Upshot: Questions for convention attendees

Also: How will Vance affect race? 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By Alicia Parlapiano and Joyce Ho Feedback For suggestions on how we can improve this newsletter, write to [theupshotnewsletter@nytimes.com](mailto:theupshotnewsletter@nytimes.com?subject=Upshot%20Newsletter%20Feedback). If you have a compelling data set you’d like us to pursue, send it to [dear.upshot@nytimes.com](mailto:dear.upshot@nytimes.com?subject=Upshot%20Newsletter%20Feedback). WEEKLY HIGHLIGHTS [[Article Image] Gaelen Morse/Reuters](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoe6-BP0TfaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyNC8wNy8xNi91cHNob3QvdmFuY2UtdHJ1bXAtdmljZS1wcmVzaWRlbnQuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0yOSZlbWM9ZWRpdF91cF8yMDI0MDcxOCZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0xMjkwOTYmbmw9dGhlLXVwc2hvdCZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTcyNDkyJnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpmlYEqmWbfCAS4Uht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAM~) [How Will Vance Affect the Race? Look at 2028, Not 2024. The possibility that Trumpism outlasts Donald Trump just went up. By Nate Cohn](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoe6-BP0TfaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyNC8wNy8xNi91cHNob3QvdmFuY2UtdHJ1bXAtdmljZS1wcmVzaWRlbnQuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0yOSZlbWM9ZWRpdF91cF8yMDI0MDcxOCZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0xMjkwOTYmbmw9dGhlLXVwc2hvdCZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTcyNDkyJnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpmlYEqmWbfCAS4Uht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAM~) [[Article Image] Ryan Collerd/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoe6-BP0TdaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyNC8wNy8xNS91cHNob3Qva2FtYWxhLWhhcnJpcy1iaWRlbi1wb2xsLmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9MjkmZW1jPWVkaXRfdXBfMjAyNDA3MTgmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9MTI5MDk2Jm5sPXRoZS11cHNob3QmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTE3MjQ5MiZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKZpWBKplm3wgEuFIbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAD) [Harris Outdoes Biden in 2 State Polls but Has Her Own Weaknesses The polls in Pennsylvania and Virginia were conducted before the Trump rally shooting. 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