The Great Recession part deux - how you can profit

[Archives]( Live]( [Twitter]( [Youtube]( [Instagram]( [Discord]( [Tiktok]( For 39 years, this trading floor has been home to a private auction... Where over $1.3 trillion changes hands every day. Elite traders can make 3, 5 – even 10 – times their money in a few hours. Until recently, this private auction was off-limits to anyone but a handful of insiders… But a new SEC regulation has changed that forever. We’re taking you directly to that floor on Tuesday at 7pm. [Join Here]( MAIN STORY The Great Recession Part Deux - How You Can Profit By Tom Gentile. Dear Reader, The Great Recession saw the greatest economic downturn since World War II – and our surging economic situation may very well rival it. The probability of a recession has soared above 60% by economists and continues to rise, and the Fed is placing our economy on the fast track to a GDP fallout, which will spur unemployment – costing millions of jobs. There have always been variations in past recessions and the causes of today’s economic downturn may be different from those leading up to The Great Recession, but the symptoms are similar – and we’re just getting started. So, let’s look at our brewing economic situation to see if it might rival that of The Great Recession – but more importantly, I’ll show you how my All-in-One charting program can find opportunities regardless of how bad things might get. The Great Recession – Then vs Now There are certainly a lot of variables to any economic recession and causes of The Great Recession could be debated for years I’m sure, but let’s just do a little comparison to find out if the worst is behind us. The economy was heating up back in 2006 and to slow economic growth the federal reserve raised interest rates over the course of two years until they finally peaked at 5.25% in June 2006. Currently, the fed’s interest rate target range is 3.75%-4.0% – but more increases are expected, as Chairman Powell signaled interest rates could likely go higher than the 4.5-4.75 percent range projected in September. Additionally, St. Louis Fed President, James Bullard, commented a more proper range for rates would be between 5%-7% – which is well above the target range of The Great Recession and opens the door wide for deeper pain. During The Great Recession, GDP had negative growth for three out of four quarters in 2008 – with the fourth quarter losing the greatest amount: 8.5%. While GDP was declining in 2008, the S&P was losing value – 10%-20% in the first nine months, which was similar to losses we’ve seen this year… so far. But it wasn’t until the last quarter of that year that the market dropped another staggering 30% – losing 57% overall. I think you’re seeing the bigger picture now. Our economy has had minimal fluctuations in GDP and has had two quarters of negative growth, but the reaction to the central bank’s actions have not yet kicked in. Indeed, it looks like our economy could contract more than it has, and the stock market may fall deeper than we’ve seen this year, but these are the times when I remind myself to focus on things I can control – trading and investment decisions. That’s why it’s important to me to follow the data. Often enough, you’ll find that the market movement doesn’t always seem rational, so instead of guessing at it I’ll simply follow the path of the charts – taking trading opportunities as they come. Follow The Charts for Greater Profits Although channels are not the only thing I utilize when making trade decisions, they’re very useful in recognizing where inflection points may occur in the market or individual stocks – creating year-round trading opportunities. Let me show you which channels I share with my subscribers. There are three main channels you’ll find in my All-in-One charts – long term, intermediate term and short term. Take a look at the chart for SPY above. The purple channel represents a long-term trend, which reflects the bearish path our market has been on this year. The intermediate channel, highlighted in green, is indicative of sideways market behavior over a 54-day period. You’ll also see the short-term channel in red – denoting a bullish channel. Although the trends aren’t always flowing in the same direction, the channels still provide insight about the overall, big picture. Now, individually, my channels can provide guidance for trading strategies anywhere from short-term to long-term, but when the channels consolidate, I can prepare for trend reversals – which puts me on the right side of the trend. So, you see, it’s not media headlines I seek out, but rather it’s my technical tools I rely on to inform me of what is truly happening in the market – not what others think “should” be happening. My tools simply take out the guess work. When I see inflection points, like the one circled in red in the chart above, I’m able to take on just the right option trade to capture profits. Certainly, today’s economy is concerning, and the repercussions could easily rival The Great Recession – but as long as I follow the technical data available to me, my confidence in trading has no rival. Until next time, Tom Gentile America's #1 Pattern Trader Join Tom each Monday through Wednesday at 12:00 p.m. ET as he discusses a range of strategies to make money in a strained market environment. Did you miss the Live session? Watch Tom’s replays!   FEATURED ARTICLES [The Rally Won't Last - Here's What to do.]( [Five Indications the Market has NOT Bottomed]( [This Bear Market Rally Could Prompt a 2001-style Crash](   GET STARTED [Options 101: The Easiest Options Guide You’ll Ever Read]( With anything and everything you’ll ever need to know about trading options, this is the best guide to making money in the markets you can get. [Straddles – How to profit up or down!]( Is there a way to trade options regardless of market direction? The answer is YES! Straddle trading takes the guess work out. Straddles can profit if the stock’s price rises OR falls on speculation. [Earnings: The IV Crush]( Trading options is a zero-sum game, meaning there will always be a winner and a loser on either side of a trade. Trading through an earnings report and losing in spite of the fact that the underlying stock price went in your intended direction can feel like getting stung by the biggest bee in the hive – Ouch! There is a right way to trade earnings. [The All-in-One Chart]( Welcome to my guide on the All-in-One Chart. The charting tools are made available for you to utilize in Tom’s Option’s Tools. My All-in-One Chart is made up of several components to help evaluate charts. Although there are many other factors involved in decisions regarding trades, chart analysis is a part of the process. [How to set up a Microcurrency Account]( Currencies make up the biggest market in the world today. In fact, every single day, up to $6.6 trillion is traded in the currency market. But there’s something extraordinary happening in this massive global market… It’s all hidden in a tiny offshoot that’s helping regular, everyday Americans become rich in the blink of an eye. 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