RgRkzOinP0RsaHR0cHM6Ly9saXZlaW50ZW50Lm5ld3lvcmt0aW1lc2luZm8uY29tL2NsaWNrP3M9NTk3ODUmbGk9VFkmbT1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkNyZwPVRZXzIwMjIwODAzVwNueXRCCmLgp2PqYhVvyIhSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~ [In a guest essay this week](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRkzOinP0TfaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wOC8wMy9vcGluaW9uL3RhaXdhbi11cy1kZWZlbnNlLWNoaW5hLmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9MzkmZW1jPWVkaXRfdHlfMjAyMjA4MDMmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9NjgzMzImbmw9b3Bpbmlvbi10b2RheSZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTAwMzI2JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0Qgpi4Kdj6mIVb8iIUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~), Senator Robert Menendez, the chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, takes a different tack, arguing for stronger U.S. security cooperation with Taiwan. The rift between China and Taiwan dates to 1949, when China’s previous Nationalist government fled to the island and established itself there after losing a civil war to the Communists. President Xi Jinping appears more intent than ever to reabsorb Taiwan, which could not only trigger a China-U.S. war but also, if Xi is successful, douse the island’s vibrant democracy and upend security in East Asia. I’ve spent time on both sides of this divide. I moved to Taipei in the 1990s to study Chinese, working nights as an editor at a local English daily newspaper. Taiwan was obsessed with China, and each day’s paper featured a banner headline for even the most insignificant developments in the dispute. Back then, many in Taiwan still clung to the fantasy that Taiwan’s government would someday reconquer China after the inevitable Communist collapse. It hasn’t quite worked out that way. [Continue reading the main story](#a11y-skip-universal-1) ADVERTISEMENT ~/AAAAAQA~/RgRkzOinP0RtaHR0cHM6Ly9saXZlaW50ZW50Lm5ld3lvcmt0aW1lc2luZm8uY29tL2NsaWNrP3M9MjAxODEyJmxpPVRZJm09YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDcmcD1UWV8yMDIyMDgwM1cDbnl0Qgpi4Kdj6mIVb8iIUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~ Later, I reported for a decade in China and was consistently struck by how strongly the country’s people insisted that the rupture with Taiwan was a gaping national wound, like losing a limb. Memories last in an ancient culture. Going back to the U.S. Civil War analogy: Would the United States stand by while a foreign power — let’s say China, for argument’s sake — sold weapons to Florida, pledged to protect it from the United States and took actions that implicitly encouraged its independence? Or would it provoke America? Let’s hope cooler heads prevail. [[Article Image] Lam Yik Fei for The New York Times](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRkzOinP0TfaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wOC8wMy9vcGluaW9uL3RhaXdhbi11cy1kZWZlbnNlLWNoaW5hLmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9MzkmZW1jPWVkaXRfdHlfMjAyMjA4MDMmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9NjgzMzImbmw9b3Bpbmlvbi10b2RheSZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTAwMzI2JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0Qgpi4Kdj6mIVb8iIUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~) [Guest Essay This Is How the U.S. Will Stand With Taiwan If we do nothing, then we must be comfortable with effectively ceding Taiwan by letting China continue its unabated bullying campaign. By Bob Menendez](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRkzOinP0TfaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wOC8wMy9vcGluaW9uL3RhaXdhbi11cy1kZWZlbnNlLWNoaW5hLmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9MzkmZW1jPWVkaXRfdHlfMjAyMjA4MDMmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9NjgzMzImbmw9b3Bpbmlvbi10b2RheSZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTAwMzI2JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0Qgpi4Kdj6mIVb8iIUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~) [[Article Image] Michael A. McCoy for The New York Times](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRkzOinP0TeaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wNy8yOC9vcGluaW9uL2NoaW5hLXVzLXRhaXdhbi1wZWxvc2kuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0zOSZlbWM9ZWRpdF90eV8yMDIyMDgwMyZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD02ODMzMiZubD1vcGluaW9uLXRvZGF5JnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD0xMDAzMjYmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmLgp2PqYhVvyIhSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~) [Guest Essay Nancy Pelosi’s Trip to Taiwan Is Too Dangerous She should postpone until the U.S. clarifies its Taiwan policy. By Bonnie S. Glaser and Zack Cooper](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRkzOinP0TeaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wNy8yOC9vcGluaW9uL2NoaW5hLXVzLXRhaXdhbi1wZWxvc2kuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0zOSZlbWM9ZWRpdF90eV8yMDIyMDgwMyZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD02ODMzMiZubD1vcGluaW9uLXRvZGF5JnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD0xMDAzMjYmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmLgp2PqYhVvyIhSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~) [Continue reading the main story](#a11y-skip-universal-2) ADVERTISEMENT ~/AAAAAQA~/RgRkzOinP0RtaHR0cHM6Ly9saXZlaW50ZW50Lm5ld3lvcmt0aW1lc2luZm8uY29tL2NsaWNrP3M9NzI2NTM3JmxpPVRZJm09YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDcmcD1UWV8yMDIyMDgwM1cDbnl0Qgpi4Kdj6mIVb8iIUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~ Here’s what we’re focusing on today: Editors’ Picks [Guest Essay The Violent Fantasies of Blake Masters His bizarre, menacing vision for American politics could well define the future of his party. By Sam Adler-Bell](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRkzOinP0TkaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wOC8wMy9vcGluaW9uL2JsYWtlLW1hc3RlcnMtYXJpem9uYS1zZW5hdGUuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0zOSZlbWM9ZWRpdF90eV8yMDIyMDgwMyZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD02ODMzMiZubD1vcGluaW9uLXRvZGF5JnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD0xMDAzMjYmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmLgp2PqYhVvyIhSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~) [Article Image](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRkzOinP0TkaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wOC8wMy9vcGluaW9uL2JsYWtlLW1hc3RlcnMtYXJpem9uYS1zZW5hdGUuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0zOSZlbWM9ZWRpdF90eV8yMDIyMDgwMyZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD02ODMzMiZubD1vcGluaW9uLXRvZGF5JnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD0xMDAzMjYmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmLgp2PqYhVvyIhSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~) On the News [Bret Stephens The Last Thing We Needed Was Pelosi Backing Down From a Bully Bullies don’t usually read concessions as anything but signs of weakness. By Bret Stephens](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRkzOinP0TbaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wOC8wMi9vcGluaW9uL3BlbG9zaS10YWl3YW4tY2hpbmEuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0zOSZlbWM9ZWRpdF90eV8yMDIyMDgwMyZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD02ODMzMiZubD1vcGluaW9uLXRvZGF5JnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD0xMDAzMjYmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmLgp2PqYhVvyIhSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~) [Article Image](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRkzOinP0TbaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wOC8wMi9vcGluaW9uL3BlbG9zaS10YWl3YW4tY2hpbmEuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0zOSZlbWM9ZWRpdF90eV8yMDIyMDgwMyZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD02ODMzMiZubD1vcGluaW9uLXRvZGF5JnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD0xMDAzMjYmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmLgp2PqYhVvyIhSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~) [Guest Essay Trump Has Big Plans for 2025 Ignore them at your peril. By Thomas B. Edsall](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRkzOinP0TkaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wOC8wMy9vcGluaW9uL3RydW1wLWhhcy1iaWctcGxhbnMtZm9yLTIwMjUuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0zOSZlbWM9ZWRpdF90eV8yMDIyMDgwMyZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD02ODMzMiZubD1vcGluaW9uLXRvZGF5JnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD0xMDAzMjYmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmLgp2PqYhVvyIhSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~) [Article Image](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRkzOinP0TkaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wOC8wMy9vcGluaW9uL3RydW1wLWhhcy1iaWctcGxhbnMtZm9yLTIwMjUuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0zOSZlbWM9ZWRpdF90eV8yMDIyMDgwMyZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD02ODMzMiZubD1vcGluaW9uLXRvZGF5JnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD0xMDAzMjYmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmLgp2PqYhVvyIhSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~) [Guest Essay The Al Qaeda That Ayman al-Zawahri Leaves Behind The administration clearly misjudged Al Qaeda’s trajectory in Afghanistan and U.S. influence over the Taliban. By Asfandyar Mir](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRkzOinP0TtaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wOC8wMi9vcGluaW9uL2F5bWFuLWFsLXphd2FocmktYWwtcWFlZGEtYWZnaGFuaXN0YW4uaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0zOSZlbWM9ZWRpdF90eV8yMDIyMDgwMyZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD02ODMzMiZubD1vcGluaW9uLXRvZGF5JnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD0xMDAzMjYmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmLgp2PqYhVvyIhSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~) [Article Image](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRkzOinP0TtaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wOC8wMi9vcGluaW9uL2F5bWFuLWFsLXphd2FocmktYWwtcWFlZGEtYWZnaGFuaXN0YW4uaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0zOSZlbWM9ZWRpdF90eV8yMDIyMDgwMyZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD02ODMzMiZubD1vcGluaW9uLXRvZGF5JnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD0xMDAzMjYmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmLgp2PqYhVvyIhSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~) [Paul Krugman Who’s Embargoing Whom? Russia’s peculiar economic war with the West. By Paul Krugman](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRkzOinP0TmaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wOC8wMi9vcGluaW9uL3J1c3NpYS11a3JhaW5lLXdhci1lbWJhcmdvLWdhcy5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTM5JmVtYz1lZGl0X3R5XzIwMjIwODAzJmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTY4MzMyJm5sPW9waW5pb24tdG9kYXkmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTEwMDMyNiZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKYuCnY-piFW_IiFIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAA) [Article Image](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRkzOinP0TmaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wOC8wMi9vcGluaW9uL3J1c3NpYS11a3JhaW5lLXdhci1lbWJhcmdvLWdhcy5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTM5JmVtYz1lZGl0X3R5XzIwMjIwODAzJmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTY4MzMyJm5sPW9waW5pb24tdG9kYXkmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTEwMDMyNiZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKYuCnY-piFW_IiFIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAA) Ideas [Farah Stockman American Democracy Is Not the Beacon It Once Was for Africa’s Elite At a garden party I attended in a wealthy Nairobi suburb, the guests talked global politics and the upcoming presidential election in Kenya. By Farah Stockman](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRkzOinP0TkaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wOC8wMy9vcGluaW9uL2tlbnlhLXByZXNpZGVudGlhbC1lbGVjdGlvbnMuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0zOSZlbWM9ZWRpdF90eV8yMDIyMDgwMyZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD02ODMzMiZubD1vcGluaW9uLXRvZGF5JnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD0xMDAzMjYmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmLgp2PqYhVvyIhSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~) [Article Image](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRkzOinP0TkaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wOC8wMy9vcGluaW9uL2tlbnlhLXByZXNpZGVudGlhbC1lbGVjdGlvbnMuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0zOSZlbWM9ZWRpdF90eV8yMDIyMDgwMyZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD02ODMzMiZubD1vcGluaW9uLXRvZGF5JnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD0xMDAzMjYmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmLgp2PqYhVvyIhSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~) [John McWhorter Are Participles a Thing of the Past? Our informal verbalization of verbs. By John McWhorter](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRkzOinP0TXaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wOC8wMi9vcGluaW9uL3Bhc3QtcGFydGljaXBsZS5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTM5JmVtYz1lZGl0X3R5XzIwMjIwODAzJmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTY4MzMyJm5sPW9waW5pb24tdG9kYXkmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTEwMDMyNiZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKYuCnY-piFW_IiFIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAA) [Article Image](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRkzOinP0TXaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wOC8wMi9vcGluaW9uL3Bhc3QtcGFydGljaXBsZS5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTM5JmVtYz1lZGl0X3R5XzIwMjIwODAzJmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTY4MzMyJm5sPW9waW5pb24tdG9kYXkmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTEwMDMyNiZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKYuCnY-piFW_IiFIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAA) Opinion Audio [The Bad Faith of the New Religious Right Esau McCaulley and Katherine Stewart on how the G.O.P. weaponized Christianity — and where we go from here. By ‘The Argument’](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRkzOinP0TwaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wOC8wMy9vcGluaW9uL3JlcHVibGljYW5zLXJlbGlnaW91cy1yaWdodC10aGUtYXJndW1lbnQuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0zOSZlbWM9ZWRpdF90eV8yMDIyMDgwMyZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD02ODMzMiZubD1vcGluaW9uLXRvZGF5JnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD0xMDAzMjYmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmLgp2PqYhVvyIhSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~) [Article Image](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRkzOinP0TwaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wOC8wMy9vcGluaW9uL3JlcHVibGljYW5zLXJlbGlnaW91cy1yaWdodC10aGUtYXJndW1lbnQuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0zOSZlbWM9ZWRpdF90eV8yMDIyMDgwMyZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD02ODMzMiZubD1vcGluaW9uLXRvZGF5JnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD0xMDAzMjYmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmLgp2PqYhVvyIhSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~) What You’re Saying [letters The Ukraine War: Negotiate or Fight? Readers debate the next steps in the war. Also: China and Taiwan; climate change costs; thanking the Jan. 6 committee; texting with friends.](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRkzOinP0TiaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wOC8wMi9vcGluaW9uL2xldHRlcnMvcnVzc2lhLXVrcmFpbmUtd2FyLmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9MzkmZW1jPWVkaXRfdHlfMjAyMjA4MDMmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9NjgzMzImbmw9b3Bpbmlvbi10b2RheSZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTAwMzI2JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0Qgpi4Kdj6mIVb8iIUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~) [Article Image](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRkzOinP0TiaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wOC8wMi9vcGluaW9uL2xldHRlcnMvcnVzc2lhLXVrcmFpbmUtd2FyLmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9MzkmZW1jPWVkaXRfdHlfMjAyMjA4MDMmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9NjgzMzImbmw9b3Bpbmlvbi10b2RheSZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTAwMzI2JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0Qgpi4Kdj6mIVb8iIUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~) Subscribe Today New York Times Opinion curates a wide range of views, inviting rich discussion and debate that helps readers analyze the world. 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