Upshot: The View With a Day to Go

Also: Review all our polling results View in [Browser]( | Add nytdirect@nytimes.com to your address book. [The New York Times]( [The New York Times]( Monday, November 5, 2018 [NYTimes.com/Upshot »]( [Two Vastly Different Election Outcomes That Hinge on a Few Dozen Close Contests]( By NATE COHN Even modest late shifts among undecided voters or a slightly unexpected turnout could significantly affect results. [Review Our Battleground Polling]( The Upshot has partnered with Siena College to poll dozens of the most competitive House and Senate races across the country. [How the Economic Lives of the Middle Class Have Changed Since 2016, by the Numbers]( By NEIL IRWIN Based on a simplified extrapolation, it works out to about $122 gained a month for a typical family — which for some would be wiped out by higher mortgage rates. ADVERTISEMENT FEEDBACK For suggestions on how we can improve this newsletter, write to newsletters@nytimes.com. If you have a compelling data set you’d like us to pursue, send it to [dear.upshot@nytimes.com](mailto:dear.upshot@nytimes.com?subject=Upshot%20Newsletter%20Feedback). Weekly Highlights The New Health Care [Peer Review: The Worst Way to Judge Research, Except for All the Others]( By AARON E. CARROLL A look at the system’s weaknesses, and possible ways to combat them. [‘Fired Up’ Voters in 18 States Are Outpacing 2014 Early Ballot Counts]( By AUDREY CARLSEN So far, millions have headed to the polls or mailed in ballots, showing more enthusiasm compared with advance voters in the last midterm election. [Tracing a Meme From the Internet’s Fringe to a Republican Slogan]( By KEITH COLLINS AND KEVIN ROOSE In less than two weeks, the three-word phrase expanded from corners of the right-wing internet onto some of the most prominent political stages in the country, days before the midterm elections. In Case You Missed It ...  [Midterm Election Poll: Iowa’s 4th District, King vs. Scholten]( Mr. King has a history of inflammatory language on issues like race and immigration, yet his seat in this rural, strongly Republican district has long been seen as safe.  [Midterm Election Poll: Georgia’s 6th District, Handel vs. McBath]( Ms. McBath, through her strong connection to the Black Lives Matter movement, may be able to draw higher black turnout than Mr. Ossoff received. LIKE THIS EMAIL? Forward it to your friends, and let them know they can sign up [here.]( We’ve got more newsletters! You might like Opinion Today.  Every weekday morning, the Op-Ed columnist David Leonhardt offers commentary on the news and reading suggestions from around the web — as well as links to every piece in the Times Opinion report. [Sign up for the Opinion Today newsletter](.  ADVERTISEMENT FOLLOW UPSHOT [Facebook] [FACEBOOK]( [Twitter] [@UpshotNYT]( Get more [NYTimes.com newsletters »]( | Get unlimited access to NYTimes.com and our NYTimes apps. [Subscribe »]( ABOUT THIS EMAIL You received this message because you signed up for NYTimes.com's The Upshot newsletter. [Unsubscribe]( | [Manage Subscriptions]( | [Change Your Email]( | [Privacy Policy]( | [Contact]( | [Advertise]( Copyright 2018 The New York Times Company 620 Eighth Avenue New York, NY 10018