The Only Bond Iâm Buying for My Family Remember the days when you could park your cash in Treasuries and earn a decent yield? [Read this article on our website.]( [Smart Money Monday]  You are receiving these email messages every Monday because you requested information from Mauldin Economics. If you'd prefer not to receive Smart Money Monday , [click here.]( Jan 17, 2022 There’s a Government Bond Paying 7%+ Remember the days when you could park your cash in Treasuries and earn a decent yield? Well, thatâs been more or less impossible for the past decade-plus. Just look at the chart below showing the yield on the 1-year Treasury bill since 2009, and youâll see what I mean. Except for a modest bump in 2017â2019, itâs been hovering close to zero. Investors buy Treasuries for safety. Theyâre backed by the US government. So, the risk of losing your money is virtually nonexistent. But itâs hard to get excited about risk-free returns when those returns are miniscule. -  Fortunately, thereâs a different type of government bond offering 7%+ returns right now⦠Itâs called the Series I Bond. And itâs the only fixed-income investment Iâm buying right now. A lot of investors have never even heard of the Series I. But the federal government began offering this unique savings vehicle in 1999. And just like other government bonds, itâs virtually risk-free. - So where in the world are these 7%+ returns coming from? In a word: Inflation. See, interest on the Series I is based on two factors. First, thereâs a fixed-rate component. The Treasury sets this, and itâs somewhat arbitrary. Right now, itâs set at 0. The second component, though, is the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U). The CPI-U, as you likely know, is a government inflation index. Twice a year, in May and November, the Treasury releases the rate you can expect to earn on Series I Bonds, based partly on the latest CPI-U readingâwhich has shot up 7% in the past year. So, basically, when inflation rises, the rate on the Series I Bond goes up, too. You can see this in the next chart, showing the Series I Bond yield since 2011. - Today, buying Series I Bonds locks in a 7.12% return until May. Then the rate will reset, and thereâs no way to anticipate exactly what it will reset to. However, given the current inflation trend, itâs likely to remain high, possibly around 5%â7%. Thatâs a very healthy risk-free return. At this point, you might be wondering, âWhat happens if we get deflation ?â Series I Bonds are protected from that. The returns never drop below 0%. So again, the risk here is next to nothing. - You can buy Series I Bonds directly from the US Treasury⦠Just go to [TreasuryDirect.gov](, and you can take care of the whole process there. But there are a few details to keep in mind before buying. First, everyone is limited to $10,000 annually. So, a couple could buy $20,000 total for the year. There are ways to buy more through a business or LLC, but thatâs a topic for another day. Second, the bonds donât pay cash interest like a typical interest-bearing account. Instead, the interest accrues until you sell the bond. And thereâs a minimum holding period of one year. - The Series I also carries a major tax benefit⦠You only have to pay taxes on the interest income when you sell your bonds. In the meantime, that money grows on a tax-deferred basis. And the interest income is flat out exempt from state and local taxes. (Check with your accountant if you have any questions about this.) Unfortunately, you canât immediately park loads of money in the Series I. But itâs a simple, virtually risk-free way to earn a healthy 7%+ yield on some of your cash right now. Yet itâs flying under the radar of most investors. Iâm buying the Series I for myself and my family. You should consider it, too. Thanks for reading, [Thompson Clark] âThompson Clark
Editor, Smart Money Monday [Thompson Clark]Thompson Clark is a small-cap expert and value-focused investor with nearly a decade of experience in financial publishing. Thompson graduated from the Goizueta Business School at Emory University in 2010 with a focus in finance and accounting. He lives in North Carolina. He is the editor of Mauldin Economicsâ free research service, [Smart Money Monday]( . Don't let friends miss this timely insightâ
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