[Archives]( Live]( [Twitter]( [Youtube]( [Instagram]( [Discord]( [Tiktok]( [Tom Gentile WANTS YOU to be His Next Elite Trading Protégé!]( Legendary trader Richard Dennis took a group of complete novices and turned them into millionaire traders. In fact, in just 5 years, these novice students earned $175 million between them. Tom Gentile wants to recreate history, and he wants you as his next elite trading protégée! It all happens on Wednesday, January 11th @ 1pm. At that time, Tom will throw back the curtain and show you the secrets that mint millionaires. [Go here now to collect your VIP PASS for this must-see event!]( MAIN STORY My Substitution Trading Strategy Beat Others 3:1 By Tom Gentile. Dear Reader Dear Reader, Elevated inflation may help offer a bump to things like social security checks, but substitution bias in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report can hurt Americans who rent while bolstering the pockets of landlords. Now itâs only natural to focus on headlines, but itâs when we look into the details of economic reports that weâll get a fuller understanding. Well, the CPI report will be revealed this week, and it will be better understood when we look a little closer at the numbers revealed and the idea of Substitution Bias. And what is substitution bias? â itâs fairly simple⦠under strained economic situations consumers will substitute Spam for a higher-priced steak. Now there are plenty of things in life that are not fun to substitute, especially if weâre talking about substituting quality for undesirable or distasteful products. On other occasions, however, there are things worth substituting over others... When it comes to our current market conditions, I want to share with you a strategy you might easily consider using as a substitute. Iâm talking about the vertical spread trading strategy that has trumped other strategies by 3:1 last year. Before I get into the details, letâs talk about why we might expect similar market conditions this year as last. Expect Volatility from Fed News and the Overstated CPI Report We may experience extra volatility as the CPI is released this week, which may be overstated due to the substitution bias affect â which is created by consumers switching over to lower-priced products. As consumers substitute more expensive products for cheaper ones, as a means of fighting inflation, the changes in consumption may not be reflected in the longstanding market basket the CPI is used to accounting for. This can create an inflated CPI report â by approximately 0.5%, and since some landlords use the inflation report to gauge increases in rents, some tenants will end up having their rents raised based on an inflated reading â causing even more hardship. Well, this just creates another reason to capitalize off the extra market volatility that is associated with uncertain economic times like these. But there are additional reasons we might expect heightened market volatility... The Fed is determined to crush inflation, and that means jobs will be lost in the coming months â exacerbating financial situations. And the CPI report can stir emotions. The CPI report may indicate a decline in overall inflation, but individual items that are impactful, such as specific food items, may be on the rise â similarly to what we witnessed last year when the report showed an overall decline. Investors can get emotionally charged by a decline in inflation based solely on the report itself, but over time, as the reality that prices are still extremely high and negatively impacting our buying power, the enthusiasm falters â and so does the stock market. So, with market volatility expected to remain healthy throughout this year, letâs talk about a strategy that has proven itself despite last yearâs market volatility. Substituting Long Calls and Puts with Vertical Spreads When you buy a call option, you can theoretically make unlimited profits, but with the zig-zagging market conditions weâve dealt with last year, if your timing was off, so were profits. Now donât get me wrong, I trade long calls and puts regularly, but I offer subscribers a choice. When my Quantum Scripts software identifies directional trades for my subscribers, they can take on a bullish or bearish trade using single calls or puts, which I consider high profitability trades. But hereâs where your own substitution bias might come into play. Instead of a high profitability trade you can substitute with a high probability trade. Hereâs the tradeoff: Anytime we take on a long-call, bullish directional trade, profitability is maximized when the stock moves strongly and very quickly â and there are great profits from this happening. Alternatively, when a stockâs price takes longer to rise, due to emotionally charged zig-zag movements, the higher probability vertical spread trade captures the majority of its profit. So, a high profitability trade (e.g., long call) has âunlimitedâ profit potential while the higher probability trade (e.g., vertical call spread) has limited reward. And while both can give single, double and even triple digit returns, let me tell you that with the choppy market we experienced last year, our Quantum high probability trades outperformed the high profitability trades by a ratio of 3:1. You can see the comparison in the image below: Taking on either of the trading strategies that my Quantum Scripts found for us would have outperformed the general market in 2022, so had you chosen either of them, there would be no disappointment. But in the case of the higher probability strategy, well, it was well worth the substitution. Until next time. Tom Gentile America's #1 Pattern Trader Join Tom each Monday through Wednesday at 12:00 p.m. ET as he discusses a range of strategies that can make money in a strained market environment. Did you miss the Live session? Watch Tomâs replays! FEATURED ARTICLES [The Rally Won't Last - Here's What to do.]( [Five Indications the Market has NOT Bottomed]( [This Bear Market Rally Could Prompt a 2001-style Crash]( [Subterranean Tech Firm will POWER America this winter.]( And it belongs to what Forbes is calling 2023's TOP Investment. [This deal closes on January 15]( GET STARTED [Options 101: The Easiest Options Guide Youâll Ever Read]( With anything and everything youâll ever need to know about trading options, this is the best guide to making money in the markets you can get. [Straddles â How to profit up or down!]( Is there a way to trade options regardless of market direction? The answer is YES! Straddle trading takes the guess work out. Straddles can profit if the stockâs price rises OR falls on speculation. [Earnings: The IV Crush]( Trading options is a zero-sum game, meaning there will always be a winner and a loser on either side of a trade. Trading through an earnings report and losing in spite of the fact that the underlying stock price went in your intended direction can feel like getting stung by the biggest bee in the hive â Ouch! There is a right way to trade earnings. [The All-in-One Chart]( Welcome to my guide on the All-in-One Chart. The charting tools are made available for you to utilize in Tomâs Optionâs Tools. My All-in-One Chart is made up of several components to help evaluate charts. Although there are many other factors involved in decisions regarding trades, chart analysis is a part of the process. [How to set up a Microcurrency Account]( Currencies make up the biggest market in the world today. In fact, every single day, up to $6.6 trillion is traded in the currency market. But thereâs something extraordinary happening in this massive global market⦠Itâs all hidden in a tiny offshoot thatâs helping regular, everyday Americans become rich in the blink of an eye. Theyâre called microcurrencies â and itâs your turn to take advantage of these major moneymakers by setting up your own Microcurrency trading account. CASH COURSE For the first time ever, Iâm letting a small amount of new readers get 100% free access to my Cash Course. This cornerstone course will show you â in just seven simple steps â everything you need to know about trading options. Plus, youâll learn how to make the perfect trades using the same methods Iâve used to train over 300,000 readers. So get ready â Iâm about to show you how to cash in on any market â whether itâs up, down, or sideways. 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