Upshot: The voters who blame Biden for Roe’s reversal

Also: Experiment on polling third-party candidates [View in browser](~/AAAAAQA~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~)|[nytimes.com](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoKKDNP0SuaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTI5JmVtYz1lZGl0X3VwXzIwMjQwNTE2Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTEyMzUyMyZubD10aGUtdXBzaG90JnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD0xNjY4MjUmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmZFzRtGZiihT3dSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAw~~) [Ad](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoKKDNP0SiaHR0cHM6Ly9saXZlaW50ZW50Lm5ld3lvcmt0aW1lc2luZm8uY29tL2NsaWNrP3M9MTYyMDE0JmxpPVVQJm09YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDcmcD1VUF8yMDI0MDUxNiZzdHBlPWRlZmF1bHQmdGU9MSZubD10aGUtdXBzaG90JmVtYz1lZGl0X3VwXzIwMjQwNTE2VwNueXRCCmZFzRtGZiihT3dSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAw~~) [The Upshot](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoKKDNP0SzaHR0cDovL3d3dy5ueXRpbWVzLmNvbS91cHNob3Q_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9MjkmZW1jPWVkaXRfdXBfMjAyNDA1MTYmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9MTIzNTIzJm5sPXRoZS11cHNob3QmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTE2NjgyNSZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKZkXNG0ZmKKFPd1IbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAD) May 16, 2024 ~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoKKDNP0TfaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyNC8wNS8xNS91cHNob3QvYWJvcnRpb24tYmlkZW4tdHJ1bXAtYmxhbWUuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0yOSZlbWM9ZWRpdF91cF8yMDI0MDUxNiZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0xMjM1MjMmbmw9dGhlLXVwc2hvdCZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTY2ODI1JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpmRc0bRmYooU93Uht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAM~ 17% of Voters Blame Biden for the End of Roe The mistaken belief, in a new poll, shows how even as abortion is mobilizing Democrats, confusion over the issue is also a challenge. By Claire Cain Miller, Ruth Igielnik and Margot Sanger-Katz Feedback For suggestions on how we can improve this newsletter, write to [theupshotnewsletter@nytimes.com](mailto:theupshotnewsletter@nytimes.com?subject=Upshot%20Newsletter%20Feedback). If you have a compelling data set you’d like us to pursue, send it to [dear.upshot@nytimes.com](mailto:dear.upshot@nytimes.com?subject=Upshot%20Newsletter%20Feedback). WEEKLY HIGHLIGHTS [[Article Image] The New York Times](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoKKDNP0TvaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vaW50ZXJhY3RpdmUvMjAyNC8wNS8xNC91cHNob3Qvc3VwcG9ydC10aGlyZC1wYXJ0eS1jYW5kaWRhdGVzLmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9MjkmZW1jPWVkaXRfdXBfMjAyNDA1MTYmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9MTIzNTIzJm5sPXRoZS11cHNob3QmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTE2NjgyNSZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKZkXNG0ZmKKFPd1IbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAD) [A Simple Experiment Reveals Why It’s So Hard to Measure R.F.K. Jr.’s Support Which polling question is asked first can matter a great deal. By Ruth Igielnik](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoKKDNP0TvaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vaW50ZXJhY3RpdmUvMjAyNC8wNS8xNC91cHNob3Qvc3VwcG9ydC10aGlyZC1wYXJ0eS1jYW5kaWRhdGVzLmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9MjkmZW1jPWVkaXRfdXBfMjAyNDA1MTYmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9MTIzNTIzJm5sPXRoZS11cHNob3QmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTE2NjgyNSZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKZkXNG0ZmKKFPd1IbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAD) [[Article Image] Charlie Neibergall/Associated Press](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoKKDNP0TnaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyNC8wNS8xNC91cHNob3QvcG9sbGluZy1yb2JlcnQta2VubmVkeS10cnVtcC1iaWRlbi5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTI5JmVtYz1lZGl0X3VwXzIwMjQwNTE2Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTEyMzUyMyZubD10aGUtdXBzaG90JnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD0xNjY4MjUmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmZFzRtGZiihT3dSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAw~~) [R.F.K. Jr. Isn’t a Spoiler Now, Poll Suggests, but He Could Be in November Kennedy draws disproportionately from voters who usually back Democrats but have defected to Trump. By Nate Cohn](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoKKDNP0TnaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyNC8wNS8xNC91cHNob3QvcG9sbGluZy1yb2JlcnQta2VubmVkeS10cnVtcC1iaWRlbi5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTI5JmVtYz1lZGl0X3VwXzIwMjQwNTE2Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTEyMzUyMyZubD10aGUtdXBzaG90JnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD0xNjY4MjUmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmZFzRtGZiihT3dSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAw~~) [[Side by side maps of the U.S. for Biden and Trump, cropped to the Great Lakes and Mid-Atlantic and Southeastern regions, showing where each candidate has gained or lost donors. Biden’s map shows that he has gained donors in most counties except Delaware and near D.C. Trump’s shows he has lost donors in most counties except in South Carolina.] The New York Times](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoKKDNP0TpaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vaW50ZXJhY3RpdmUvMjAyNC8wNS8xNi91cy9lbGVjdGlvbnMvYmlkZW4tdHJ1bXAtZG9ub3JzLmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9MjkmZW1jPWVkaXRfdXBfMjAyNDA1MTYmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9MTIzNTIzJm5sPXRoZS11cHNob3QmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTE2NjgyNSZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKZkXNG0ZmKKFPd1IbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAD) [One Area Where Biden Is Leading Trump: His Number of Donors President Biden recently overtook former President Donald J. Trump in the total number of donors who have given to his campaign, which is often seen as a proxy for voter engagement. By Albert Sun, Scott Reinhard and Rebecca Davis O’Brien](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoKKDNP0TpaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vaW50ZXJhY3RpdmUvMjAyNC8wNS8xNi91cy9lbGVjdGlvbnMvYmlkZW4tdHJ1bXAtZG9ub3JzLmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9MjkmZW1jPWVkaXRfdXBfMjAyNDA1MTYmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9MTIzNTIzJm5sPXRoZS11cHNob3QmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTE2NjgyNSZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKZkXNG0ZmKKFPd1IbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAD) [[Article Image] The New York Times](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoKKDNP0TvaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vaW50ZXJhY3RpdmUvMjAyNC8wNS8xMy93b3JsZC9ldXJvcGUvdWtyYWluZS1taXNzaWxlLWRlZmVuc2VzLmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9MjkmZW1jPWVkaXRfdXBfMjAyNDA1MTYmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9MTIzNTIzJm5sPXRoZS11cHNob3QmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTE2NjgyNSZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKZkXNG0ZmKKFPd1IbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAD) [Facing an Endless Barrage, Ukraine’s Air Defenses Are Withering As Russia shifts its tactics and Ukraine's ammunition dwindles, more missiles are getting through Ukraine's air defenses. By Josh Holder and Constant Méheut](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoKKDNP0TvaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vaW50ZXJhY3RpdmUvMjAyNC8wNS8xMy93b3JsZC9ldXJvcGUvdWtyYWluZS1taXNzaWxlLWRlZmVuc2VzLmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9MjkmZW1jPWVkaXRfdXBfMjAyNDA1MTYmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9MTIzNTIzJm5sPXRoZS11cHNob3QmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTE2NjgyNSZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKZkXNG0ZmKKFPd1IbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAD) ADVERTISEMENT [Ad](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoKKDNP0SiaHR0cHM6Ly9saXZlaW50ZW50Lm5ld3lvcmt0aW1lc2luZm8uY29tL2NsaWNrP3M9MTYyMDExJmxpPVVQJm09YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDcmcD1VUF8yMDI0MDUxNiZzdHBlPWRlZmF1bHQmdGU9MSZubD10aGUtdXBzaG90JmVtYz1lZGl0X3VwXzIwMjQwNTE2VwNueXRCCmZFzRtGZiihT3dSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAw~~) [Ad](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoKKDNP0SiaHR0cHM6Ly9saXZlaW50ZW50Lm5ld3lvcmt0aW1lc2luZm8uY29tL2NsaWNrP3M9MTYyMDExJmxpPVVQJm09YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDcmcD1VUF8yMDI0MDUxNiZzdHBlPWRlZmF1bHQmdGU9MSZubD10aGUtdXBzaG90JmVtYz1lZGl0X3VwXzIwMjQwNTE2VwNueXRCCmZFzRtGZiihT3dSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAw~~) We hope you’ve enjoyed this newsletter, which is made possible through subscriber support. [Subscribe to The New York Times](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoKKDNP0TWaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vc3Vic2NyaXB0aW9uL2FsbC1hY2Nlc3M_Y2FtcGFpZ25JZD04Skg3TCZjYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0yOSZlbWM9ZWRpdF91cF8yMDI0MDUxNiZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0xMjM1MjMmbmw9dGhlLXVwc2hvdCZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTY2ODI1JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpmRc0bRmYooU93Uht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAM~)[.](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoKKDNP0TWaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vc3Vic2NyaXB0aW9uL2FsbC1hY2Nlc3M_Y2FtcGFpZ25JZD04Skg3TCZjYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0yOSZlbWM9ZWRpdF91cF8yMDI0MDUxNiZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0xMjM1MjMmbmw9dGhlLXVwc2hvdCZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTY2ODI1JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpmRc0bRmYooU93Uht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAM~) IN CASE YOU MISSED IT [[Article Image] The New York Times](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoKKDNP0TeaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vaW50ZXJhY3RpdmUvMjAyNC8wNS8xNC91cy9ndW4taG9taWNpZGVzLW1hcC5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTI5JmVtYz1lZGl0X3VwXzIwMjQwNTE2Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTEyMzUyMyZubD10aGUtdXBzaG90JnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD0xNjY4MjUmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmZFzRtGZiihT3dSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAw~~) [How Has Gun Violence Changed in Your Neighborhood? The footprint of gun violence in the U.S. expanded during the pandemic. Use these maps to compare data on gun homicides in your area with others around the country. By Eli Murray, Josh Williams, Rebecca Lieberman and Robert Gebeloff](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoKKDNP0TeaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vaW50ZXJhY3RpdmUvMjAyNC8wNS8xNC91cy9ndW4taG9taWNpZGVzLW1hcC5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTI5JmVtYz1lZGl0X3VwXzIwMjQwNTE2Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTEyMzUyMyZubD10aGUtdXBzaG90JnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD0xNjY4MjUmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmZFzRtGZiihT3dSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAw~~) [[Article Image] The New York Times](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoKKDNP0TfaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vaW50ZXJhY3RpdmUvMjAyNC8wNS8xNC91cy9ndW4taG9taWNpZGVzLWRhdGEuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0yOSZlbWM9ZWRpdF91cF8yMDI0MDUxNiZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0xMjM1MjMmbmw9dGhlLXVwc2hvdCZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTY2ODI1JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpmRc0bRmYooU93Uht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAM~) [How the Pandemic Reshaped American Gun Violence The footprint of gun violence in the U.S. has expanded, as shootings worsened in already suffering neighborhoods and killings spread to new places during the pandemic years. By Robert Gebeloff, K.K. Rebecca Lai, Eli Murray, Josh Williams and Rebecca Lieberman](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoKKDNP0TfaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vaW50ZXJhY3RpdmUvMjAyNC8wNS8xNC91cy9ndW4taG9taWNpZGVzLWRhdGEuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0yOSZlbWM9ZWRpdF91cF8yMDI0MDUxNiZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0xMjM1MjMmbmw9dGhlLXVwc2hvdCZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTY2ODI1JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpmRc0bRmYooU93Uht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAM~) Like this email? Forward it to your friends, and let them know they can sign up [here](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoKKDNP0TAaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vbmV3c2xldHRlcnMvdXBzaG90P2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTI5JmVtYz1lZGl0X3VwXzIwMjQwNTE2Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTEyMzUyMyZubD10aGUtdXBzaG90JnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD0xNjY4MjUmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmZFzRtGZiihT3dSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAw~~). Need help? Review our [newsletter help page](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoKKDNP0TZaHR0cHM6Ly9oZWxwLm55dGltZXMuY29tL2hjL2VuLXVzL2FydGljbGVzLzM2MDAwMTQ4ODI2Ni1OZXdzbGV0dGVycz9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0yOSZlbWM9ZWRpdF91cF8yMDI0MDUxNiZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0xMjM1MjMmbmw9dGhlLXVwc2hvdCZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTY2ODI1JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpmRc0bRmYooU93Uht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAM~) or [contact us](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoKKDNP0TYaHR0cHM6Ly9oZWxwLm55dGltZXMuY29tL2hjL2VuLXVzL2FydGljbGVzLzExNTAxNTM4NTg4Ny1Db250YWN0LXVzP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTI5JmVtYz1lZGl0X3VwXzIwMjQwNTE2Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTEyMzUyMyZubD10aGUtdXBzaG90JnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD0xNjY4MjUmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmZFzRtGZiihT3dSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAw~~) for assistance. You received this email because you signed up for The Upshot from The New York Times. To stop receiving The Upshot, [unsubscribe](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoKKDNP0TTaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vbmV3c2xldHRlcnMvb3B0b3V0P2VtYz1lZGl0X3VwXzIwMjQwNTE2Jm5sPXRoZS11cHNob3QmcHJvZHVjdD1VUCZzZW5kX2lkPTE2NjgyNSZ0ZT0xJnRva2VuPThmNDRmNTEyMWY0YjE1MWU3Y2NjYjVhZDgzODUwNWI4ZDE1ZmUyMzc1OTA0MjNjMzIzODIwNDlkMjI5ZTg2NTMyMzlmYjM3YmQwNTVmYTU5MzkxODIyZjE1NDg2YjNiOVcDbnl0QgpmRc0bRmYooU93Uht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAM~). To opt out of other promotional emails from The Times, including those regarding The Athletic, [manage your email settings](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoKKDNP0TIaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vbmV3c2xldHRlcnMvbWFuYWdlP2VtYz1lZGl0X3VwXzIwMjQwNTE2Jm5sPXRoZS11cHNob3Qmc2VuZF9pZD0xNjY4MjUmdGU9MSZ0b2tlbj1iNjU4NTRhOTY0NWVjYTIyOTIzM2JmOThjMjVjY2JjMjNmZDRlMjZiNzQyNmVhZDUzYTNhN2Y0Zjc3YmFiM2QzYmU4OWFkNjk2NGNlNGFmMmEwZTAyMjg0NTUxNzcwMDBXA255dEIKZkXNG0ZmKKFPd1IbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAD). To opt out of updates and offers sent from The Athletic, [submit a request](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoKKDNP0TLaHR0cHM6Ly90aGVhdGhsZXRpYy56ZW5kZXNrLmNvbS9oYy9lbi11cy9yZXF1ZXN0cy9uZXc_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9MjkmZW1jPWVkaXRfdXBfMjAyNDA1MTYmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9MTIzNTIzJm5sPXRoZS11cHNob3QmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTE2NjgyNSZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKZkXNG0ZmKKFPd1IbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAD). [Subscribe to The Times](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoKKDNP0TLaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vc3Vic2NyaXB0aW9uP2NhbXBhaWduSWQ9OVJYNzgmY2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9MjkmZW1jPWVkaXRfdXBfMjAyNDA1MTYmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9MTIzNTIzJm5sPXRoZS11cHNob3QmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTE2NjgyNSZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKZkXNG0ZmKKFPd1IbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAD)[Get The New York Times app](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoKKDNP0TIaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vc2VydmljZXMvbW9iaWxlL2luZGV4Lmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9MjkmZW1jPWVkaXRfdXBfMjAyNDA1MTYmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9MTIzNTIzJm5sPXRoZS11cHNob3QmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTE2NjgyNSZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKZkXNG0ZmKKFPd1IbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAD) Connect with us on: [facebook](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoKKDNP0S1aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuZmFjZWJvb2suY29tL3Vwc2hvdD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0yOSZlbWM9ZWRpdF91cF8yMDI0MDUxNiZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0xMjM1MjMmbmw9dGhlLXVwc2hvdCZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTY2ODI1JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpmRc0bRmYooU93Uht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAM~) [twitter](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoKKDNP0SzaHR0cHM6Ly90d2l0dGVyLmNvbS9VcHNob3ROWVQ_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9MjkmZW1jPWVkaXRfdXBfMjAyNDA1MTYmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9MTIzNTIzJm5sPXRoZS11cHNob3QmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTE2NjgyNSZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKZkXNG0ZmKKFPd1IbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAD) [Change Your Email](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoKKDNP0TCaHR0cHM6Ly9teWFjY291bnQubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vbWVtL2VtYWlsLmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9MjkmZW1jPWVkaXRfdXBfMjAyNDA1MTYmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9MTIzNTIzJm5sPXRoZS11cHNob3QmcmVnaV9pZD03NzY3NDk1MiZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTE2NjgyNSZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9YWE0OTFlZjdmMWQ5NjRlNDk3OWZiNzg0ZTc0ZTAxZDdXA255dEIKZkXNG0ZmKKFPd1IbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAD)[Privacy Policy](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoKKDNP0TkaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vY29udGVudC9oZWxwL3JpZ2h0cy9wcml2YWN5L3BvbGljeS9wcml2YWN5LXBvbGljeS5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTI5JmVtYz1lZGl0X3VwXzIwMjQwNTE2Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTEyMzUyMyZubD10aGUtdXBzaG90JnJlZ2lfaWQ9Nzc2NzQ5NTImc2VnbWVudF9pZD0xNjY4MjUmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPWFhNDkxZWY3ZjFkOTY0ZTQ5NzlmYjc4NGU3NGUwMWQ3VwNueXRCCmZFzRtGZiihT3dSG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkwQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAw~~)[Contact Us](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoKKDNP0TKaHR0cHM6Ly9teWFjY291bnQubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vbWVtYmVyY2VudGVyL2hlbHAuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0yOSZlbWM9ZWRpdF91cF8yMDI0MDUxNiZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0xMjM1MjMmbmw9dGhlLXVwc2hvdCZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTY2ODI1JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpmRc0bRmYooU93Uht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAM~)[California Notices](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoKKDNP0THaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vcHJpdmFjeS9jYWxpZm9ybmlhLW5vdGljZT9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0yOSZlbWM9ZWRpdF91cF8yMDI0MDUxNiZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0xMjM1MjMmbmw9dGhlLXVwc2hvdCZyZWdpX2lkPTc3Njc0OTUyJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9MTY2ODI1JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD1hYTQ5MWVmN2YxZDk2NGU0OTc5ZmI3ODRlNzRlMDFkN1cDbnl0QgpmRc0bRmYooU93Uht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAM~) [LiveIntent Logo](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoKKDNP0RNaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubGl2ZWludGVudC5jb20vcG93ZXJlZC1ieT90ZT0xJm5sPXRoZS11cHNob3QmZW1jPWVkaXRfdXBfMjAyNDA1MTZXA255dEIKZkXNG0ZmKKFPd1IbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAD)[AdChoices Logo](~/AAAAAQA~/RgRoKKDNP0RNaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubGl2ZWludGVudC5jb20vYWQtY2hvaWNlcz90ZT0xJm5sPXRoZS11cHNob3QmZW1jPWVkaXRfdXBfMjAyNDA1MTZXA255dEIKZkXNG0ZmKKFPd1IbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTBAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAD) The New York Times Company. 620 Eighth Avenue New York, NY 10018