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This Bull Can Vault Over a Wall of Worry

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moneyandmarkets.com

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Thu, Oct 12, 2023 11:01 AM

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A lot more room for this bull to run... We?re in the early stages of a bull market. This might sur

A lot more room for this bull to run... [Turn Your Images On] Editor’s Note: We’re so excited to bring Mike Carr on in a greater capacity as our new chief market technician. He’s continuing his Stock Power Daily takeover today with a chart that shows you why the bull market has plenty of potential as the last quarter of 2023 kicks off. [This Bull Can Vault Over a Wall of Worry]( [Turn Your Images On] [Michael Carr, Chief Market Technician]( We’re in the early stages of a bull market. This might surprise many investors … and their surprise is, in fact, evidence of the bull. We often say that bull markets climb a wall of worry. There’s a lot to be concerned about: inflation, interest rates, home prices, unemployment and slow wage growth are just the start. Looking beyond the U.S., the list of worries grows to include wars in Ukraine and Israel, coups in Africa that threaten to unleash an immigration crisis in Europe, aggressive positioning from China and more. Again, this isn’t an exhaustive list. Altogether, that’s a daunting wall of worry this bull has to climb. But worries alone, of course, don’t lay the groundwork for a bull market. We also need a strong economy, good earnings and reasonable valuations in the stock market. And that might be just what we’ve got… --------------------------------------------------------------- [Turn Your Images On]( [Warning Issued on 1,918 “Safe” Stocks]( Wall Street legend Adam O’Dell’s patent pending AI stock rating system just released its newest findings — deeming over 1,900 stocks bearish or high-risk. In his new presentation, he’s giving away over a dozen stocks on his blacklist — stocks you’ll want to consider selling if you own them. [Full details are here…]( --------------------------------------------------------------- Why the Bull Market Has Room to Run Beneath the surface, the economy is robust. Job growth remains strong. Inflation is lower than it was two years ago and falling. This isn’t obvious from the headlines, which are a source of worry for the bull. Interest rates are another concern that seems contained. The Federal Reserve might be done raising rates. While rates may not fall, it seems like they’re done going up. This will make stocks more attractive. Valuation depends on earnings. Earnings for the companies in the S&P 500 Index are likely to report year-over-year growth this quarter. That will end a three-quarter earnings recession that featured year-over-year declines. With earnings growing again, stocks are more attractive. International worries aren’t going away soon, either. But even here in the States, these headlines are, in a way, bullish for stocks. The U.S. is a safe haven in times of crisis. As dollars flow into the U.S., investors will buy bonds (pushing interest rates down) and stocks (pushing prices up). The biggest factor supporting higher stock prices is simply the age of the bull. This bull market began in October 2022, a year ago. On average, bull markets last over two years. As you can see in the following long-term chart, stocks suffered two bear markets since the beginning of 2020. [Turn Your Images On] [(Click here to view larger image.)]( The massive run-up between the two bears lasted about 21 months, near the average length of a bull. The chart above shows that the S&P 500 is near its all-time high. In the past, price moves accelerated to the upside after reaching new highs. As old traders say, there’s nothing more bullish than a new high. This young bull should run for another year, and the fastest part of the rally appears ready to begin. Until next time, [Michael Carr signature] Michael Carr Chief Market Technician, Money & Markets --------------------------------------------------------------- Check Out More From Stock Power Daily: - [BECOME AN AI TRADER BEFORE THE REAL BOOM]( - [TWICE THE VALUE … TWICE THE INSIGHT]( - [THE SECOND AI WAVE IS FORMING]( Privacy Policy The Money & Markets, P.O. 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Our track record is based on hypothetical results and may not reflect the same results as actual trades. Likewise, past performance is no guarantee of future returns. Certain investments carry large potential rewards but also large potential risk. Don't trade in these markets with money you can't afford to lose. Money & Markets permits editors of a publication to recommend a security to subscribers that they own themselves. However, in no circumstance may an editor sell a security before our subscribers have a fair opportunity to exit. Any exit after a buy recommendation is made and prior to issuing a sell notification is forbidden. The length of time an editor must wait after subscribers have been advised to exit a play depends on the type of publication. (c) 2023 Money & Markets, LLC. All Rights Reserved. Protected by copyright laws of the United States and treaties. This Newsletter may only be used pursuant to the subscription agreement. Any reproduction, copying, or redistribution, (electronic or otherwise) in whole or in part, is strictly prohibited without the express written permission of Money & Markets. P.O. Box 8378, Delray Beach, FL 33482. (TEL: 800-684-8471) Remove your email from this list: [Click here to Unsubscribe](

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