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The Santa Claus Effect - What You Can Expect

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The best stock picks of 2023 have been revealed...$1895 surprise gifts for everyone... MAIN STORY Th

[Archives]( Live]( [Twitter]( [Youtube]( [Instagram]( [Discord]( [Tiktok]( [On Tuesday, we went live with Mistletoe Mania]( The best stock picks of 2023 have been revealed...$1895 surprise gifts for everyone... [Finish off the year strong and View the Presentation Now!]( MAIN STORY The Santa Claus Effect - What You Can Expect By Tom Gentile. Dear Reader The Santa Claus Effect is spoken of and expected every December, so tradition has set expectations. Having a market rally ahead of the Christmas holiday may even perhaps be a self-fulfilling prophecy. But with the S&P 500 dropping nearly 8 percent in just five days, the pressure is mounting for a market meltdown. Let’s talk about the Santa Claus Effect and what to expect this year. The Santa Claus Rally Whether caused by excessive holiday shopping, tradition and rumor, institutional investors pension contributions or simply tax management, the Santa Claus Rally is something traders look to capitalize from. The theories about why it happens may vary, and, as with other seasonal events, there is no guarantee the rally will materialize. The week leading up to the Christmas holiday is bullish more often than bearish according to history. But the number of positive growth years depends on how far back in time you look at the data. Some data has discovered the S&P 500 offers a 65% chance you’ll see positive returns the week ahead of Christmas. Keep in mind, however, the other 35% of the time, when the market incurs losses ahead of the holiday, losses end up being greater than the gains by nearly 2 to 1. Over a 20-year period, the index gains have averaged just over 1.5%, but losses exceed 3% during bearish periods. Also, the Santa Claus rally time frame is debatable – some consider the week before Christmas, while others include the week following in their analysis. My Scanner Illustrates the Potential for Holiday Gains Using my Toms Option Tools app, I ran a scan that looked back nearly 20 years, which included the week ahead of Christmas and the week following. When I combined the two-week period, you’ll be pleasantly surprised about the results. By using my tools, I found that the SPY had positive returns 84% of the time, but the gains averaged only 1.22%. So, while there are good odds for bullish behavior the week before and after the Christmas holiday, the gains are certainly modest. Now, let’s think about the strain the market has been under this week. Between December 13 to 19 the SPY lost close to 8% of its value – creating “oversold” market conditions. Although volumes were quite heavy on some of the sell-off days, this type of selloff leads to “bargain shopping. Historically, when the general market loses 10% of its value it has “corrected” in the minds of some, and you can often count on a bullish bounce after such strong selling. It didn’t help that economic concerns are prevalent, so as the market fell this past week, bearish momentum is building. Why We May Be Disappointed I mentioned above that my scan found 84% odds the market will rise the week before and after Christmas, but that also means there is 16% odds we’ll have negative returns. We may very well see a market pop over the next week or so, but just keep in mind that it’s much harder to realize positive gains once the market falls sharply as it has just prior to the Santa Claus rally commencement. Whether you look to the odds and decide on taking a trade or not, the last couple of weeks of the year can be used to reflect on the good and poor trading choices we’ve made throughout the past year. I’ll plan on taking some time off next week for that very reason – to reflect, and then to prepare for the coming year. I hope you’ll do the same. Tom Gentile America's #1 Pattern Trader Join Tom each Monday through Wednesday at 12:00 p.m. ET as he discusses a range of strategies to make money in a strained market environment. Did you miss the Live session? Watch Tom’s replays!   FEATURED ARTICLES [The Rally Won't Last - Here's What to do.]( [Five Indications the Market has NOT Bottomed]( [This Bear Market Rally Could Prompt a 2001-style Crash](   GET STARTED [Options 101: The Easiest Options Guide You’ll Ever Read]( With anything and everything you’ll ever need to know about trading options, this is the best guide to making money in the markets you can get. [Straddles – How to profit up or down!]( Is there a way to trade options regardless of market direction? The answer is YES! Straddle trading takes the guess work out. Straddles can profit if the stock’s price rises OR falls on speculation. [Earnings: The IV Crush]( Trading options is a zero-sum game, meaning there will always be a winner and a loser on either side of a trade. Trading through an earnings report and losing in spite of the fact that the underlying stock price went in your intended direction can feel like getting stung by the biggest bee in the hive – Ouch! There is a right way to trade earnings. [The All-in-One Chart]( Welcome to my guide on the All-in-One Chart. The charting tools are made available for you to utilize in Tom’s Option’s Tools. My All-in-One Chart is made up of several components to help evaluate charts. Although there are many other factors involved in decisions regarding trades, chart analysis is a part of the process. [How to set up a Microcurrency Account]( Currencies make up the biggest market in the world today. In fact, every single day, up to $6.6 trillion is traded in the currency market. But there’s something extraordinary happening in this massive global market… It’s all hidden in a tiny offshoot that’s helping regular, everyday Americans become rich in the blink of an eye. They’re called microcurrencies – and it’s your turn to take advantage of these major moneymakers by setting up your own Microcurrency trading account.   CASH COURSE For the first time ever, I’m letting a small amount of new readers get 100% free access to my Cash Course. This cornerstone course will show you – in just seven simple steps — everything you need to know about trading options. Plus, you’ll learn how to make the perfect trades using the same methods I’ve used to train over 300,000 readers. So get ready – I’m about to show you how to cash in on any market – whether it’s up, down, or sideways. [Get Started Now](   TOM'S PUBLICATIONS [AICI Membership]( [AICI Membership]( [Weekly Cash Clock]( [Microcurrency Trader]( [Operation Surge Strike]( [Quantum Data Profits]( [Operation Surge Strike](   [Look out for this upcoming move]( It only cost 38 cents to get in [View now]( You are receiving this e-mail at {EMAIL}, as part of your subscription to Power Profit Trades. To remove your email from this list: [unsubscribe here](. Please do not reply to this email as this address is not monitored. To cancel, or for any other questions or requests, please contact our Customer Service team: Online: [Customer Service Form]( Phone: 888-384-8339 (North America) 443-353-4519 (International) Mail: Power Profit Trades | Attn: Member Services | 1125 N Charles Street | Baltimore, MD 21201 Fax: 410-622-3050 Our Customer Service team is available Monday - Friday between 9:00 AM and 5:00 PM ET. © 2022 Money Map Press. All Rights Reserved. Nothing in this email should be considered personalized financial advice. Although our employees may answer your general customer service questions, they are not licensed under securities laws to address your particular investment situation. No communication by our employees to you should be deemed as personalized financial advice. We expressly forbid our writers from having a financial interest in any security recommended to our readers. All of our employees and agents must wait 24 hours after on-line publication or 72 hours after the mailing of printed-only publication prior to following an initial recommendation. Any investments recommended in this letter should be made only after consulting with your investment advisor and only after reviewing the prospectus or financial statements of the company. Protected by copyright laws of the United States and international treaties. This Newsletter may only be used pursuant to the subscription agreement and any reproduction, copying, or redistribution (electronic or otherwise, including on the world wide web), in whole or in part, is strictly prohibited without the express written permission of: Money Map Press. 1125 N Charles Street, Baltimore, MD 21201. [Website]( [Privacy Policy]( | [Terms & Conditions](

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