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Bear Markets Are Your Best Friend

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libertythroughwealth.com

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ltw@mb.libertythroughwealth.com

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Fri, Feb 10, 2023 04:40 PM

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No doubt, bear markets can be intimidating. But knowledgeable investors know that this is a wonderfu

No doubt, bear markets can be intimidating. But knowledgeable investors know that this is a wonderful time to invest. [Shield] AN OXFORD CLUB PUBLICATION [Liberty Through Wealth]( [View in browser]( SPONSORED [O'Reilly Invites "Futurist" on Camera to Defend Outrageous Wealth Prediction (Uh-Oh!!)]( [See It Now]( Bill O'Reilly will challenge anyone... Jon Stewart, Barack Obama, Donald Trump... even the entire cast of The View. Rarely will you ever see O'Reilly himself SHOCKED by anything... But that's exactly what happened after he invited a "futurist" to defend an outrageous prediction about the financial future of America. You'll GASP when you see this... [SEE IT HERE.]( EDITOR'S NOTE Bear markets can certainly feel intimidating. But in today's article, Alexander Green reminds us that the time to [scoop up great opportunities and buy beaten-down shares]( is in a bear market. If you're looking for a place to get started, look no further than Alex's [Single-Stock Retirement Play](. He spills all of the details on what he calls the "Perfect Stock" [right here](. (It looks like it is trading at an affordable price too!) - Nicole Labra, Senior Managing Editor THE SHORTEST WAY TO A RICH LIFE [Why Bear Markets Are an Investor's Best Friend]( [Alexander Green | Chief Investment Strategist | The Oxford Club]( [Alexander Green]( Last week Bill O'Reilly interviewed me about a subject that irritates us both: [woke capitalism](. Too many public companies are busy [pursuing a social justice agenda]( that hurts the people it claims to help and reduces - rather than maximizes - shareholder profits. Before we got into the subject, however, Bill - a longtime subscriber and friend of The Oxford Club - confessed that he hadn't invested in anything over the last eight months. "I'm curious," he said, "what are you doing with your own money?" And so I told him... I'm buying high-quality stocks, just like I have in [every market downturn]( over the last 40 years, including the crash of '87, the Gulf War [bear market]( in 1990, the dot-com bust, the post-9/11 meltdown, the financial crisis of 2008 and 2009, and the COVID collapse in 2020. The reason is simple. The lower your cost basis on your investments, the higher your eventual return. Most investors realize this. The problem is acting on it. I know this because I was in the money management business for almost two decades before I joined The Oxford Club as Chief Investment Strategist 23 years ago. It was all I could do to persuade my clients to remain invested during the downturns. Getting them to buy beaten-down shares in a [bear market]( was out of the question for most of them. I've never quite understood why... A look at history tells you that every economic expansion is followed by an economic contraction (or [recession](. And that's okay. Because every recession is followed by an economic expansion. Likewise, every bull market is followed by a bear market. And that's okay, too. Because every [bear market]( is followed by another bull market, just as day follows night and spring follows winter. The big difference, of course, is that night is entirely predictable. And so is spring. No one can tell you with any certainty when the next [recession]( will begin or end. Or the next bull market. The unpredictability of markets is what makes them scary. Yet knowledge is an antidote. SPONSORED [Wall Street Legend Warns "Financial Reset" is Coming]( Get out of U.S. banks immediately and move your money into [a new vehicle 50 years in the making](. Robert Shiller data shows that you could start on any date over the past 100 years and the probability that the market would be higher is 69% in one year, 83% in five years, 90% in 10 years and 100% in 20 years. That should give you comfort - or courage - in [a nasty bear market](. Let me confess, however, that I'm a skeptic. I doubt everything. That includes the conventional wisdom that since a diversified portfolio of U.S. stocks has averaged 10% a year over the last couple hundred years, you can expect a long-term return of 10% going forward. That is not necessarily so. You could earn less. (This is especially true over shorter periods.) You could also earn more. Stock returns are not constant like the speed of light or the force of gravity. They depend on the economy, interest rates, [inflation]( commodity prices, currency fluctuations, scientific advances, business developments, new laws and regulations, war and geopolitics, fear and greed, and plenty of other factors. These vary greatly from year to year and even decade to decade. And like equities themselves, these factors are largely unpredictable. If you're an investor who wants a guaranteed return, you need to own bonds. (And if you want the highest-quality guarantee, U.S. Treasury bonds.) A bond is a contract enforceable in a court of law. Shares of stock represent a fractional ownership in a business. They promise their owners nothing. And they require a high degree of faith in the future. That is why investors demand a higher return on stocks than bonds. But... a high degree of faith in the future? Who has that these days? Look at the level of [inflation](. Look at Russia, China, Iran and North Korea - and the trouble they cause. Look at the $31.5 trillion national debt. Look at the more than 37 billion metric tons of carbon we put into the atmosphere each year. And, not least of all, look at who is running the country: a doddering octogenarian and his sidekick, the cackler. How can anyone take a clearheaded look at the world and have enough faith in the future to risk their hard-earned savings in the stock market? I'll reveal the surprising answer in Monday's column. Good investing, Alex [Leave a Comment]( [2023 IU Israel Jordan Egypt]( RECOMMENDED LINKS [Wall Street PROJECTS $30 Energy Stock Will Rise to $280 in 18 Months!]( [Discover why "XRI" could very well be the biggest tech revolution since the internet...]( JOIN THE CONVERSATION [Facebook]( [Facebook]( [Twitter]( [Twitter]( [Email Share](mailto:?subject=A%20great%20piece%20from%20Liberty%20Through%20Wealth...&body=From%20Liberty%20Through%20Wealth:%0D%0A%0DNo%20doubt,%20bear%20markets%20can%20be%20intimidating.%20But%20knowledgeable%20investors%20know%20that%20this%20is%20a%20wonderful%20time%20to%20invest.%0A%0D [Email Share](mailto:?subject=A%20great%20piece%20from%20Liberty%20Through%20Wealth...&body=From%20Liberty%20Through%20Wealth:%0D%0A%0DNo%20doubt,%20bear%20markets%20can%20be%20intimidating.%20But%20knowledgeable%20investors%20know%20that%20this%20is%20a%20wonderful%20time%20to%20invest.%0A%0D MORE FROM LIBERTY THROUGH WEALTH [The Capitol Building in Washington, D.C., in front of multiple hundred-dollar bills.]( [A 1,550% Gain: How to Find Reliable Gold Mines in the Market]( [White tiles that read "FED" lie on piles of hundred-dollar bills. To the right, a calculator reads "INFLATION" with a pen above it.]( [The Fed Has Lost Control of This Market]( [A hand holding a bag that reads "dividends" with clouds in the background.]( [A Simple Strategy for Making Money in the Market]( [The Worst]( [Professional Investors Are Bad... but Amateurs Are Even Worse]( SPONSORED [REVEALED: The Next Step in Our Digital Evolution...]( [Human Evolution]( Amazon... Microsoft... Apple... and Netflix... all skyrocketed in value with the evolution of the internet. Now mankind is witnessing an exciting new technology emerge... One that BlackRock compares to the dawn of the internet and the smartphone... And that J.P. Morgan says will "infiltrate every sector in the coming years." This new technology is expected to create over 20X MORE WEALTH than the internet boom... Yet this little-known stock sells for around JUST $5 a share. Here's your opportunity to get in on this life-changing technology early... [TAKE THE NEXT STEP... GO HERE NOW]( [The Oxford Club]( You are receiving this email because you subscribed to Liberty Through Wealth. Liberty Through Wealth is published by The Oxford Club. Questions? Check out our [FAQs](. Trying to reach us? [Contact us here.]( Please do not reply to this email as it goes to an unmonitored inbox. [Privacy Policy]( | [Whitelist Liberty Through Wealth]( | [Unsubscribe]( © 2023 The Oxford Club, LLC All Rights Reserved The Oxford Club | [105 West Monument Street](#) | [Baltimore, MD 21201](#) North America: [1.800.589.3430](#) | International: [+1.443.353.4334](#) | Fax: [1.410.329.1923](#) [Oxfordclub.com]( Nothing published by The Oxford Club should be considered personalized investment advice. Although our employees may answer your general customer service questions, they are not licensed under securities laws to address your particular investment situation. No communication by our employees to you should be deemed personalized investment advice. We allow the editors of our publications to recommend securities that they own themselves. However, our policy prohibits editors from exiting a personal trade while the recommendation to subscribers is open. In no circumstance may an editor sell a security before subscribers have a fair opportunity to exit. The length of time an editor must wait after subscribers have been advised to exit a play depends on the type of publication. All other employees and agents must wait 24 hours after publication before trading on a recommendation. Any investments recommended by The Oxford Club should be made only after consulting with your investment advisor and only after reviewing the prospectus or financial statements of the company. Protected by copyright laws of the United States and international treaties. The information found on this website may only be used pursuant to the membership or subscription agreement and any reproduction, copying or redistribution (electronic or otherwise, including on the world wide web), in whole or in part, is strictly prohibited without the express written permission of The Oxford Club, LLC, 105 West Monument Street, Baltimore, MD 21201.

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