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The Fed may have pivoted - the wrong way

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Sun, Feb 19, 2023 04:31 PM

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Over 30 years ago, Tom was a forklift operator at Home Depot. It was an honest job, but it barely pa

[Archives]( Live]( [Twitter]( [Youtube]( [Instagram]( [Discord]( [Tiktok]( [How This Former Forklift Operator Makes Instant Cash from Stocks!]( Over 30 years ago, Tom was a forklift operator at Home Depot. It was an honest job, but it barely paid the bills. Today, Tom is a professional trader with multi-million-dollar properties in several states, including New York and Florida. One of his trading techniques wins 93% of the time. [Click and See How It Works]( MAIN STORY The Fed May Have Pivoted...The Wrong Direction By Tom Gentile. Dear Reader Just this month, the Fed lifted its benchmark lending rate by a quarter of a percentage point to a range of 4.5% to 4.75% after December’s half-point increase. Policy makers are certainly not willing to use a pen so it’s etched in ink, so they’re penciling in a peak interest rate of about 5.1% for 2023. But with the strength of the labor market it is clear that inflation may linger for much longer than expected, which is causing some bank officials to pivot, but just in the wrong direction – they’re fearful of the need to push rates even higher than previously anticipated. This means I expect market volatility to be shaken up a bit, which will lead to gyrations in options implied volatility – inflated premiums. And when implied volatility (IV) heats up, it can be a positive if you know which side of IV to be on. Our federal banks may have something to do with market volatility heating up soon. Fed Funds Rate vs The Neutral Rate – What it Means In the graph above you can see where the Fed’s neutral rate is by the blue line – approximately 2.5%. In order to curb inflation, however, we’re seeing the actual rate (green line) climb much higher than the neutral rate…and not only has the fed not reached their target rate yet, but the projection may become higher due to a strong labor market and stubborn inflation. With the increase in short-term interest rates, the yield curve remains inverted (short-term rates are higher than long-term rates), which is often a precursor to recessions, led by a severe market decline. And this can inevitably lead to an increase in market volatility and overvalued options premiums. Which leads me to the challenges I’ll be facing shortly. In fact, despite the challenges of our market and economy we’re facing, I’ve decided to give myself a challenge… [The Rocket Wealth Challenge]( You know I’ve had plenty of challenges in the trading world. I’ve gone from being forced to stop trading in order to pay back a brokerage margin call to selling a multi-million-dollar options training business, so I want to share with you one of the strategies that I’ve used with tremendous success to overcome past challenges. But for now we’re in the middle of a long weekend, and I hope you’re enjoying it. It’s moving day for me, of course, so I’ll be spending time moving from one office into another, temporary one… oh, the fun! After this weekend, however, I’ll be up for any and all challenges heading my way. I hope you’ll join me in my personal Rocket Wealth Challenge beginning this week… And be sure to join me for other trades and challenges that I’ll be discussing this coming Tuesday and Wednesday at 12:00 noon ET. Until then, Tom Gentile America's #1 Pattern Trader Join Tom each Monday through Wednesday at 12:00 p.m. ET as he discusses a range of strategies that can make money in a strained market environment. Did you miss the Live session? Watch Tom’s replays!   MORNING REPORT Tom's TOP 10 Get free access to Tom's TOP 10 stocks from any one of the Morning Report's SIX Watch Lists, which are found on Toms Option Tools App. Tom's watch lists are updated daily, so you can seize the opportunities available from any one of 60 stocks starting right now. [Click Here to Access]( FEATURED ARTICLES [The Rally Won't Last - Here's What to do.]( [This Bear Market Rally Could Prompt a 2001-style Crash]( [Your VIP PASS to Tom Gentile's Darknet Trader Challenge]( Don’t waste your money investing on Microsoft, Google and Meta or any big company to capitalize on the Artificial Intelligence Boom. [Invest in the AI Revolution starting with as Little as $1.00.]( [Here's How](   GET STARTED [Options 101: The Easiest Options Guide You’ll Ever Read]( With anything and everything you’ll ever need to know about trading options, this is the best guide to making money in the markets you can get. [Straddles – How to profit up or down!]( Is there a way to trade options regardless of market direction? The answer is YES! Straddle trading takes the guess work out. Straddles can profit if the stock’s price rises OR falls on speculation. [Earnings: The IV Crush]( Trading options is a zero-sum game, meaning there will always be a winner and a loser on either side of a trade. Trading through an earnings report and losing in spite of the fact that the underlying stock price went in your intended direction can feel like getting stung by the biggest bee in the hive – Ouch! There is a right way to trade earnings. [The All-in-One Chart]( Welcome to my guide on the All-in-One Chart. The charting tools are made available for you to utilize in Tom’s Option’s Tools. My All-in-One Chart is made up of several components to help evaluate charts. Although there are many other factors involved in decisions regarding trades, chart analysis is a part of the process. [How to set up a Microcurrency Account]( Currencies make up the biggest market in the world today. In fact, every single day, up to $6.6 trillion is traded in the currency market. But there’s something extraordinary happening in this massive global market… It’s all hidden in a tiny offshoot that’s helping regular, everyday Americans become rich in the blink of an eye. They’re called microcurrencies – and it’s your turn to take advantage of these major moneymakers by setting up your own Microcurrency trading account.   CASH COURSE For the first time ever, I’m letting a small amount of new readers get 100% free access to my Cash Course. This cornerstone course will show you – in just seven simple steps — everything you need to know about trading options. Plus, you’ll learn how to make the perfect trades using the same methods I’ve used to train over 300,000 readers. So get ready – I’m about to show you how to cash in on any market – whether it’s up, down, or sideways. [Get Started Now](   TOM'S PUBLICATIONS [AICI Membership]( [AICI Membership]( [Weekly Cash Clock]( [Microcurrency Trader]( [Operation Surge Strike]( [Quantum Data Profits]( [Operation Surge Strike](   [HIdden Hyper Events Spark Massive Windfalls]( These critical events pop up every few weeks and unleash a trading frenzy. With only one of these hyper events, you could have seen gains of 393% in five days… 695% in seven days… or 733% in nine days… and that’s just when stock prices were FALLING. [Watch the incredible returns that can happen in today’s market.]( [Click and Watch Here]( You are receiving this e-mail at {EMAIL}, as part of your subscription to Power Profit Trades. To remove your email from this list: [unsubscribe here](. Please do not reply to this email as this address is not monitored. To cancel, or for any other questions or requests, please contact our Customer Service team: Online: [Customer Service Form]( Phone: 888-384-8339 (North America) 443-353-4519 (International) Mail: Power Profit Trades | Attn: Member Services | 1125 N Charles Street | Baltimore, MD 21201 Fax: 410-622-3050 Our Customer Service team is available Monday - Friday between 9:00 AM and 5:00 PM ET. © 2023 Money Map Press. All Rights Reserved. Nothing in this email should be considered personalized financial advice. Although our employees may answer your general customer service questions, they are not licensed under securities laws to address your particular investment situation. No communication by our employees to you should be deemed as personalized financial advice. We expressly forbid our writers from having a financial interest in any security recommended to our readers. All of our employees and agents must wait 24 hours after on-line publication or 72 hours after the mailing of printed-only publication prior to following an initial recommendation. Any investments recommended in this letter should be made only after consulting with your investment advisor and only after reviewing the prospectus or financial statements of the company. Protected by copyright laws of the United States and international treaties. This Newsletter may only be used pursuant to the subscription agreement and any reproduction, copying, or redistribution (electronic or otherwise, including on the world wide web), in whole or in part, is strictly prohibited without the express written permission of: Money Map Press. 1125 N Charles Street, Baltimore, MD 21201. [Website]( [Privacy Policy]( | [Terms & Conditions](

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