Upshot: How Deadly Is Coronavirus?

Also: The tax code is overtaxed [View in browser](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRgSNqPP4QsAWh0dHBzOi8vbWVzc2FnaW5nLWN1c3RvbS1uZXdzbGV0dGVycy5ueXRpbWVzLmNvbS90ZW1wbGF0ZS9vYWt2Mj91cmk9bnl0Oi8vbmV3c2xldHRlci9jYTM5NGZjNC1mNmVkLTQ2MWEtODMwMy02NmY0M2ZkNGYzYmImcHJvZHVjdENvZGU9VVAmdGU9MSZubD10aGUtdXBzaG90JmVtYz1lZGl0X3VwXzIwMjAwMzA5JmNhbXBhaWduX2lkPTI5Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTE2NjA0JnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MjIwMjImdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkNyZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyZWRpdF91cF8yMDIwMDMwOVcDbnl0QgoAKo9VZl6JQbzmUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~)|[nytimes.com](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRgSNqPP0S0aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vP3RlPTEmbmw9dGhlLXVwc2hvdCZlbWM9ZWRpdF91cF8yMDIwMDMwOSZjYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0yOSZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0xNjYwNCZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTIyMDIyJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDcmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MjIwMjAwMzA5VwNueXRCCgAqj1VmXolBvOZSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~)[Continue reading the main story](#a11y-skip-ad-marquee) ~/AAAAAQA~/RgRgSNqPP0RtaHR0cHM6Ly9saXZlaW50ZW50Lm5ld3lvcmt0aW1lc2luZm8uY29tL2NsaWNrP3M9MTYyMDE0JmxpPVVQJm09YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDcmcD1VUF8yMDIwMDMwOVcDbnl0QgoAKo9VZl6JQbzmUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~ [NYTimes.com/Upshot](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRgSNqPP0S5aHR0cDovL3d3dy5ueXRpbWVzLmNvbS91cHNob3Q_dGU9MSZubD10aGUtdXBzaG90JmVtYz1lZGl0X3VwXzIwMjAwMzA5JmNhbXBhaWduX2lkPTI5Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTE2NjA0JnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MjIwMjImdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkNyZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyMjAyMDAzMDlXA255dEIKACqPVWZeiUG85lIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAA) March 9, 2020 ~/AAAAAQA~/RgRgSNqPP0T9aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vaW50ZXJhY3RpdmUvMjAyMC8wMy8wNy91cHNob3QvaG93LWRlYWRseS1pcy1jb3JvbmF2aXJ1cy13aGF0LXdlLWtub3cuaHRtbD90ZT0xJm5sPXRoZS11cHNob3QmZW1jPWVkaXRfdXBfMjAyMDAzMDkmY2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9MjkmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9MTY2MDQmc2VnbWVudF9pZD0yMjAyMiZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3JnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTIyMDIwMDMwOVcDbnl0QgoAKo9VZl6JQbzmUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~ [Article Image]     [How Deadly Is Coronavirus? What We Know and What We Don’t The disease is still so new, and testing so limited, that the usual methods of analysis epidemiologists rely on are not yet viable. By Quoctrung Bui, Margot Sanger-Katz and Sarah Kliff](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRgSNqPP0T9aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vaW50ZXJhY3RpdmUvMjAyMC8wMy8wNy91cHNob3QvaG93LWRlYWRseS1pcy1jb3JvbmF2aXJ1cy13aGF0LXdlLWtub3cuaHRtbD90ZT0xJm5sPXRoZS11cHNob3QmZW1jPWVkaXRfdXBfMjAyMDAzMDkmY2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9MjkmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9MTY2MDQmc2VnbWVudF9pZD0yMjAyMiZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3JnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTIyMDIwMDMwOVcDbnl0QgoAKo9VZl6JQbzmUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~) ~/AAAAAQA~/RgRgSNqPP0TgaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMC8wMy8wNi91cHNob3QvdGF4LWNvZGUtaXJzLXByb2JsZW1zLmh0bWw_dGU9MSZubD10aGUtdXBzaG90JmVtYz1lZGl0X3VwXzIwMjAwMzA5JmNhbXBhaWduX2lkPTI5Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTE2NjA0JnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MjIwMjImdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkNyZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyMjAyMDAzMDlXA255dEIKACqPVWZeiUG85lIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAA [Article Image] Nicolas Ortega   [Your Taxes 2020 The Tax Code Is Overtaxed The I.R.S. has become the de facto administrator of a startling number of social welfare programs. By Neil Irwin](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRgSNqPP0TgaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMC8wMy8wNi91cHNob3QvdGF4LWNvZGUtaXJzLXByb2JsZW1zLmh0bWw_dGU9MSZubD10aGUtdXBzaG90JmVtYz1lZGl0X3VwXzIwMjAwMzA5JmNhbXBhaWduX2lkPTI5Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTE2NjA0JnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MjIwMjImdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkNyZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyMjAyMDAzMDlXA255dEIKACqPVWZeiUG85lIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAA) ~/AAAAAQA~/RgRgSNqPP0TqaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMC8wMy8wNi91cHNob3QvYmVybmllLXNhbmRlcnMtbWljaGlnYW4tcHJvYmxlbS5odG1sP3RlPTEmbmw9dGhlLXVwc2hvdCZlbWM9ZWRpdF91cF8yMDIwMDMwOSZjYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0yOSZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0xNjYwNCZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTIyMDIyJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDcmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MjIwMjAwMzA5VwNueXRCCgAqj1VmXolBvOZSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~ [Article Image] Scott Heins/Getty Images   [Bernie Sanders Might Have a Michigan Problem An analysis of how states have voted so far, particularly white voters, shows he’s vulnerable to a reversal of his striking victory there in 2016. By Nate Cohn](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRgSNqPP0TqaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMC8wMy8wNi91cHNob3QvYmVybmllLXNhbmRlcnMtbWljaGlnYW4tcHJvYmxlbS5odG1sP3RlPTEmbmw9dGhlLXVwc2hvdCZlbWM9ZWRpdF91cF8yMDIwMDMwOSZjYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0yOSZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0xNjYwNCZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTIyMDIyJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDcmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MjIwMjAwMzA5VwNueXRCCgAqj1VmXolBvOZSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~) [Continue reading the main story](#a11y-skip-0) ADVERTISEMENT ~/AAAAAQA~/RgRgSNqPP0RtaHR0cHM6Ly9saXZlaW50ZW50Lm5ld3lvcmt0aW1lc2luZm8uY29tL2NsaWNrP3M9MTYyMDExJmxpPVVQJm09YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDcmcD1VUF8yMDIwMDMwOVcDbnl0QgoAKo9VZl6JQbzmUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~ ~/AAAAAQA~/RgRgSNqPP0RtaHR0cHM6Ly9saXZlaW50ZW50Lm5ld3lvcmt0aW1lc2luZm8uY29tL2NsaWNrP3M9MTYyMDEzJmxpPVVQJm09YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDcmcD1VUF8yMDIwMDMwOVcDbnl0QgoAKo9VZl6JQbzmUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~ ~/AAAAAQA~/RgRgSNqPP0RtaHR0cHM6Ly9saXZlaW50ZW50Lm5ld3lvcmt0aW1lc2luZm8uY29tL2NsaWNrP3M9MTYyMDEyJmxpPVVQJm09YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDcmcD1VUF8yMDIwMDMwOVcDbnl0QgoAKo9VZl6JQbzmUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~ Feedback For suggestions on how we can improve this newsletter, write to [theupshotnewsletter@nytimes.com](mailto:theupshotnewsletter@nytimes.com?subject=Upshot%20Newsletter%20Feedback). 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By James Gorman](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRgSNqPP0TjaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMC8wMy8wNS9oZWFsdGgvY29yb25hdmlydXMtZGVhdGhzLXJhdGVzLmh0bWw_dGU9MSZubD10aGUtdXBzaG90JmVtYz1lZGl0X3VwXzIwMjAwMzA5JmNhbXBhaWduX2lkPTI5Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTE2NjA0JnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MjIwMjImdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkNyZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyMjAyMDAzMDlXA255dEIKACqPVWZeiUG85lIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAA) [Continue reading the main story](#a11y-skip-1) ADVERTISEMENT ~/AAAAAQA~/RgRgSNqPP0RtaHR0cHM6Ly9saXZlaW50ZW50Lm5ld3lvcmt0aW1lc2luZm8uY29tL2NsaWNrP3M9MTE5NDU0JmxpPVVQJm09YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDcmcD1VUF8yMDIwMDMwOVcDbnl0QgoAKo9VZl6JQbzmUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~ ~/AAAAAQA~/RgRgSNqPP0RtaHR0cHM6Ly9saXZlaW50ZW50Lm5ld3lvcmt0aW1lc2luZm8uY29tL2NsaWNrP3M9MTE5NDU1JmxpPVVQJm09YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDcmcD1VUF8yMDIwMDMwOVcDbnl0QgoAKo9VZl6JQbzmUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~ ~/AAAAAQA~/RgRgSNqPP0RtaHR0cHM6Ly9saXZlaW50ZW50Lm5ld3lvcmt0aW1lc2luZm8uY29tL2NsaWNrP3M9MTE5NDU2JmxpPVVQJm09YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDcmcD1VUF8yMDIwMDMwOVcDbnl0QgoAKo9VZl6JQbzmUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~ IN CASE YOU MISSED IT ~/AAAAAQA~/RgRgSNqPP0TqaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vaW50ZXJhY3RpdmUvMjAyMC8wMy8wNC9vcGluaW9uL3dvbWVuLXVucGFpZC1sYWJvci5odG1sP3RlPTEmbmw9dGhlLXVwc2hvdCZlbWM9ZWRpdF91cF8yMDIwMDMwOSZjYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0yOSZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0xNjYwNCZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTIyMDIyJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDcmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MjIwMjAwMzA5VwNueXRCCgAqj1VmXolBvOZSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~ [Article Image]     [Women’s Unpaid Labor is Worth $10,900,000,000,000 That’s more than the combined revenue of Apple, Amazon and Walmart. Way more. By Gus Wezerek and Kristen R. 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