Karl Rove and John Bolton are back—and just as dangerous as ever

[View in browser]( [Mother Jones Daily Newsletter]( August 19, 2021 Turn on the television and you'd be forgiven for thinking we've returned to the early aughts, as a [questionable cast of players]( has suddenly returned as apparent experts on the ongoing chaos unfolding in Afghanistan. There was John Bolton this week in several media appearances feverishly advocating the continued presence of US military troops in the country. In [one interview to NPR](, Bolton's towering self-importance saw him rudely interrupting host Noel King. Then there was none other than Karl Rove, the infamous co-architect of our endless wars, sanctimoniously predicting that it'll be impossible for President Biden to "wash this stain away" despite Rove's very return to the so-called expert class this week proving such impossibility wrong. This is all not great! But particularly for the media. [As I wrote earlier today](, "As confusion and finger-pointing for America's cascading failures in Afghanistan continue, the media should do better than invite the very architects of war to assign blame—and more dangerously, push the hawkish perspectives that got us here. As Rove did correctly note, the attention span of Americans is too short to act otherwise." Here's to hoping next week features a lot less of the John Boltons and Karl Roves of the world. —Inae Oh Advertisement [ACLU]( [Top Story] [Top Story]( [Trump’s “Deal” With the Taliban Set the Stage for Afghanistan’s Collapse]( Warning signs long abounded—and top Trump officials knew. BY MARK FOLLMAN [Trending] [On Afghanistan, the old war hawks are the new war hawks]( BY INAE OH [Biden faces mounting pressure to yank Line 3 oil pipeline permits]( BY ALEXANDER C. KAUFMAN [Trump weaponized COVID concerns against migrants. Families are still being brutalized by the policy.]( BY ISABELA DIAS [To beat the anti-vaccine trolls, sometimes you have to think like one]( BY KIERA BUTLER Advertisement [ACLU]( [The Big Feature] [Special Feature]( [“Defund the Police” Was a Rallying Cry in 2020. Minneapolis Is About to Vote on What That Means.]( Forget what the polls say about the slogan. Organizers have a plan to take their movement mainstream. BY SAMANTHA MICHAELS [Fiercely Independent] Support from readers allows Mother Jones to do journalism that doesn't just follow the pack. [Donate]( [Recharge] SOME GOOD NEWS, FOR ONCE [This Former Pastor Is Changing Evangelicals’ Minds on COVID Vaccines]( When [Curtis Chang]( heard that many evangelical Christians were [reluctant]( to get vaccinated against COVID-19, he suspected he could help. A former pastor who now consults on strategy and planning for governments and nonprofits, Chang knew he could mobilize pastors to educate and encourage their congregations. So earlier this year, Chang, who also serves on the faculty at Duke University Divinity School and at American University’s School of International Service, launched a project called [Christians and the Vaccine]( to change more minds. His group produces videos that dispel some of the myths that circulate widely among evangelicals—some [believe]( the vaccine is a form of government control or that it contains fetal tissue and is therefore pro-abortion. The group works with organizations including the National Association of Evangelicals and the Ad Council to distribute videos to churches and through social networks. His technique seems to be working: Researchers at Columbia University and the Stanford Polarization and Social Change Lab conducted a study on vaccine-hesitant Christians using a video featuring Francis Collins, director of the National Institutes of Health and a devout Christian. Two groups were shown videos of Collins and an essay about medical experts endorsing vaccinations. In one group, the content was altered slightly to highlight the Christian identity of Collins and other medical experts. That group reported greater intentions to get vaccinated and an increased willingness to encourage others to get vaccinated, suggesting that shared values can help medical experts bridge the gap with vaccine-hesitant Christians. I talked to Chang about why it’s difficult for religious leaders to encourage vaccination, how to reach religious people who are vaccine-hesitant, and the dangers of American Christians exporting anti-vaccine beliefs abroad. On evangelical distrust of institutions: There is not any one reason that is true for all evangelicals about why they are vaccine-hesitant. The key insight is that underneath those specific questions and fears is a pervasive distrust of institutions, especially secular institutions. That’s critical to realize here, because all of us, Christian or non-Christian, we only take the vaccine to the extent that we trust institutions. None of us, except for very few elite scientists truly understand in depth all the studies, all the details of the vaccine. The vast majority of people are taking the vaccine because they trust the CDC, the FDA, the federal government, and the state and local public health officials. What’s happened with American evangelicals is that the level of distrust of institutions has skyrocketed in the last five to 10 years. That’s why you’re seeing so much pervasive distrust of the vaccine. [Over 50 percent]( of white evangelicals in particular say they’re not getting the vaccine. On the forces driving vaccine hesitancy among evangelicals: Historically, the evangelical movement has baked into it a certain wariness of dominant secular institutions. And this can be captured in the saying that Jesus called us to be in the world, not of the world. We’re not of the world in the sense of just conforming automatically to the assumptions and beliefs the world. But what’s happened is that this orientation of being being wary has gotten weaponized. There’s been three main forces that I think have done that: One is that you can actually gain a lot of ratings by playing up those fears of what Washington is doing or what the left is doing. Christians are bombarded by so much conservative media that they automatically just assume they’re out to get us. Another one is that conservative politicians have realized that you can gain a lot of votes by playing up these fears. And then the third is sort of outside conspiracy movements. QAnon, the anti-vaxxer movement—they have realized that evangelicals are fertile hunting grounds for their theories, because they are already primed to be distrustful of institutions, and so they can be easily kind of recruited into their deep conspiracies of distrust. On vaccine persuasion through biblical and spiritual grounds: What’s happening in these churches is that the pastors are under enormous pressure. They’ve already been caught in the sense of their congregation being more radicalized than they are—the polls show that the majority of evangelical pastors are pro-vaccine. But they realize that if they go up and speak very strongly about this Sunday morning, on Monday morning, they’re getting a raft of angry emails from people who have been listening to Tucker Carlson seven days a week. You talk to many evangelical pastors, they’re treading a fine line with realizing that they cannot go too far in the direction of masking or vaccines, even if they personally believe that that’s the right thing to do, for fear of the backlash. We’re trying to put that message out there and not put all the burden on a local Christian pastor. If somebody’s gonna get mad, they’ll get mad at me, they won’t get mad at a pastor. But because these are short, shareable videos, they can get injected into actually where I think a lot of this battle is being fought. It’s not going to be fought on Sunday morning, because again, pastors are going to be too disincentivized to preach on this. It’s being fought on social media and in social networks, between somebody in the church is willing to share some information about the vaccine that counters the [mark of the beast fear]( or that there’s a tracking chip, or this is a form of government control, and so forth. It’s the extreme anti-vaxxers that really get a lot of publicity, but I think there’s a large percentage of evangelicals that are still movable, and they are increasingly movable, because of what they’re they’re seeing with Delta and the increasing rates. On coercion tactics to convince the unvaccinated: I understand people are frustrated, they’re losing patience, they just want to make things via mandate and give up trying to persuade people. I think that’s short-sighted for a couple of reasons. If you just resort to sheer coercion, it confirms the narrative that they’re out to get us, that they’re shoving things down our throat. You’re just laying the groundwork for a deepening divide. The second reason is we’re still in the first or second inning of vaccine outreach globally. Parts of Africa and Asia are heavily influenced by Christian culture. A country like Uganda is like 90 percent Christian. Those churches, those places in Africa, they actually take their cultural cues to a great extent from American evangelicals, especially leading white evangelical voices. So America is—unfortunately, through evangelical culture—exporting its vaccine hesitancy. A lot of the same conspiracy theories and doubts and fears that we’ve been battling here, we are definitely seeing emerge and being replicated in the rest of the world. Changing American culture is not just about getting more American evangelicals to take the vaccine, it’s going to be critical to getting the rest of the world vaccinated. And ultimately, for all of us, if we don’t get the entire world vaccinated, we’re all at risk. On the next phase of the pandemic: What’s going to be really important is for Christians to convey to other Christians is that it’s okay to change your mind. The virtues of grace and acceptance are going to be paramount here because people are going to be even more resistant if they think that in changing their mind they are going to be shamed. —Andrea Guzman Did you enjoy this newsletter? Help us out by [forwarding]( it to a friend or sharing it on [Facebook]( and [Twitter](. [Mother Jones]( [Donate]( [Subscribe]( This message was sent to {EMAIL}. 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