Upshot: We Have a New Poll of Texas

Also: Strain on marriages in the Trump era [View in browser](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRheYnmP4QkAWh0dHBzOi8vbWVzc2FnaW5nLWN1c3RvbS1uZXdzbGV0dGVycy5ueXRpbWVzLmNvbS90ZW1wbGF0ZS9vYWt2Mj9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0yOSZlbWM9ZWRpdF91cF8yMDIwMTAyNiZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0yMzQ5OCZubD10aGUtdXBzaG90JnByb2R1Y3RDb2RlPVVQJnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD00MjMxNyZ0ZT0xJnVyaT1ueXQlM0ElMkYlMkZuZXdzbGV0dGVyJTJGZTdhNTcwY2MtY2FkNS01YTc4LTg0MGYtNmZlYjcwZTBlNGRkJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKACHmBJdfaCQWrlIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAA)|[nytimes.com](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRheYnmP0SsaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTI5JmVtYz1lZGl0X3VwXzIwMjAxMDI2Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTIzNDk4Jm5sPXRoZS11cHNob3QmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTQyMzE3JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgoAIeYEl19oJBauUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~)[Continue reading the main story](#a11y-skip-ad-marquee) ~/AAAAAQA~/RgRheYnmP0RtaHR0cHM6Ly9saXZlaW50ZW50Lm5ld3lvcmt0aW1lc2luZm8uY29tL2NsaWNrP3M9MTYyMDE0JmxpPVVQJm09YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDcmcD1VUF8yMDIwMTAyNlcDbnl0QgoAIeYEl19oJBauUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~ [NYTimes.com/Upshot](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRheYnmP0SxaHR0cDovL3d3dy5ueXRpbWVzLmNvbS91cHNob3Q_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9MjkmZW1jPWVkaXRfdXBfMjAyMDEwMjYmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9MjM0OTgmbmw9dGhlLXVwc2hvdCZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9NDIzMTcmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCgAh5gSXX2gkFq5SG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~) October 26, 2020 [[Article Image]  ](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRheYnmP0TdaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMC8xMC8yNi91cHNob3QvcG9sbC10ZXhhcy1oaXNwYW5pY3MtdHJ1bXAuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0yOSZlbWM9ZWRpdF91cF8yMDIwMTAyNiZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0yMzQ5OCZubD10aGUtdXBzaG90JnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD00MjMxNyZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKACHmBJdfaCQWrlIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAA)   [With Weakness Among Hispanic Voters, Biden Trails in Texas Large Democratic gains among white suburbanites suggest risks down the ballot for Republicans in congressional and state House races, our poll shows. By Nate Cohn](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRheYnmP0TdaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMC8xMC8yNi91cHNob3QvcG9sbC10ZXhhcy1oaXNwYW5pY3MtdHJ1bXAuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0yOSZlbWM9ZWRpdF91cF8yMDIwMTAyNiZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0yMzQ5OCZubD10aGUtdXBzaG90JnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD00MjMxNyZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKACHmBJdfaCQWrlIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAA) [[Article Image] Jesse Rieser for The New York Times](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRheYnmP0TWaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMC8xMC8yNi91cHNob3QvbWFycmlhZ2VzLXRydW1wLWVyYS5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTI5JmVtYz1lZGl0X3VwXzIwMjAxMDI2Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTIzNDk4Jm5sPXRoZS11cHNob3QmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTQyMzE3JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgoAIeYEl19oJBauUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~)   [How the Trump Era Has Strained, and Strengthened, Politically Mixed Marriages Fewer people want to date those with different political views. But couples are also talking through political issues more. By Claire Cain Miller](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRheYnmP0TWaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMC8xMC8yNi91cHNob3QvbWFycmlhZ2VzLXRydW1wLWVyYS5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTI5JmVtYz1lZGl0X3VwXzIwMjAxMDI2Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTIzNDk4Jm5sPXRoZS11cHNob3QmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTQyMzE3JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgoAIeYEl19oJBauUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~) [[Article Image] Chad Batka and Celeste Sloman for The New York Times](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRheYnmP0TsaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vaW50ZXJhY3RpdmUvMjAyMC8xMC8yNC91cHNob3QvdGhlc2UtNTI2LXZvdGVycy1hLXllYXItbGF0ZXIuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0yOSZlbWM9ZWRpdF91cF8yMDIwMTAyNiZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0yMzQ5OCZubD10aGUtdXBzaG90JnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD00MjMxNyZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKACHmBJdfaCQWrlIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAA)   [These Americans Tried to Listen to One Another. A Year Later, Here’s How They’re Voting. A year ago, 526 voters met in Texas to talk politics. We caught up with them ahead of the election. By Emily Badger, Kevin Quealy, Chad Batka, Celeste Sloman and Rumsey Taylor](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRheYnmP0TsaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vaW50ZXJhY3RpdmUvMjAyMC8xMC8yNC91cHNob3QvdGhlc2UtNTI2LXZvdGVycy1hLXllYXItbGF0ZXIuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0yOSZlbWM9ZWRpdF91cF8yMDIwMTAyNiZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0yMzQ5OCZubD10aGUtdXBzaG90JnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD00MjMxNyZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKACHmBJdfaCQWrlIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAA) [No tightening so far after the debate. By Nate Cohn](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRheYnmP0T6aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vbGl2ZS8yMDIwL3ByZXNpZGVudGlhbC1wb2xscy10cnVtcC1iaWRlbi9uby10aWdodGVuaW5nLXNvLWZhci1hZnRlci10aGUtZGViYXRlP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTI5JmVtYz1lZGl0X3VwXzIwMjAxMDI2Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTIzNDk4Jm5sPXRoZS11cHNob3QmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTQyMzE3JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgoAIeYEl19oJBauUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~) [Article Thumbnail](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRheYnmP0T6aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vbGl2ZS8yMDIwL3ByZXNpZGVudGlhbC1wb2xscy10cnVtcC1iaWRlbi9uby10aWdodGVuaW5nLXNvLWZhci1hZnRlci10aGUtZGViYXRlP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTI5JmVtYz1lZGl0X3VwXzIwMjAxMDI2Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTIzNDk4Jm5sPXRoZS11cHNob3QmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTQyMzE3JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgoAIeYEl19oJBauUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~) [The one poll to care about today. By Nate Cohn](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRheYnmP0T1aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vbGl2ZS8yMDIwL3ByZXNpZGVudGlhbC1wb2xscy10cnVtcC1iaWRlbi90aGUtb25lLXBvbGwtdG8tY2FyZS1hYm91dC10b2RheT9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0yOSZlbWM9ZWRpdF91cF8yMDIwMTAyNiZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0yMzQ5OCZubD10aGUtdXBzaG90JnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD00MjMxNyZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKACHmBJdfaCQWrlIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAA) [Article Thumbnail](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRheYnmP0T1aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vbGl2ZS8yMDIwL3ByZXNpZGVudGlhbC1wb2xscy10cnVtcC1iaWRlbi90aGUtb25lLXBvbGwtdG8tY2FyZS1hYm91dC10b2RheT9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0yOSZlbWM9ZWRpdF91cF8yMDIwMTAyNiZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0yMzQ5OCZubD10aGUtdXBzaG90JnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD00MjMxNyZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKACHmBJdfaCQWrlIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAA) [Continue reading the main story](#a11y-skip-0) ADVERTISEMENT ~/AAAAAQA~/RgRheYnmP0RtaHR0cHM6Ly9saXZlaW50ZW50Lm5ld3lvcmt0aW1lc2luZm8uY29tL2NsaWNrP3M9MTYyMDExJmxpPVVQJm09YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDcmcD1VUF8yMDIwMTAyNlcDbnl0QgoAIeYEl19oJBauUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~ ~/AAAAAQA~/RgRheYnmP0RtaHR0cHM6Ly9saXZlaW50ZW50Lm5ld3lvcmt0aW1lc2luZm8uY29tL2NsaWNrP3M9MTYyMDEzJmxpPVVQJm09YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDcmcD1VUF8yMDIwMTAyNlcDbnl0QgoAIeYEl19oJBauUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~ ~/AAAAAQA~/RgRheYnmP0RtaHR0cHM6Ly9saXZlaW50ZW50Lm5ld3lvcmt0aW1lc2luZm8uY29tL2NsaWNrP3M9MTYyMDEyJmxpPVVQJm09YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDcmcD1VUF8yMDIwMTAyNlcDbnl0QgoAIeYEl19oJBauUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~ Feedback For suggestions on how we can improve this newsletter, write to [theupshotnewsletter@nytimes.com](mailto:theupshotnewsletter@nytimes.com?subject=Upshot%20Newsletter%20Feedback). 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But there is a lot of regional variation. 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By Allison McCann and Lauren Leatherby](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRheYnmP0TraHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vaW50ZXJhY3RpdmUvMjAyMC8xMC8yMi93b3JsZC9ldXJvcGUvZXVyb3BlLWhvc3BpdGFscy1jb3ZpZC5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTI5JmVtYz1lZGl0X3VwXzIwMjAxMDI2Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTIzNDk4Jm5sPXRoZS11cHNob3QmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTQyMzE3JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgoAIeYEl19oJBauUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~) IN CASE YOU MISSED IT [[Article Image] Oliver Contreras for The New York Times](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRheYnmP0TgaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMC8xMC8yMi91cy9wb2xpdGljcy90cnVtcC1wcmVzY3JpcHRpb24tZHJ1Z3MuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0yOSZlbWM9ZWRpdF91cF8yMDIwMTAyNiZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0yMzQ5OCZubD10aGUtdXBzaG90JnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD00MjMxNyZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKACHmBJdfaCQWrlIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAA)   [Trump Promised Seniors Drug Discount Cards. They May Be Illegal. A proposal announced by President Trump last month was to send older Americans $200 discount cards to offset prescription costs. It’s not going to happen before the election, and maybe not ever. By Margot Sanger-Katz and Noah Weiland](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRheYnmP0TgaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMC8xMC8yMi91cy9wb2xpdGljcy90cnVtcC1wcmVzY3JpcHRpb24tZHJ1Z3MuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0yOSZlbWM9ZWRpdF91cF8yMDIwMTAyNiZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0yMzQ5OCZubD10aGUtdXBzaG90JnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD00MjMxNyZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKACHmBJdfaCQWrlIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAA) [[Article Image]  ](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRheYnmP0TgaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMC8xMC8yMy91cHNob3QvcG9sbC1tb250YW5hLWVsZWN0aW9uLWJ1bGxvY2suaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0yOSZlbWM9ZWRpdF91cF8yMDIwMTAyNiZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0yMzQ5OCZubD10aGUtdXBzaG90JnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD00MjMxNyZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKACHmBJdfaCQWrlIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAA)   [Democrat Trails Narrowly in Key Montana Senate Race Democrats, including Biden, are competitive in a red state, and Bullock is three points behind in the contest the party cares about most. 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