Opinion Today: Our columnists got it wrong — and they’re admitting it

Today, several of them revisit their misjudgments and incorrect predictions. [View in browser](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRku8UlP4QnAWh0dHBzOi8vbWVzc2FnaW5nLWN1c3RvbS1uZXdzbGV0dGVycy5ueXRpbWVzLmNvbS90ZW1wbGF0ZS9vYWt2Mj9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0zOSZlbWM9ZWRpdF90eV8yMDIyMDcyMSZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD02NzIxNCZubD1vcGluaW9uLXRvZGF5JnByb2R1Y3RDb2RlPVRZJnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD05OTEzMCZ0ZT0xJnVyaT1ueXQlM0ElMkYlMkZuZXdzbGV0dGVyJTJGYTVkODBlOTEtNzA5YS01N2RmLWI1NmUtZTA0YjBlZjA0ODNiJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKYtUlQNlixrW5-1IbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAA)|[nytimes.com](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRku8UlP0SvaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTM5JmVtYz1lZGl0X3R5XzIwMjIwNzIxJmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTY3MjE0Jm5sPW9waW5pb24tdG9kYXkmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTk5MTMwJnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0Qgpi1SVA2WLGtbn7Uht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~)[Continue reading the main story](#a11y-skip-ad-marquee) ~/AAAAAQA~/RgRku8UlP0RtaHR0cHM6Ly9saXZlaW50ZW50Lm5ld3lvcmt0aW1lc2luZm8uY29tL2NsaWNrP3M9MTYyMTM5JmxpPVRZJm09YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDcmcD1UWV8yMDIyMDcyMVcDbnl0Qgpi1SVA2WLGtbn7Uht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~ [Read more from Opinion](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRku8UlP0S-aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vc2VjdGlvbi9vcGluaW9uP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTM5JmVtYz1lZGl0X3R5XzIwMjIwNzIxJmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTY3MjE0Jm5sPW9waW5pb24tdG9kYXkmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTk5MTMwJnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0Qgpi1SVA2WLGtbn7Uht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~) July 21, 2022 The New York Times [Author Headshot](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRku8UlP0TEaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vYnkva2F0aGxlZW4ta2luZ3NidXJ5P2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTM5JmVtYz1lZGl0X3R5XzIwMjIwNzIxJmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTY3MjE0Jm5sPW9waW5pb24tdG9kYXkmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTk5MTMwJnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0Qgpi1SVA2WLGtbn7Uht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~) By [Kathleen Kingsbury](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRku8UlP0TEaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vYnkva2F0aGxlZW4ta2luZ3NidXJ5P2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTM5JmVtYz1lZGl0X3R5XzIwMjIwNzIxJmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTY3MjE0Jm5sPW9waW5pb24tdG9kYXkmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTk5MTMwJnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0Qgpi1SVA2WLGtbn7Uht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~) Opinion Editor No one is infallible. Even the smartest people, the most sophisticated analysts, the sharpest prognosticators all must admit that yes, sometimes, they were off the mark. But in our current age of hyper-partisanship and polarization, where social media echo chambers incentivize digging in and doubling down, these three words are becoming ever rarer: “I was wrong.” But here at Times Opinion we still hold on to the idea that good-faith intellectual debate is possible, that we should all be able to rethink our positions on all kinds of issues, from the most serious to the most trivial. There’s no shame in saying “I was wrong.” We invited our Opinion columnists to reflect on when they have misjudged, predicted incorrectly, let their preconceived ideas blind them to the facts. Eight of them weighed in. These writers share their opinions and analyses with millions of readers every week. It’s not necessarily easy for them to engage in self-reproach. But we hope that in doing so they can show the rest of us how valuable it can be to admit when you get things wrong. [Read on here.](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRku8UlP0TtaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vaW50ZXJhY3RpdmUvMjAyMi8wNy8yMS9vcGluaW9uL255dC1jb2x1bW5pc3RzLWktd2FzLXdyb25nLmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9MzkmZW1jPWVkaXRfdHlfMjAyMjA3MjEmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9NjcyMTQmbmw9b3Bpbmlvbi10b2RheSZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9OTkxMzAmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmLVJUDZYsa1uftSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~) [Article Image](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRku8UlP0TtaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vaW50ZXJhY3RpdmUvMjAyMi8wNy8yMS9vcGluaW9uL255dC1jb2x1bW5pc3RzLWktd2FzLXdyb25nLmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9MzkmZW1jPWVkaXRfdHlfMjAyMjA3MjEmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9NjcyMTQmbmw9b3Bpbmlvbi10b2RheSZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9OTkxMzAmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmLVJUDZYsa1uftSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~) [The New York Times's Columnists on What They Got Wrong Eight Times Opinion columnists revisit their incorrect predictions and bad advice — and reflect on why they changed their minds.](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRku8UlP0TtaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vaW50ZXJhY3RpdmUvMjAyMi8wNy8yMS9vcGluaW9uL255dC1jb2x1bW5pc3RzLWktd2FzLXdyb25nLmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9MzkmZW1jPWVkaXRfdHlfMjAyMjA3MjEmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9NjcyMTQmbmw9b3Bpbmlvbi10b2RheSZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9OTkxMzAmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmLVJUDZYsa1uftSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~) [Continue reading the main story](#a11y-skip-universal-0) ADVERTISEMENT ~/AAAAAQA~/RgRku8UlP0RsaHR0cHM6Ly9saXZlaW50ZW50Lm5ld3lvcmt0aW1lc2luZm8uY29tL2NsaWNrP3M9NTk3ODUmbGk9VFkmbT1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkNyZwPVRZXzIwMjIwNzIxVwNueXRCCmLVJUDZYsa1uftSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~ Here’s what we’re focusing on today: Editors’ Picks [Guest Essay How to Make a Decision When There’s No ‘Right’ One Life’s biggest problems are hard to tame with rationality. 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By David Wallace-Wells](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRku8UlP0TnaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wNy8yMC9vcGluaW9uL2NvdmlkLTE5LWRlYXRocy12YWNjaW5lcy1lbmRlbWljLmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9MzkmZW1jPWVkaXRfdHlfMjAyMjA3MjEmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9NjcyMTQmbmw9b3Bpbmlvbi10b2RheSZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9OTkxMzAmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmLVJUDZYsa1uftSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~) [Article Image](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRku8UlP0TnaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wNy8yMC9vcGluaW9uL2NvdmlkLTE5LWRlYXRocy12YWNjaW5lcy1lbmRlbWljLmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9MzkmZW1jPWVkaXRfdHlfMjAyMjA3MjEmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9NjcyMTQmbmw9b3Bpbmlvbi10b2RheSZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9OTkxMzAmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmLVJUDZYsa1uftSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~) [John McWhorter Give Duke Ellington the 1965 Pulitzer Prize An overdue reckoning worth reckoning with. By John McWhorter](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRku8UlP0TVaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wNy8yMC9vcGluaW9uL2R1a2UtZWxsaW5ndG9uLmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9MzkmZW1jPWVkaXRfdHlfMjAyMjA3MjEmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9NjcyMTQmbmw9b3Bpbmlvbi10b2RheSZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9OTkxMzAmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmLVJUDZYsa1uftSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~) [Article Image](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRku8UlP0TVaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wNy8yMC9vcGluaW9uL2R1a2UtZWxsaW5ndG9uLmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9MzkmZW1jPWVkaXRfdHlfMjAyMjA3MjEmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9NjcyMTQmbmw9b3Bpbmlvbi10b2RheSZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9OTkxMzAmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmLVJUDZYsa1uftSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~) [Guest Essay There’s a Reason We Can’t Have Nice Things “Racism has undermined efforts to deliver a social safety net in the U.S. for a very long time,” one scholar says. By Bryce Covert](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRku8UlP0TjaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wNy8yMS9vcGluaW9uL3JhY2lzbS1wYWlkLWxlYXZlLWNoaWxkLWNhcmUuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0zOSZlbWM9ZWRpdF90eV8yMDIyMDcyMSZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD02NzIxNCZubD1vcGluaW9uLXRvZGF5JnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD05OTEzMCZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKYtUlQNlixrW5-1IbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAA) [Article Image](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRku8UlP0TjaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wNy8yMS9vcGluaW9uL3JhY2lzbS1wYWlkLWxlYXZlLWNoaWxkLWNhcmUuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0zOSZlbWM9ZWRpdF90eV8yMDIyMDcyMSZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD02NzIxNCZubD1vcGluaW9uLXRvZGF5JnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD05OTEzMCZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKYtUlQNlixrW5-1IbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAA) [Jessica Grose Why Do Moms Tend to Manage the Household Scheduling? Are we in a “transitional” moment for dads? By Jessica Grose](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRku8UlP0TWaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wNy8yMC9vcGluaW9uL21vbXMtc2NoZWR1bGluZy5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTM5JmVtYz1lZGl0X3R5XzIwMjIwNzIxJmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTY3MjE0Jm5sPW9waW5pb24tdG9kYXkmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTk5MTMwJnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0Qgpi1SVA2WLGtbn7Uht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~) [Article Image](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRku8UlP0TWaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wNy8yMC9vcGluaW9uL21vbXMtc2NoZWR1bGluZy5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTM5JmVtYz1lZGl0X3R5XzIwMjIwNzIxJmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTY3MjE0Jm5sPW9waW5pb24tdG9kYXkmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTk5MTMwJnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0Qgpi1SVA2WLGtbn7Uht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~) [Continue reading the main story](#a11y-skip-universal-1) ADVERTISEMENT ~/AAAAAQA~/RgRku8UlP0RtaHR0cHM6Ly9saXZlaW50ZW50Lm5ld3lvcmt0aW1lc2luZm8uY29tL2NsaWNrP3M9MjAxODEyJmxpPVRZJm09YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDcmcD1UWV8yMDIyMDcyMVcDbnl0Qgpi1SVA2WLGtbn7Uht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~ Opinion Audio [A Pastor Burned Out by Our Divided Country For Dan White Jr., a trauma diagnosis pushed him toward a new calling: helping other exhausted faith leaders find peace. By ‘First Person’](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRku8UlP0TxaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wNy8yMS9vcGluaW9uL2EtcGFzdG9yLWJ1cm5lZC1vdXQtYnktb3VyLWRpdmlkZWQtY291bnRyeS5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTM5JmVtYz1lZGl0X3R5XzIwMjIwNzIxJmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTY3MjE0Jm5sPW9waW5pb24tdG9kYXkmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTk5MTMwJnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0Qgpi1SVA2WLGtbn7Uht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~) [Article Image](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRku8UlP0TxaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMi8wNy8yMS9vcGluaW9uL2EtcGFzdG9yLWJ1cm5lZC1vdXQtYnktb3VyLWRpdmlkZWQtY291bnRyeS5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTM5JmVtYz1lZGl0X3R5XzIwMjIwNzIxJmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTY3MjE0Jm5sPW9waW5pb24tdG9kYXkmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTk5MTMwJnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0Qgpi1SVA2WLGtbn7Uht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~) What You’re Saying [letters Discontent Leads to Calls for New Third Parties Readers react to a new Moderate Party and offer other ideas for alternative parties. 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