Here's the truth behind trading earnings and why it's a gamble.. [Trade of the Day Logo] "I want to focus on clear trends, whether bullish or bearish. " Nate Bear, Lead Technical Tactician, Monument Traders Alliance [Nate Bear] Apple (APPL) is set to report earnings at 5 p.m. today. So what's Wall Street expectating? Well, take a look at the image below⦠As of March 2024, 27 Wall Street firms are dedicating analysts to cover Apple (AAPL). Despite the intense scrutiny on Apple, does anyone truly know how the stock will perform after it releases earnings? According to the options market, market makers expect a +/- 4% move. But how right have the market makers been this earnings season? Letâs take a look. For example, they predicted: - A 12.8% move in SMCI the other day, yet it overshot by 18%.
- A 7.7% move in SBUX, but it declined by 17.87%
- They predicted a 7.7% move in AMZN, yet it only closed at 2.28%. Whether youâre bullish or bearishâ¦[understand that trading earnings is a gamble](. In many cases, an all-or-nothing bet. But most importantly, itâs not a repeatable process. That said, I love trading earnings stocks. Just not ahead of the earnings announcement. I wait for the dust to settle and find my levelsâ¦then execute. Thatâs precisely what I did in CVNA this morning. The options market was implying a 16.1%, and like many stocks this earnings season, they were dead wrong, as the stock surged by 35%. As traders, we have three objectives. - Find setups
- Define risk
- Take shots And some of the best setups can be found right after a company releases earnings. Which is exactly what my [One Ticker Payouts]( strategy is all about. It capitalizes on earnings plays while eliminating some of the aspects that make earnings trading so risky, such as the âvolatility crushâ and the all-or-nothing gamble. I prefer to navigate the aftermath when the smoke has cleared, but the opportunity remains ripe. I donât just jump into a play if the stock is ragingâ¦I want to see if it can consolidate after making the big move. If it can hold the move and trade sideways, thatâs an indication that it might be ready for another leg higher. And thatâs something I saw in CVNA this morning. If itâs jumping aroundâ¦I donât want to touch it. I want to focus on clear trends, whether bullish or bearish. It doesnât matterâ¦just as long as the trend is clear. This approach is the reason I have a 87.5% win rate on all my One Ticker Payout trades in 2024. So⦠will I be trading Apple ahead of earnings? Not today⦠But if it surprises with earnings and exhibits sustainable momentum after tomorrow's earnings announcement, you better believe Iâll be looking at some potential trades. And, of course, Iâll utilize the [One Ticker Payouts]( strategy if I decide to trade it. If youâre tired of giving money to the market from earnings trades, then itâs time to look at a different way to play them. Weâre still very early into earnings, with some big names still remaining, like Nvidia, Apple, and Coinbase. C[lick here to discover how the One Ticker Payouts strategy can set you up for success this earnings season.]( [JOLTS Trade LIVE Tuesday, May 7 at 2 pm]( [Secret Loophole]( When The Gov't Drops Economic Reports... This One Trade Could Have Made 253%... 327%... Even 383% gains... Enough for overnight payouts of $25,300... $32,700... heck even $38,300! [Discover The JOLTS Loophole (BEFORE Tues at 2 pm!)]( I donât just jump into a play if the stock is ragingâ¦I want to see if it can consolidate after making the big move. If it can hold the move and trade sideways, thatâs an indication that it might be ready for another leg higher. And thatâs something I saw in CVNA this morning. If itâs jumping aroundâ¦I donât want to touch it. I want to focus on clear trends, whether bullish or bearish. It doesnât matterâ¦just as long as the trend is clear. This approach is the reason I have a 87.5% win rate with all my One Ticker Payout trades in 2024. So⦠will I be trading Apple ahead of earnings? Not today⦠But if it surprises with earnings and exhibits sustainable momentum after tomorrow's earnings announcement, you better believe Iâll be looking at some potential trades. And, of course, Iâll utilize the [One Ticker Payouts]( strategy if I decide to trade it. If youâre tired of giving money to the market from earnings trades, then itâs time to look at a different way to play them. Weâre still very early into earnings, with some big names still remaining, like Nvidia, Apple, and Coinbase. [Click here to discover how the One Ticker Payouts strategy can set you up for success this earnings season.]( 0DTE Could Skyrocket Immediately After "American Earnings" Release [Get The Urgent Details Here]( [Monument Traders Alliance] Monument Traders Alliance, LLC You are receiving this email because you subscribed to Trade of the Day.
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