Is this coronavirus the “Big One”?

The benchmark is the 1918 Spanish flu that killed at least 50 million. [View in browser](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRgPUpgP4QyAWh0dHBzOi8vbWVzc2FnaW5nLWN1c3RvbS1uZXdzbGV0dGVycy5ueXRpbWVzLmNvbS90ZW1wbGF0ZS9vYWt2Mj91cmk9bnl0Oi8vbmV3c2xldHRlci9jODJiZTFhMC1jNGI3LTRhNjItYjNhYi00ZjMxNDYxNTU0NjAmcHJvZHVjdENvZGU9TksmdGU9MSZubD1uaWNob2xhcy1rcmlzdG9mJmVtYz1lZGl0X25rXzIwMjAwMjI5JmNhbXBhaWduX2lkPTQ1Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTE2Mzg2JnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MjE3NTgmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkNyZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyZWRpdF9ua18yMDIwMDIyOVcDbnl0QgoAK2DFWl7HWRQdUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~)|[nytimes.com](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRgPUpgP0S6aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vP3RlPTEmbmw9bmljaG9sYXMta3Jpc3RvZiZlbWM9ZWRpdF9ua18yMDIwMDIyOSZjYW1wYWlnbl9pZD00NSZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0xNjM4NiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTIxNzU4JnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDcmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MjIwMjAwMjI5VwNueXRCCgArYMVaXsdZFB1SG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~)[Continue reading the main story](#a11y-skip-ad-marquee) ~/AAAAAQA~/RgRgPUpgP0RtaHR0cHM6Ly9saXZlaW50ZW50Lm5ld3lvcmt0aW1lc2luZm8uY29tL2NsaWNrP3M9MTYxOTkwJmxpPU5LJm09YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDcmcD1OS18yMDIwMDIyOVcDbnl0QgoAK2DFWl7HWRQdUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~ [NYTimes.com/Kristof](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRgPUpgP0TQaHR0cDovL3d3dy5ueXRpbWVzLmNvbS9jb2x1bW4vbmljaG9sYXMta3Jpc3RvZj90ZT0xJm5sPW5pY2hvbGFzLWtyaXN0b2YmZW1jPWVkaXRfbmtfMjAyMDAyMjkmY2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9NDUmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9MTYzODYmc2VnbWVudF9pZD0yMTc1OCZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3JnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTIyMDIwMDIyOVcDbnl0QgoAK2DFWl7HWRQdUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~) February 29, 2020 Passengers arriving from Asia in late January at Los Angeles International Airport.Mark Ralston/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images [Author Headshot](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRgPUpgP0TRaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vY29sdW1uL25pY2hvbGFzLWtyaXN0b2Y_dGU9MSZubD1uaWNob2xhcy1rcmlzdG9mJmVtYz1lZGl0X25rXzIwMjAwMjI5JmNhbXBhaWduX2lkPTQ1Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTE2Mzg2JnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MjE3NTgmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkNyZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyMjAyMDAyMjlXA255dEIKACtgxVpex1kUHVIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAA) By [Nicholas Kristof](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRgPUpgP0TRaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vY29sdW1uL25pY2hvbGFzLWtyaXN0b2Y_dGU9MSZubD1uaWNob2xhcy1rcmlzdG9mJmVtYz1lZGl0X25rXzIwMjAwMjI5JmNhbXBhaWduX2lkPTQ1Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTE2Mzg2JnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MjE3NTgmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkNyZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyMjAyMDAyMjlXA255dEIKACtgxVpex1kUHVIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAA) Opinion Columnist Public health experts have long been worried about pandemics, and any conversation about the risk quickly turns to the question: Will we face another “Big One,” like the 1918 Spanish flu? That pandemic killed at least 50 million people, and some estimates go as high as 100 million. In months, it killed more people than AIDS has; it killed more people than the Black Death did in a century. And now again experts are wondering whether this coronavirus, COVID-19, could be a “Big One.” It would initially seem a surprising candidate, because it’s a coronavirus rather than an avian flu like the 1918 pandemic. An avian flu has seemed the most perilous risk. But the coronavirus seems quite transmissible (though less than measles) and quite lethal (though less than SARS or MERS). About 2 percent of people with this coronavirus seem to die, about the same proportion as died after infection in 1918 — although the figures aren’t reliable either for 2020 or for 1918. I begin [my column](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRgPUpgP0TtaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMC8wMi8yOS9vcGluaW9uL3N1bmRheS9jb3JvbmF2aXJ1cy1vdXRicmVhay5odG1sP3RlPTEmbmw9bmljaG9sYXMta3Jpc3RvZiZlbWM9ZWRpdF9ua18yMDIwMDIyOSZjYW1wYWlnbl9pZD00NSZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0xNjM4NiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTIxNzU4JnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDcmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MjIwMjAwMjI5VwNueXRCCgArYMVaXsdZFB1SG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~) today with some stories from the chaos of 1918 to remind readers how disruptive that pandemic was, but I worried a bit whether that might be alarmist or sensationalist. I was interviewing public health experts, so I asked what they thought. They have different views about what the most likely scenario is this time, but they mostly agreed that another 1918 is the worst case scenario — and that we should prepare for it. Bill Gates puts it this way, and this seems right to me: “COVID-19 has started to behave a lot like the once-in-a-century pathogen we’ve been worried about. I hope it’s not that bad, but we should assume that it will be until we know otherwise.” [Continue reading the main story](#a11y-skip-0) ADVERTISEMENT ~/AAAAAQA~/RgRgPUpgP0RtaHR0cHM6Ly9saXZlaW50ZW50Lm5ld3lvcmt0aW1lc2luZm8uY29tL2NsaWNrP3M9MTYxOTg3JmxpPU5LJm09YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDcmcD1OS18yMDIwMDIyOVcDbnl0QgoAK2DFWl7HWRQdUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~ ~/AAAAAQA~/RgRgPUpgP0RtaHR0cHM6Ly9saXZlaW50ZW50Lm5ld3lvcmt0aW1lc2luZm8uY29tL2NsaWNrP3M9MTYxOTg5JmxpPU5LJm09YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDcmcD1OS18yMDIwMDIyOVcDbnl0QgoAK2DFWl7HWRQdUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~ ~/AAAAAQA~/RgRgPUpgP0RtaHR0cHM6Ly9saXZlaW50ZW50Lm5ld3lvcmt0aW1lc2luZm8uY29tL2NsaWNrP3M9MTYxOTg4JmxpPU5LJm09YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDcmcD1OS18yMDIwMDIyOVcDbnl0QgoAK2DFWl7HWRQdUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~ So my column today [explores the risks.](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRgPUpgP0TtaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMC8wMi8yOS9vcGluaW9uL3N1bmRheS9jb3JvbmF2aXJ1cy1vdXRicmVhay5odG1sP3RlPTEmbmw9bmljaG9sYXMta3Jpc3RvZiZlbWM9ZWRpdF9ua18yMDIwMDIyOSZjYW1wYWlnbl9pZD00NSZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0xNjM4NiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTIxNzU4JnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDcmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MjIwMjAwMjI5VwNueXRCCgArYMVaXsdZFB1SG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~) One is of political mismanagement, for we have a president who has no credibility and has often collided with science; he has already tried to downplay the risks and talk up the markets, while in 2014 he furiously complained about President Obama’s evidence-based measures against Ebola that actually succeeded. And while President Trump was trying to galvanize the public about supposed risks from Iran or from caravans of Central American migrants, he cut out the position on the National Security Council for managing pandemics. Not promising. We’re all full of questions, but experts don’t have answers. Or, to the extent they do, their answers aren’t the same. There’s so much we just don’t know. I have a couple of family graduations this spring, but will they happen? And what will happen to the book tour that I’m currently on? What we can do is take steps to prepare — make sure everyone is covered for testing and treatment, encourage companies to prepare for telecommuting, improve telemedicine, address vital supply chains, and so on. [More in my column, so check it out!](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRgPUpgP0TtaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMC8wMi8yOS9vcGluaW9uL3N1bmRheS9jb3JvbmF2aXJ1cy1vdXRicmVhay5odG1sP3RlPTEmbmw9bmljaG9sYXMta3Jpc3RvZiZlbWM9ZWRpdF9ua18yMDIwMDIyOSZjYW1wYWlnbl9pZD00NSZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0xNjM4NiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTIxNzU4JnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDcmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MjIwMjAwMjI5VwNueXRCCgArYMVaXsdZFB1SG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~) When Threats Don’t Go “Boom”! The United States invests heavily in military related threats: We spend trillions of dollars to address threats from Russia, China, even the Taliban, but we don’t adequately appreciate nontraditional national security threats like pandemics or drugs. Chinese troops are unlikely to kill many American soldiers, but Chinese chemists churn out fentanyl that has killed many thousands of American citizens. If only we were as vigilant about packages from China as we were about submarines from China! [Continue reading the main story](#a11y-skip-1) ADVERTISEMENT ~/AAAAAQA~/RgRgPUpgP0RtaHR0cHM6Ly9saXZlaW50ZW50Lm5ld3lvcmt0aW1lc2luZm8uY29tL2NsaWNrP3M9MTI4ODA4JmxpPU5LJm09YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDcmcD1OS18yMDIwMDIyOVcDbnl0QgoAK2DFWl7HWRQdUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~ ~/AAAAAQA~/RgRgPUpgP0RtaHR0cHM6Ly9saXZlaW50ZW50Lm5ld3lvcmt0aW1lc2luZm8uY29tL2NsaWNrP3M9MTI4ODA5JmxpPU5LJm09YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDcmcD1OS18yMDIwMDIyOVcDbnl0QgoAK2DFWl7HWRQdUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~ ~/AAAAAQA~/RgRgPUpgP0RtaHR0cHM6Ly9saXZlaW50ZW50Lm5ld3lvcmt0aW1lc2luZm8uY29tL2NsaWNrP3M9MTI4ODEwJmxpPU5LJm09YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDcmcD1OS18yMDIwMDIyOVcDbnl0QgoAK2DFWl7HWRQdUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~ One national security threat that will be an enormous challenge to the United States and the world is climate change. It is certainly far more of a threat to the United States than Iran is, yet the White House and Pentagon and intelligence community are highly focused on Iran while ignoring the risks to the only planet we have. I hope this virus can be a reminder of the need to address national security threats even if they don’t go “boom.” The Abandonment of Syria It is receiving little attention, but about 1 million people are under assault around Idlib, Syria, from the Syrian government and its Russian backers. [Children are freezing to death](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRgPUpgP0TvaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMC8wMi8yNi93b3JsZC9taWRkbGVlYXN0L3N5cmlhLWlkbGliLXJlZnVnZWVzLmh0bWw_dGU9MSZubD1uaWNob2xhcy1rcmlzdG9mJmVtYz1lZGl0X25rXzIwMjAwMjI5JmNhbXBhaWduX2lkPTQ1Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTE2Mzg2JnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MjE3NTgmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkNyZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyMjAyMDAyMjlXA255dEIKACtgxVpex1kUHVIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAA), hospitals are being bombed, citizens are homeless in winter with nowhere to go, and the world is uninterested. This is a bipartisan failure. President Obama abandoned Syria, against the advice of almost all of his advisers, and perhaps as many as half a million Syrians have died; it was his worst policy failure as president. Then President Trump came in and betrayed the Kurds in northern Syria, helping to lay the groundwork for this catastrophe. [Continue reading the main story](#a11y-skip-2) ADVERTISEMENT ~/AAAAAQA~/RgRgPUpgP0RtaHR0cHM6Ly9saXZlaW50ZW50Lm5ld3lvcmt0aW1lc2luZm8uY29tL2NsaWNrP3M9NzI4Njk1JmxpPU5LJm09YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDcmcD1OS18yMDIwMDIyOVcDbnl0QgoAK2DFWl7HWRQdUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~ ~/AAAAAQA~/RgRgPUpgP0RtaHR0cHM6Ly9saXZlaW50ZW50Lm5ld3lvcmt0aW1lc2luZm8uY29tL2NsaWNrP3M9NzI4Njk2JmxpPU5LJm09YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDcmcD1OS18yMDIwMDIyOVcDbnl0QgoAK2DFWl7HWRQdUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~ ~/AAAAAQA~/RgRgPUpgP0RtaHR0cHM6Ly9saXZlaW50ZW50Lm5ld3lvcmt0aW1lc2luZm8uY29tL2NsaWNrP3M9NzI4Njk4JmxpPU5LJm09YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDcmcD1OS18yMDIwMDIyOVcDbnl0QgoAK2DFWl7HWRQdUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~ And Something Nice for a Change Lots of grim news, so [here’s something sweet](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRgPUpgP4QHAWh0dHBzOi8vd3d3LmZhY2Vib29rLmNvbS9rcmlzdG9mL3Bob3Rvcy9hLjEwMTUyMDQ2OTM3MTIyODkxLzEwMTU5NDYwNzk0MzI3ODkxLz90eXBlPTMmdGhlYXRlciZ0ZT0xJm5sPW5pY2hvbGFzLWtyaXN0b2YmZW1jPWVkaXRfbmtfMjAyMDAyMjkmY2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9NDUmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9MTYzODYmc2VnbWVudF9pZD0yMTc1OCZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3JnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTJlZGl0X25rXzIwMjAwMjI5VwNueXRCCgArYMVaXsdZFB1SG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~). My old college friend Cynthia Torres was on my Facebook page three years ago watching a Facebook Live I was doing about President Trump. She liked a comment about President Trump by a man named Tom Schneider. He thanked her for the like and said that he had looked up her Facebook profile and was impressed. She said thanks, and then he asked to friend her on Facebook. She agreed, and they began messaging. And they are now a couple, celebrating three years since they met on my Facebook page. So if this journalism thing doesn’t work out for me, I’ll start a dating site. CNN put together a lovely collection of the photographs in our new book “Tightrope,” and you can [see them here](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRgPUpgP0T8aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuY25uLmNvbS9pbnRlcmFjdGl2ZS8yMDIwLzAyL3VzL3RpZ2h0cm9wZS1uaWNob2xhcy1rcmlzdG9mLWNubnBob3Rvcy9pbmRleC5odG1sP3RlPTEmbmw9bmljaG9sYXMta3Jpc3RvZiZlbWM9ZWRpdF9ua18yMDIwMDIyOSZjYW1wYWlnbl9pZD00NSZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0xNjM4NiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTIxNzU4JnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDcmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MjIwMjAwMjI5VwNueXRCCgArYMVaXsdZFB1SG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~). Sheryl and I asked the great photographer Lynsey Addario to take the photographs in “Tightrope” because we remembered that when Franklin Roosevelt wanted to win support for the New Deal, he dispatched photographers to humanize the pain across America. He knew that you win arguments not just by talking about policies, but also by illuminating a problem in very human terms. We think of Lynsey’s photos in “Tightrope” as today’s equivalent of those famous photos from the 1930s, and we’re glad CNN recognized them. And now [here’s my column](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRgPUpgP0TtaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMC8wMi8yOS9vcGluaW9uL3N1bmRheS9jb3JvbmF2aXJ1cy1vdXRicmVhay5odG1sP3RlPTEmbmw9bmljaG9sYXMta3Jpc3RvZiZlbWM9ZWRpdF9ua18yMDIwMDIyOSZjYW1wYWlnbl9pZD00NSZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0xNjM4NiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTIxNzU4JnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDcmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MjIwMjAwMjI5VwNueXRCCgArYMVaXsdZFB1SG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~) about what we can learn from the horrors of the 1918 Spanish flu pandemic, and the steps we should be taking now to prepare for a worst case 2020 coronavirus pandemic. 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RECENT COLUMNS [Trump Uses Kids Sold Into Sex Slavery to Score Political Points “Using human trafficking for pernicious political purposes is … a Trump administration invention.” By Nicholas Kristof](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRgPUpgP0TnaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMC8wMi8yNi9vcGluaW9uL2NoaWxkLXNleC10cmFmZmlja2luZy5odG1sP3RlPTEmbmw9bmljaG9sYXMta3Jpc3RvZiZlbWM9ZWRpdF9ua18yMDIwMDIyOSZjYW1wYWlnbl9pZD00NSZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0xNjM4NiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTIxNzU4JnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDcmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MjIwMjAwMjI5VwNueXRCCgArYMVaXsdZFB1SG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~) [Article Thumbnail](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRgPUpgP0TnaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMC8wMi8yNi9vcGluaW9uL2NoaWxkLXNleC10cmFmZmlja2luZy5odG1sP3RlPTEmbmw9bmljaG9sYXMta3Jpc3RvZiZlbWM9ZWRpdF9ua18yMDIwMDIyOSZjYW1wYWlnbl9pZD00NSZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0xNjM4NiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTIxNzU4JnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDcmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MjIwMjAwMjI5VwNueXRCCgArYMVaXsdZFB1SG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~) [Trump Makes the American Health Care System Even Worse China’s failures on the coronavirus are distracting us from the mess we have at home. 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The best way to limit the economic impact of coronavirus is a strong public health response. 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