Analyzing the Ohio and Indiana primaries

[View this email online]( [NPR Politics]( May 4, 2022 Good afternoon. We are dropping into your inbox with some analysis from NPR's Domenico Montanaro on Tuesday's primary election results from Ohio and Indiana. [You can read NPR's full analysis here.]( Now that primary season is in full swing, we are expecting to send more of these mid-week updates with analysis and recaps. See you again for our regularly scheduled weekly newsletter on Saturday! --------------------------------------------------------------- Trump's endorsement power Drew Angerer/Getty Images Republican candidates backed by former President Donald Trump had a good night in Ohio and Indiana primaries Tuesday night. [Atop that list is J.D. Vance]( the Hillbilly Elegy author, who got a boost after Trump’s endorsement in a crowded Ohio GOP Senate primary field. Many of these Republican candidates are younger and likely to make it to Congress – and if more of them win elsewhere this year, this cycle could represent something of a bridge to advancing Trumpism, post-Trump. The candidates are examples of the potentially lasting effects of how Trump has changed GOP politics – although there are limits to Trump’s influence. Pro-Trump candidates continued to [do best in rural areas]( underscoring where his power is concentrated, but there remains a question of how well Trumpism can do in swing areas. Some candidates who didn’t fully embrace Trump – with money and the power of the incumbency – were also able to win out. And even the Trump candidates who did well often only got a strong plurality of the vote, not above 50%. That’s been something of a story of the Trump era, as the former president and pro-Trump candidates are able to win when the opposition to him and his politics is fractured. Republicans also had a good sign Tuesday with [how much GOP turnout rose]( compared with the 2018 primaries. That's one early warning sign for President Biden and the Democratic Party in the president's first midterm, when parties out of power historically do well. — [Domenico Montanaro]( NPR’s senior political editor/correspondent [Read More]( --------------------------------------------------------------- Newsletter continues after sponsor message --------------------------------------------------------------- Deep dive into Tuesday's results Matt Rourke/AP Catching up? Here's some of our coverage of Tuesday's primary races. - [A look at key primary election results]( from Ohio, including the race to replace retiring GOP Sen. Rob Portman - [And key primary election results]( from Indiana - [Looking ahead, here's a calendar of primary elections](. Next up: May 10 with primaries in Nebraska and West Virginia. And here's a roundup of the latest NPR member station reporting on the results. - Democrat Nan Whaley made history as the first woman to win a major party's nomination for the Ohio governor's race. The former Dayton mayor will face off against the incumbent, Republican Mike DeWine -- [via Ideastream Public Media in Ohio]( - The lineups are set for 3 races for the Ohio Supreme Court this fall. The court has proven to be a key player in the critical issue of redistricting in a swing state -- [via Ideastream Public Media in Ohio]( - Madison Gesiotto Gilbert, a Trump surrogate who has been endorsed by the former president, beat a crowded field of competitors to clinch the Republican primary for Ohio's 13th congressional district. She will face Emilia Sykes, who has represented Akron since 2015 -- [via Ideastream Public Media in Ohio]( - A school principal won the Democratic nomination for a new state senate district representing parts of Indianapolis. District 46 was created last year through the state's redistricting process -- [via WFYI in Indianapolis]( — [Arielle Retting,]( NPR growth editor We go deep into communities every day to provide nuanced, reliable reporting on issues shaping American lives. That’s only possible because of donations from people like you. Can you please chip in by donating to your local NPR Member station? [Donate now]( --------------------------------------------------------------- Listen to your local NPR station. Visit NPR.org to find your local station stream. [Listen Live]( [Facebook]( [Instagram]( [Twitter]( What do you think of today's email? We'd love to hear your thoughts, questions and feedback: [nprpolitics@npr.org](mailto:nprpolitics@npr.org?subject=Newsletter%20Feedback) Enjoying this newsletter? Forward to a friend! [They can sign up here.]( Looking for more great content? [Check out all of our newsletter offerings]( — including Daily News, Code Switch, Health and more! You received this message because you're subscribed to Politics emails. This email was sent by National Public Radio, Inc., 1111 North Capitol Street NE, Washington, DC 20002 [Unsubscribe]( | [Privacy Policy]( [NPR logo]