Welcome to the New Nautilus Issue—Risk

[[newsletter20_header.png] July 9, 2020 [17387_e53fc2424af041d07a7eef5cd8773505.png] Chapter One: Uncertainty]( [READ ISSUE]( Dear Nautilus Reader, Risk is at the heart of poker. You might win it all. You might lose it all. But nobody succeeds without taking it. When it comes to risking everything at the table, or in life, writes Maria Konnikova, interviewed this week about her new life in poker, “There are no rules, at the end of the day, save some internal calculus that only you are privy to.” The trick is to understand that internal calculus. Analyze and understand it to the point where the cliff from which you’re jumping feels safe. That’s what mathematician and epidemiologist Adam Kucharski, whose new book is called Rules of Contagion, is doing just now with the COVID pandemic—mapping its transmission to arrive at better strategies to treat it, to lessen the risks of living with the toughest outbreak, Kucharski says, he has ever seen. Interviews with the card player and the mathematician are complemented by an eye-opening essay by David Krakauer and Geoffrey West of the Santa Fe Institute. What’s missing from solutions to the pandemic, they write, is a picture of its complexity, its interrelation with, and reflection of, natural and social forces. And finally we revisit what writer Bob Henderson learned about himself and his career when he took one of the biggest risks of his life and lost. Best, The Nautilus Team info@nautil.us [17004_15727725d8796a98b77975b777e43cb9.jpg]( [17389_36f9d490114303cd7debf20548fc6888.png]( [The Things We Can’t Control Are Beautiful How Maria Konnikova found enlightenment at the poker table. By Kevin Berger Poker players like to brag they win with luck not skill. So do investment bankers. Scientists. And writers.]( [17400_38616a3812ca4dc2c99d0850ee16c13a.png]( [The Contagion Detective Adam Kucharski explains how diseases like COVID-19 and misinformation spread. By Steve Paulson The COVID-19 pandemic was some epidemiologist’s nightmare when Adam Kucharski was writing Rules of Contagion. Released this week, the book, which includes brief mentions of the encroaching COVID-19 storm, draws on ideas from “outbreak science” to illuminate how and why viruses spread.](  [Nautilus-newsletter-GRID-3.20.20.gif]( [Your Support Matters NAUTILUS PRINT EDITION Nautilus will challenge and enrich the way you view the world. Subscribe to experience narratives that connect you with the nature of humanity and our understanding of the universe. For every print subscription sold, we’ll plant a tree with American Forests.](  [17393_15a676c8852b5e796541c58b5846a1e6.png]( [The Damage We’re Not Attending To Scientists who study complex systems offer solutions to the pandemic. By David Krakauer & Geoffrey West World War II bomber planes returned from their missions riddled with bullet holes. The first response was, not surprisingly, to add armor to those areas most heavily damaged.]( [7936_e48a900a95c8e0a3db31da9fbad6866e.jpg]( [What I Learned from Losing $200 Million The 2008 financial crisis taught me about the illusion of control, and how to give it up. By Bob Henderson I’d lost almost $200 million in October. November wasn’t looking any better.]( [READ ISSUE]( [nwms_fb.png]( [nwms_twt.png]( [nwms_ing.png]( Nautilus 25 Broadway Fl 9New York, NY 10004-1058 [Add us to your address book]( Copyright © 2020 Nautilus, All rights reserved. You are receiving this email because you opted in at our website. [unsubscribe from this list](   [update subscription preferences](