Upshot: Stock Market’s Covid Pattern

Also: How the supply chain crisis unfolded [View in browser](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRjlLL4P4QkAWh0dHBzOi8vbWVzc2FnaW5nLWN1c3RvbS1uZXdzbGV0dGVycy5ueXRpbWVzLmNvbS90ZW1wbGF0ZS9vYWt2Mj9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0yOSZlbWM9ZWRpdF91cF8yMDIxMTIwOSZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD00NzM4NyZubD10aGUtdXBzaG90JnByb2R1Y3RDb2RlPVVQJnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD03NjUzNiZ0ZT0xJnVyaT1ueXQlM0ElMkYlMkZuZXdzbGV0dGVyJTJGNTJhNzY5YmEtNGY1Mi01ZmE0LTliN2EtOTVkZmUwNzRiMjA3JnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKYbL4LbJhLAzp6lIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAA)|[nytimes.com](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRjlLL4P0SsaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTI5JmVtYz1lZGl0X3VwXzIwMjExMjA5Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTQ3Mzg3Jm5sPXRoZS11cHNob3QmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTc2NTM2JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgphsvgtsmEsDOnqUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~)[Continue reading the main story](#a11y-skip-ad-marquee) ~/AAAAAQA~/RgRjlLL4P0RtaHR0cHM6Ly9saXZlaW50ZW50Lm5ld3lvcmt0aW1lc2luZm8uY29tL2NsaWNrP3M9MTYyMDE0JmxpPVVQJm09YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDcmcD1VUF8yMDIxMTIwOVcDbnl0QgphsvgtsmEsDOnqUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~ [NYTimes.com/Upshot](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRjlLL4P0SxaHR0cDovL3d3dy5ueXRpbWVzLmNvbS91cHNob3Q_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9MjkmZW1jPWVkaXRfdXBfMjAyMTEyMDkmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9NDczODcmbmw9dGhlLXVwc2hvdCZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9NzY1MzYmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmGy-C2yYSwM6epSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~) December 9, 2021 [Article Image](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRjlLL4P0TraHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vaW50ZXJhY3RpdmUvMjAyMS8xMi8wNy9idXNpbmVzcy9vbWljcm9uLXN0b2NrLW1hcmtldC1jb3ZpZC5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTI5JmVtYz1lZGl0X3VwXzIwMjExMjA5Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTQ3Mzg3Jm5sPXRoZS11cHNob3QmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTc2NTM2JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgphsvgtsmEsDOnqUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~) [The Stock Market’s Covid Pattern: Faster Recovery From Each Panic Pandemic-driven declines don’t last as long as before, and are followed by recoveries to new highs. The dip after Omicron is following a similar pattern. By Karl Russell and Mohammed Hadi](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRjlLL4P0TraHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vaW50ZXJhY3RpdmUvMjAyMS8xMi8wNy9idXNpbmVzcy9vbWljcm9uLXN0b2NrLW1hcmtldC1jb3ZpZC5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTI5JmVtYz1lZGl0X3VwXzIwMjExMjA5Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTQ3Mzg3Jm5sPXRoZS11cHNob3QmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTc2NTM2JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgphsvgtsmEsDOnqUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~) Subscribe Today We hope you’ve enjoyed this newsletter, which is made possible through subscriber support. 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If you have a compelling data set you’d like us to pursue, send it to [dear.upshot@nytimes.com](mailto:dear.upshot@nytimes.com?subject=Upshot%20Newsletter%20Feedback). WEEKLY HIGHLIGHTS [[Article Image] Brian Britigan](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRjlLL4P0TjaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMS8xMi8wMy9idXNpbmVzcy9vbWljcm9uLXN0b2NrLW1hcmtldC1mb3JlY2FzdHMuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0yOSZlbWM9ZWRpdF91cF8yMDIxMTIwOSZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD00NzM4NyZubD10aGUtdXBzaG90JnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD03NjUzNiZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKYbL4LbJhLAzp6lIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAA) [Strategies The Markets Are Confused, but Wall Street Is Still Making Predictions The emergence of the Omicron variant underlines the difficulty of planning even a few weeks ahead. Wall Street is forecasting next year’s precise market returns, regardless. By Jeff Sommer](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRjlLL4P0TjaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMS8xMi8wMy9idXNpbmVzcy9vbWljcm9uLXN0b2NrLW1hcmtldC1mb3JlY2FzdHMuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0yOSZlbWM9ZWRpdF91cF8yMDIxMTIwOSZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD00NzM4NyZubD10aGUtdXBzaG90JnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD03NjUzNiZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKYbL4LbJhLAzp6lIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAA) [Article Image](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRjlLL4P0TlaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vaW50ZXJhY3RpdmUvMjAyMS8xMi8wNS9idXNpbmVzcy9lY29ub215L3N1cHBseS1jaGFpbi5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTI5JmVtYz1lZGl0X3VwXzIwMjExMjA5Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTQ3Mzg3Jm5sPXRoZS11cHNob3QmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTc2NTM2JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgphsvgtsmEsDOnqUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~) [How the Supply Chain Crisis Unfolded The highly intricate and interconnected global supply chain is in upheaval, and in one way or another, much of the crisis can be traced to the outbreak of Covid-19. By Lazaro Gamio and Peter S. Goodman](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRjlLL4P0TlaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vaW50ZXJhY3RpdmUvMjAyMS8xMi8wNS9idXNpbmVzcy9lY29ub215L3N1cHBseS1jaGFpbi5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTI5JmVtYz1lZGl0X3VwXzIwMjExMjA5Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTQ3Mzg3Jm5sPXRoZS11cHNob3QmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTc2NTM2JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgphsvgtsmEsDOnqUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~) IN CASE YOU MISSED IT [Article Image](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRjlLL4P0T6aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMS8xMi8wMi9yZWFsZXN0YXRlL3lvdXItZnV0dXJlLWxhbmRsb3JkLWp1c3Qtb3V0YmlkLXlvdS1mb3ItdGhhdC1ob3VzZS5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTI5JmVtYz1lZGl0X3VwXzIwMjExMjA5Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTQ3Mzg3Jm5sPXRoZS11cHNob3QmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTc2NTM2JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgphsvgtsmEsDOnqUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~) [Calculator Your Future Landlord Just Outbid You for That House In a tough home-sales market, investors are winning more often. 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