An idiot-proof guide to trading catalysts

The good, the bad, the idiotic… [1,412% on Alamos… 2,521% on Alacer… 1,677% on Exeter…]( These are REAL results produced during the last decade-long commodities bull run. Based on three signals converging right now, Tom Gentile believes it’s happening again (and starting within 30 days). He put more than $1.5 million on the line… and he’s not stopping there. [Join Tom and Brien Lundin for their complete profit plan now.](   An Idiot-Proof Guide to Trading Catalysts By Matthew Carr, Strategist, Tactical Trend Investor Hey Reader, “I don’t set trends. I just find out what they are and exploit them.” – Dick Clark Another week… another pivotal catalyst. And once again, the mainstream financial media will be tripping over themselves wondering, “Oh gosh, oh golly, how are investors going to react?” Well, if you’ve been paying attention the last few weeks, you know I’ve been taking a sledgehammer to this concept. I’ve explained that there’s often no question about which way equities are going to move on data releases or key events. And the only ones left pondering, “What now?” are those who haven’t bothered to do their homework. The next key government report is less than 24 hours away. Fortunately, there’s an easy way to know what to expect…   [There’s “Rich”... And Then There’s “Texas Rich”]( As we speak, a massive bidding war in the oil fields of the Permian Basin is setting up for a new generation of “Texas Rich.” All you need to know is the right acquisition targets and how to play ‘em. Garrett {NAME} is sharing the full game plan: his targets, the buyers, and the date of every single deal. If you’re ready to learn the meaning of “Texas Rich,” [Check it out by clicking here.](   Pinpointing Poor Choices “The market is rigged!” That phrase makes me cringe. It’s an easy out. A way to shift the blame for mistakes, poor choices, lack of research, and losses to the mysterious forces of “Them.” I deal in probabilities. Identifiable trends, particularly when it comes to catalysts. I outlined that the Invesco QQQ ETF (Nasdaq:QQQ) and the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (NYSE:SPY) have dropped on 7 of the last 8 Fed Days and Chairman Jerome Powell press conferences! I pointed out that “the Qs” – the proxy for the Nasdaq 100 – have risen on the Consumer Price Index (CPI) release 9 of the last 11 months… including a stretch of 8 months consecutively! There’s been no point in questioning which direction stocks will head on either of these data drops. I already knew. It’s an idiot-proof approach! The probabilities are clear as day! Yet, there are plenty of countdown clocks and experts weighing in on what to expect for days beforehand. But this is why what I do is so profitable… and admittedly at times, embarrassingly easy. My advantage is I merely have the wherewithal to recognize a trend and then exploit it. So, what about this week’s vital data release from our bureaucratic overlords in Washington, D.C.? Will it bring happiness or heartache? The Other Seven of Nine Actress Jeri Ryan rocketed to fame as Seven of Nine in Star Trek: Voyager. And if you followed my writing over the last couple of decades, you know I’m a big science fiction fan. Unfortunately, we’re going to talk about a different kind of seven of nine… this one investors should pay attention to. You see, there’s a lot of hand-wringing over the state of the U.S. economy. The U.S. central bank is steadfast in its plan to raise rates and to keep them elevated for as long as necessary until inflation is brought under control (which is why stocks spill on Fed Day). Inflation remains high… but it’s coming down (which is why the market responds positively each month). At the same time, unemployment is at the lowest level since we put astronauts on the Moon though wage growth has cooled. It’s a very resilient picture as everyone calls for an imminent recession. Well, investors’ next clue as to what the Fed will do and whether we are seeing a slowdown will hit the tape at 8:30 a.m. ET tomorrow. That’s when monthly retail sales figures are released. And as you can see from the chart below, if you’re expecting a positive response, you may be in for a bit of a shock… The QQQ has dropped on this government data release 7 out of the last 9 months. For those bulls expecting a charge, it’s not a welcomed trend. The only upside is… the reaction of the Nasdaq 100 over the last three months has been tame. We haven’t seen 1%-plus toilet flushes. Nonetheless, that’s a high probability of red… And for good reason. The Good, the Bad, the Idiotic Retail sales are double-edged for investors. On one hand… the market needs the numbers to be poor to force the Fed to stop raising rates. On the other hand… dismal readings frighten investors that there’s an economic erosion taking place that’ll drag equities lower. In the end, it’s a damned if you do, damned if you don’t situation. And that’s why markets have responded so negatively to this report. My approach to investing is all about knowing what to expect. I ignore the financial media and their theories of the moment. I focus on facts. I focus on reliable trends and probabilities. I do my best to idiot-proof my trading. I want to protect my portfolio from “gut feelings,” “whims,” or other dangerous market mysticisms. That’s what leads to my success. And to yours. It also allows me to maintain my sanity while so many others question theirs with each twist and turn of the market, looking to blame clandestine forces behind the scenes pulling the proverbial strings. The harsh reality is, I completely understand the only idiot I need to shield my financial future from is me. Your tactical trend hunter, Matthew P.S. Later this week, I’ll share my secret trading strategy on retailers… and how you can exploit both sides of a tactical trend for gains year after year after year. All the while, keeping calm while the rest of Wall Street loses their heads.   AI could replace 300 million jobs in the next decade. Are you positioned for poverty or profit? [Learn How To Protect Yourself Here!]( You are receiving this e-mail at {EMAIL}, as part of your subscription to Inside Money Morning. To remove your email from this list, [unsubscribe here](. Please do not reply to this email as this address is not monitored. 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