Do you want the good news first or the bad? Wednesday, September 13, 2023 Index Momentum S&P 500 RED Nasdaq RED Russell RED The Green Tragedy⦠and Red Momentum This morningâs CPI reading didnât surprise anyone except for Paul Krugman. The embarrassing (but never embarrassed) economist has said over the last few months that inflation is falling. The same message goes for sycophants who are: Protecting their political asses. Doing all they can to deflect from the inflation they caused by printing and borrowing trillions of dollars (and running massive deficits for Keynesian spending nonsense. Failing basic economics when it comes to how money works. Yes, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) came in at 3.7%. Thatâs âDownâ from the 8.5% we saw at this time last year⦠But itâs a 3.7% increase on top of the 8.5% increase from last year if you choose to believe their numbers. Inflation is still GOING up. Someone get the Nobel Laureate a compress for his head, as itâs clear he bumped it hard while trying to claim that two years of inflationary pressures is still somehow âtransitory.â Today, we saw momentum turn back negative after one day of neutral readings. Capital seems to be staying in the market, but thereâs been a big pump into utilities and energy in recent days. A lot of people think that the Fed is done raising interest rates. But theyâre still missing the big picture. Weâre running massive deficits, liquidity remains ample in the global system (collateral quality isnât great though), and this spending just isnât sustainable. The Treasury Department has trillions of dollars in debt to roll over in the next 12 to 18 months. And they need that debt to roll over at longer-term periods (see 10 years). The problem is that youâre way better off buying short-term debt than long-duration bonds. And⦠eventually, youâll have to roll that same debt over again⦠and over again⦠and over again. The Treasury is trapped in a cycle of its own doing. You can thank Janet Yellen, our Treasury Secretary, for this mess. History will not be very kind to the period where she went from a boring academic to an outright politician and the face of reckless spending. And speaking of reckless...[Click here to continue reading this postcard...]( Stay positive, Garrett {NAME} PREMIUM CONTENT Dive into an in-depth analysis of Crescent Energy, a rising star in the energy sector and one of my top energy choices for 2023-2024. Guided by John Goff's strategic prowess and bolstered by a game-changing partnership with KKR, Crescent has set new benchmarks in the energy sector. Beyond its compelling backstory, this video uncovers the mechanics of Crescent's success, illuminating its strategy, potential, and future trajectory. [Sneak A Peek Inside the Trading Room]( REPORTS [The Momentum Handbook]( [The Secret to Huge Value Investing Profits]( [Twitter]( [Youtube]( [Instagram]( [Tiktok]( [Discord]( [LinkedIn]( You are receiving this e-mail at {EMAIL}, as part of your subscription to Postcards. To remove your email from this list: [unsubscribe here]( Please do not reply to this email as this address is not monitored. To cancel, or for any other questions or requests, please contact our Customer Service team:
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