And is there a way to invest ahead of time? [âThe Biggest Trade of 2023]( Itâs only happened two times in U.S. financial history â and within the next 30 days, Tom Gentile believes itâll begin again: a commodities supercycle that will triple gold, 5X silver, and 10X dozens of exploration plays across the country. Join Tom and Brien Lundin on Thursday, May 11, for the full profit plan (including three hand-selected miners from Brien himself). [RSVP here.]( Is 2011âs Mayhem About to Repeat? By Matthew Carr, Strategist, Tactical Trend Investor Hey Reader, On July 14, 2011, the world was rattled. Though that was merely the first tremor of the earthquake to come. The U.S. was mired in a divisive debt ceiling debate. And it was racing headlong into crisis. Sound eerily familiar? Concerned, Standard & Poorâs (S&P) announced it put U.S. debt on a 90-day CreditWatch, threatening a potential downgrade. Two days later, Egan-Jones Rating Company went a step further⦠they pulled the trigger. They downgraded U.S. debt from AAA to AA+. Congress, under the gun, raced to get a deal done. And on August 2, 2011, the debt ceiling was raised by the Budget Control Act of 2011. But it was too little, too late. Four days later â for the first time ever â S&P downgraded U.S. debt to AA+. And all hell broke loose. The S&P 500 cratered more than 6.5%... the Nasdaq plummeted 6.9%. But while this maelstrom was unfolding, there was one asset sprinting at its fastest pace in decades. AI could replace 300 million jobs in the next decade. Are you positioned for poverty or profit? [Learn How to Protect Yourself Here!]( The Gold Bug Faux Pas There is a dangerous mistake many gold bugs make. They believe gold is a hedge against inflation. Itâs not. Gold is an anticipator of inflation. Its rally is a precursor of whatâs to come. What gets overlooked is that since 1980, the correlation between the precious metal and inflation has vaporized. And goldâs return underperforms as consumer prices surge. The truth is⦠the precious metal starts running before inflation strikes. For instance: At the end of June 2019, gold began to inch higher. (Thereâs another reason for this Iâll share in a moment.) In March 2020 â as we all survived â global markets collapsed. And the precious metal served as a life raft. It didnât soar, but it didnât sink either. It remained buoyant. But by August 2020, gold had rocketed 61.3% to set a new all-time high. Yet U.S. inflation wouldnât peak until June 2022. If gold and inflation were so intertwined, its price shouldâve soared through 2021 and 2022. But today, the precious metal is largely unmoved from where it was nearly three years ago. What gold really is⦠is a hedge against a U.S. economic collapse and the devaluation of the dollar. In 2011 â as the U.S. debt ceiling debate dragged on and markets began crumbling â gold rose above it all. It surged 8.4% in July⦠tacked on another 12.4% in August⦠and lunged to what were then all-time highs on September 5, 2011. And it may be about to do it again. But thereâs another force at work that could make goldâs next move truly explosive. A Tsunami About to Strike Hereâs the thing: Gold moves in waves. There are macroeconomic currents â like commodity supercycles and currency cycles. And there are shorter-wave currents â central bank and consumer demand cycles, as well as fear hedge cycles. When more than one of these combine, the result is a single tsunami. And weâre potentially on the cusp of one now⦠Iâll be talking about this in detail on The Trend Is Your Friend show at 9:30 a.m. (ET) today. [Be sure to tune in to watch me live.]( In the meantime, let me show you what I mean. Iâve compiled nearly 50 years of goldâs price moves. And thereâs a telling pattern to the precious metalâs flows. In the chart above, we see that traditionally â for much of the last half century â each year, gold suffers in three difficult months: March, June, and October. With June only weeks away, this is why I stated last Friday that Iâm not a fan of buying gold now. I know that if I practice patience, I can be rewarded with a better entry soon. Because look at what follows June⦠You have six of what are traditionally goldâs best months of the year: July, August, September, November, December, and January. Now, this isnât a fluke or an anomaly. Itâs classic supply and demand economics. Over the last three decades, China and India â home to more than a third of the worldâs population â have emerged as major gold consumers. In fact, Chinaâs gold demand has exploded five-fold since the 1990s and is the worldâs largest consumer of the precious metal. And both countries have holidays and traditions steeped in precious metal buying. For example, 50% of all Indiaâs consumer gold purchases take place during the countryâs wedding season, which stretches from November to February. At the same time, thereâs the annual Diwali celebration that falls between mid-October and mid-November. This is gasoline to an already raging fire of gold demand. In the fourth quarter of 2022 â which was a record for gold â 35% of jewelry demand was simply Indiaâs wedding season and Diwali. Right on the heels of that is Christmas and Hanukkah. And for those who donât know, Christmas Eve, Christmas Day, and New Yearâs Eve are the most popular days to propose. Thatâs followed by Chinese New Year, falling between January and February each year. This spurs a gold rush. In fact⦠in February 2023, Chinese demand for the precious metal soared to the highest level since 2014 â all thanks to the holiday. Imagine all this seasonal demand combining with the potential boost of a debt ceiling debate⦠even if a crisis is averted â like we saw in 2011. Unfortunately, investors tend to think of gold as a long-term hold. But its history is full of breathtaking sprints⦠- 61.3% from June 2019 to August 2020â¦
- 74.45% from June 1982 to January 1983â¦
- 90.1% from November 1972 to June 1973â¦
- And 183.2% from April 1979 to January 1980! Youâll notice most of those took place around the same dates. Thatâs not a coincidence. [Itâs time to be prepared.]( The last tremor we felt like this started on July 14, 2011. And today, the same forces appear to be aligning. That means goldâs next historic run could kick off mere days from now! My colleague Tom Gentile will discuss this in detail on Thursday at 10 a.m. (ET)⦠including ways you can get ready to profit from this situation. I wouldnât miss watching this free event if I were you. [Get it on your calendar here](. Your tactical trend hunter, Matthew Carr
Strategist, Tactical Trend Investor P.S. [The Trend Is Your Friend]( starts at 9:30 a.m. (ET). Iâll talk more about goldâs next move then â plus some other interesting trends Iâm watching right now. [Join me in the room to watch.]( [Thereâs âRichâ¦â and Then Thereâs âTexas Richâ]( As we speak, a massive bidding war in the oil fields of the Permian Basin is setting up for a new generation of âTexas rich.â All you need to know is the right acquisition targets and how to play âem. Garrett {NAME} is sharing the full game plan: his targets, the buyers, and the date of every single deal. If youâre ready to learn the meaning of âTexas rich,â [check it out by clicking here](. You are receiving this e-mail at {EMAIL}, as part of your subscription to Inside Money Morning. To remove your email from this list, [unsubscribe here](. Please do not reply to this email as this address is not monitored. To cancel, or for any other questions or requests, please contact our Customer Service team:
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