Markets Have Only Been This Negative 3x in 70 Years, and...

There’s an edge here, and I can’t wait to show you how to profit from it [Company Logo] As we begin 2023, this question may be on your mind as it is on the top of many investors' minds… "Will the market go down like this again?" As I'll explain below, the savvy, data driven trader, might say such a thing has only happened 3x in the last 72 years, but unfortunately... The short answer is… "It's unlikely, but if the market closes the year down, it will be WORSE than 2022!" For a lot of investors, this is a problem full of risk, FOMO, and frustration, so if you haven't already heard… We brought back the solution to this exact problem. It's the January “Secret” Trend Trade and the Special Holiday 3 in 1 Strategy Package. We have not offered this since 2019. I use it every year, and we teach it in our member services, but offered it to everyone in years. This year, however, it's too important not to share because... This January Secret and Special Package is what every investor should understand when faced with deciding how to approach the market after a down year like 2022. However, please read "why" you should know this. There aren't any sales related links to click on here until you read what I feel every investor should know going into 2023. Here's Why We Hope You're Listening! What do 1974, 2001, and 2002 all have in common? If you're a reader of our weekly [Market Outlook (I strongly recommend it)](), then then you may already know the answer, and you may recognize the chart below, but I'm going to go deeper. As you can see from the chart below, 1974, 2001, and 2002 are the only 3 years since 1950 to have negative returns following a down year. [image] Furthermore, you have to go back to 1941 (not shown here) to find another set of consecutive down years (it was 3 down years in total, 1938-1941). And then back to 1932 (not shown here) to find more consecutive down years (it was 4 down years in total, 1929-1932). So the good news is that since 1928, which is a total of 94 years, there have only been 8 back-to-back down years. That puts the basic odds of 2023 being a down year at just 8.5%. But Wait, There's A Catch The rest of the story, however, isn't all bullish. Every time there has been a "second" down year, it's been worse than the first! And in the cases where there was a 3rd consecutive down year, it has been even worse than the prior 2 years! So, if history is any guide… The odds of 2023 closing down on the year are not very high (8.5%), but if it does, it is likely to be worse than 2022. Ouch. Bankable or Bogus Statistics? To be clear, I don't believe these statistics are patterns you can blindly count on, but there's a trading edge here, and [I’ll show you how to exploit it](=). There are also rational arguments for why these patterns exist and should therefore be respected and expected to repeat. For example… #1. These patterns may represent the fact that investors can stomach one bad year, but when a bear market gets too much longer than a year, it becomes harder to rekindle the bullish spirits and easier for the bearish selling to accelerate until there is real exhaustion. #2. The pattern may also reflect the fact that the economy, which ultimately drives asset prices, has historically been very resilient. As a result, savvy investors can digest and look past normal downturns relatively quickly. Occasionally, however, the economy finds itself in a situation that takes an unusually long time to recover, and the stock market suffers accordingly. So the downside risks and repeatable patterns make sense. There's Upside Risk Too, and It Raises The Stakes! Looking at the chart above, it appears that UP years that follow DOWN years are, on average, much better than the average up year. I haven't compiled the stats here, but I will for future training. TO BE CLEAR, I'M ONLY LOOKING AT UP YEARS AFTER DOWN YEARS, because the ['Holiday Special' video we just released]( is all about how to stay on the right side of the market, so you don't get caught or surprised by a "consecutive down year." The important takeaway is that down years have not only been a good time to expect an up year to follow, but also a good time to expect the following year to be an unusually good year that you don't want to miss! Here's what you and I need to know now for 2023… How To Be Defensive Without Missing A Big Up Year (Every Savvy Investors Goal) Fortunately, some of the best trading and investing strategies are also some of the simplest. The January Trend Trade is a Keep It Simple Strategy, 2023 will be perfect for it because… Based on the statistics and patterns outlined above, 2023 has a good chance of being either an unusually bullish year or an unusually bearish year, which will reward trend following strategies like the January Trend Trade. The premise of this simple strategy is to be long if the market is up on the year and out or short if its down on the year. If you had followed this approach in 2022, you would have been on they right side of the market all year. This, of course, is easier said than done, and it's just the beginning of a more complete trading strategy. The first step is to understand the January "Secret" Trend Trade patterns. To get started, watch the [Holiday Special video]( before we take it down. If you've already watched it, and potentially skipped over this important section, you can use the index on the video (on the lower right corner of the control bar) [to jump to the "January Secret" and minute 7:21](. Reviewing this won’t take long. This section of the video is less than 10 minutes long. The sections of the video that follow are about two more strategies we combine with the January patterns to make them easier, more reliable and to reduce your trading risk. Don't delay; 2023 trading begins soon, and access to this video and the Special 3 in 1 Strategy Package to prepare you to thrive in the new year ends soon too! [Click here to better understand January’s predictable and profitable patterns](=), review the special strategy package and [get access IMMEDIATE ACCESS to the January Trend Trade!]() Happy New Year! Best wishes for your trading, Geoff Bysshe President MarketGauge P.S. If you’re like me and you like to see the data behind all the “claims”… Here’s where I got the pre-1950 data, @CharlieBilello. I don’t know him personally, but he puts out a lot of insightful data. [image] [Click here to learn the January Trend Trade Patterns]( that will put on the right side of all the big UP and Down years you can see in the table above! Get more - follow us here... Twitter [@marketgauge](=) and [@marketminute]() and [Facebook]() To stop receiving this go [here.](=) Got Questions?Office hours 9-5 ET (New York time) Email: info@marketgauge.com Live Chat: Go to bottom right corner of our [home page.]( Call: 888-241-3060 or 973-729-0485 The information provided by us is for educational and informational purposes only. This is not intended to be individualized investment management. If you require investment management, please contact your investment adviser or our affiliated investment adviser, Market Gauge Asset Management, LLC, at [www.mgamllc.com](). 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