How to Plan for the Next 38 Days

The countdown has begun [Ex-CBOE Trader Eyes Upcoming $100K Trade]( An overlooked “Gamma Bomb” could detonate as soon as July 1st as three factors converge. The last time this happened, a $2B ETF lost 97% in minutes. [Click to join him live on May 24th]( as he breaks down this once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to profit off historic volatility.   How to Plan for the Next 38 Days By Matthew Carr, Chief Trend Strategist, Tactical Trend Investor Hey Reader, The countdown clock has begun. 38 days and change. Each second that ticks away – every day that slips from the calendar – brings us ever closer to a moment that will separate the winners from the losers. Know that it has nothing to do with the debt ceiling debate or any other D.C. drama. The stench from “the swamp” isn’t to blame. Understand, it’s not a major announcement, product launch, or earnings report from one of the “Atlas” companies propping up the S&P 500 – Apple (Nasdaq:AAPL), Microsoft (Nasdaq:MSFT), or Meta (Nasdaq:META). It’s not even related to the latest update of ChatGPT. But when the countdown reads double zeroes – [“00:00”]( – every investor will feel it. Here’s the deal though… it’s not a doomsday clock. Or at least it doesn’t have to be. If you act now and position your portfolio correctly while recognizing what’s about to potentially unfold…   [$1 Billion Buyout Would Unleash a 10X Moonshot for Ground-Floor Investors]( This company and its founders are in talks with some of the world’s biggest organizations about a series of potential contracts. A single contract from any one of these mega-cap giants could send this company’s mere $100 million valuation soaring, transforming it into a billion-dollar unicorn overnight. [Check out the full exposé here.](   Volatility’s Summer Surge There’s a rule most retail investors forget… but it’s one we live by here. All assets move in waves. There are peaks and troughs – times of high demand and little interest… Even for those assets investors struggle to consider tangible. Volatility is a perfect example. You can cup an angry wasp between your hands. Do so, and you’ll likely get stung. But you can’t grab market volatility and try to wrangle it under control. Even though you’ll feel it’s sting in your portfolio each time it swarms. Yet, we can trade volatility. We can buy and sell it… Go long or short... We’ve made the speed of change in share prices an asset class. Now, here’s what most investors will never realize – but should be your No. 1 take from this essay today: Volatility moves in waves. Not just intraday. Not from candle to candle or week to week. But throughout the entire year. And these waves strike against the shore in the same repeating pattern again and again and again. I’ve compiled every trading day for the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) in my hunt for potential tactical trends. And by breaking down the VIX by its average monthly moves, [we clearly spy a pattern](. We see there are stretches when volatility soars and periods when it declines. And the changes happen in the same months each year. This allows savvy investors like you to harvest volatility during its best seasons… as well as to short it during its worst. Now, what you’ll notice from the chart is that – historically, from March through June – the VIX tends to fall. If you’ve been paying attention to my previous research notes, these are traditionally some of the best months for stocks. Already this year, since peaking on March 13 at 30.81, the VIX has tumbled 49.6% – setting new 52-week lows in April and May. But that’s rearview mirror stuff. [We want to focus on what’s ahead.]( And just look at what happens in July. That’s the moment our countdown clock is racing toward… 38 days and change… a moment we need to start preparing for now. Buy Low, Sell High… Repeat! I only want to buy assets at their lows – not their peaks – just before their wave moves higher. This is how you score consistent gains. We know volatility is about to surge during its best four-month stretch of the year – from July through October. That means we want to get in at the lowest point possible before the upswing. Well, this is where history can be our guide. Over the past decade, the average July low on the VIX is 13.64. But in seven of those years, the VIX was 12.07 or lower. Most investors get lulled into a sense of security with the VIX at such a low level, never realizing the maelstrom about to unfold. So here’s the true moneymaking trend. Throughout the VIX’s history, it’s surged from that July low to November 1 – an average of 42.4% with a success rate of 89%. Over the last five and 10 years, the average return has been 33% or more… but the success was 100%. I live by a simple philosophy: The markets shouldn’t be the most stressful part of your day. If you wake up each morning and your mood is determined by how the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Nasdaq, or S&P 500 are moving, you’re doing something wrong. It’s that simple. You’re overleveraged… you’re underleveraged… you’re holding too much in risky assets… you’re not diversified… there’s a laundry list of mistakes you could be making. Investing is about building for the future… about financial independence. It’s about the freedom to live the life you want. Of course, not everyone’s ideal life is going to be the same. And if yours is to be shackled to a computer all day – living and dying on each candle on the S&P – then that’s your choice. It’s not mine. And how I live a worry-free life – without fears over the latest headlines or whether the U.S. will default on its debt or if a recession is coming – is by planning… by recognizing trends and cycles, understanding that all assets move in waves – including volatility – and preparing accordingly. We know volatility is about to spike. Decades of data reveal this pattern. We can see the countdown clock ticking away… just 38 days and change left. If you want to wake up on July 1 happy and rested – unconcerned about what may or may not unfold – then create a game plan now. This is how I’m able to lead my life not shackled to a trading station but enjoying my freedom outside on the farm. And each week, I’ll help you do the same by unveiling the market’s secret trends like these. Your tactical trend hunter, Matthew P.S. The VIX dropping to the lows I mentioned above is one of three triggers that could set off a massive gamma bomb in the market. Tonight at 8 p.m. (ET), volatility expert Mark Sebastian and options expert Andrew Giovinazzi are hosting a discussion about how the other two triggers are already in play… and most importantly, how investors like you can get ready to play this event like the big guns do. [Click here to add this free show to your calendar.](   ["The Biggest Trade of 2023.”]( It’s only happened two times in U.S. financial history, and within the next 30 days, Tom Gentile believes it’ll begin again: a commodities supercycle that will triple gold, 5X silver, and 10X dozens of exploration plays across the country. Join Tom and Brien Lundin for the full profit plan (including three hand-selected miners from Brien himself…) [See it now!]( You are receiving this e-mail at {EMAIL}, as part of your subscription to Inside Money Morning. To remove your email from this list, [unsubscribe here](. Please do not reply to this email as this address is not monitored. 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