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These People Are Costing You ⏰ and 💰

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libertythroughwealth.com

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ltw@mb.libertythroughwealth.com

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Mon, Oct 31, 2022 03:35 PM

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It doesn’t pay to listen to what prognosticators tell you the market will do next... SPONSORED

It doesn’t pay to listen to what prognosticators tell you the market will do next... [Shield] AN OXFORD CLUB PUBLICATION [Liberty Through Wealth]( [View in browser]( SPONSORED [Yours Free! Top FIVE Dividend Stocks Right Now]( Marc Lichtenfeld - income expert and author of Get Rich with Dividends - is giving away his Ultimate Dividend Package... completely free of charge! You'll discover... - An "A"-rated, ultra-safe dividend stock with a huge 8% yield - Three of Marc's favorite "Extreme Dividend" stocks, which could supercharge your income - And finally, Marc's No. 1 dividend stock for a LIFETIME of income. [Click here to get the names and ticker symbols now](... before the download link expires. **NO CREDIT CARD REQUIRED!** EDITOR'S NOTE In today's article, Alexander Green reminds investors that while stocks are subject to extreme volatility in the short term, nothing outperforms them over the long term. And if you're not sure which stock to start with, Alex has created a [simple, single-stock retirement plan](. He believes this ["Perfect Stock" should be the cornerstone of your retirement portfolio](. [See the details here.]( - Nicole Labra, Senior Managing Editor THE SHORTEST WAY TO A RICH LIFE [How Market Timers Cost You Time and Money]( [Alexander Green | Chief Investment Strategist | The Oxford Club]( [Alexander Green]( It doesn't pay to listen to what prognosticators tell you the market will do next. Why? Because no one could possibly know. Wall Street analysts and cable news pundits themselves are fully aware of this. Yet they are paid to give opinions. And so they do. Experienced investors will pay them no heed. They know market timing advice is worth exactly what you pay to hear it. Nothing. It's important to understand why this is... Markets are pretty darn efficient. Rational, self-interested investors immediately incorporate all known information into share prices. Positive developments affect share prices positively. Negative developments affect them negatively. But what's positive for one company may be negative for another. If oil and gas prices rise, for example, that's good for energy companies. But it's bad for airlines and trucking companies. A strong dollar - like the one we've had lately - is negative for exporters because it makes their products more expensive in foreign markets. But it's positive for importers because it makes their goods less expensive in our domestic market. Every day, changing circumstances are continually discounted in the market. That's the reason for the old saying "If it's in the papers, it's in the price." Yet market timers routinely talk as if this is not the case... SPONSORED [The Hottest "Next Gen Crypto" in the World Right Now]( [EKCoin]( Billion-Dollar Crypto Fund Sells Most of Its Bitcoin and Puts $380 Million Into a $2 Crypto. [Here's Why...]( Listen to the talking heads on CNBC, for example, and they will tell you that they are bearish on the market because inflation is hot, the Federal Reserve is aggressively raising rates, the supply chain is still snagged, there is a war in Ukraine and there's a possible recession ahead. Yet everybody knows these things already. And investors worldwide have already bought or sold accordingly. Old news will not drive the market higher or lower next week or next month. What will drive the market are things that are not widely anticipated. For example, the Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates three-quarters of a point this week. Markets will react if the rate cut is greater or less than that. But a three-quarter-point rate increase won't surprise anyone. Fed commentary may affect the market (and especially unexpected Fed commentary). But a three-quarter-point hike is a virtual given. And the stock and bond markets have already priced it in. Other market prognosticators make a different mistake, however. They offer special insights - more commonly known as "guesses" - about what the future holds. Think about the conceit of this for a moment. How many people knew about the pandemic in advance? Or the financial crisis in 2008? Or 9/11? Or the invasion of Ukraine? No one. (Except, in some cases, a handful of perpetrators.) Yet a Wall Street strategist is going to lay out how the future will unfold? It reminds me of that old Woody Allen line "If you want to make God laugh, tell him about your plans." At this point, some will ask, "If what is broadly known is already reflected in share prices and what will happen in the future cannot be known with any certainty, how should I run my portfolio?" The answer is you should run it with an understanding that [nothing outperforms stocks over the long term]( but also with a keen appreciation that they are subject to extreme volatility in the short term. That makes it essential to diversify outside the stock market - in bonds and real estate for example - and within the market, among growth and value stocks, large and small companies, and foreign and domestic markets. Can you really outperform this way? Indeed, you can. However, you do it by analyzing companies - like all history's greatest investors - not trying to outguess the market. It can feel comforting to exit stocks and move to cash or bonds when the market is reeling. But you'll feel foolish later [when you see how rapidly stocks can go up](. Moreover, once investors miss the start of a rally, they are reluctant to invest again. Having missed the upside, they don't want to experience the downside. Yet eventually [stocks will take off in earnest]( And the higher the market goes, the more difficult it becomes to get back in. I have friends who got out during the financial crisis because they couldn't take the pain anymore. The Dow eventually bottomed out around 6,500. And it was also painful for them to see the market rise more than fivefold over the next 13 years. And that doesn't include lost dividends. Market timers act like they are lending you a hand. But how is it helpful to hear some combination of what everybody knows and what no one could possibly know? That only costs you time, money and high returns. And those are exactly the three things you need to [meet your most important financial goals](. Good investing, Alex P.S. Check out my Single-Stock Retirement Play [right here](. [Leave a Comment]( [Did FedEx Signal a Crash?]( [Click here]( to watch Alex's latest video update. For Alex's latest video updates, subscribe on [YouTube](. JOIN THE CONVERSATION [Facebook]( [Facebook]( [Twitter]( [Twitter]( [Email Share](mailto:?subject=A%20great%20piece%20from%20Liberty%20Through%20Wealth...&body=From%20Liberty%20Through%20Wealth:%0D%0A%0D%0AIt%20doesn’t%20pay%20to%20listen%20to%20what%20prognosticators%20tell%20you%20the%20market%20will%20do%20next...%0D%0A%0D [Email Share](mailto:?subject=A%20great%20piece%20from%20Liberty%20Through%20Wealth...&body=From%20Liberty%20Through%20Wealth:%0D%0A%0D%0AIt%20doesn’t%20pay%20to%20listen%20to%20what%20prognosticators%20tell%20you%20the%20market%20will%20do%20next...%0D%0A%0D MORE FROM LIBERTY THROUGH WEALTH [Chinese Flag]( [Don't Buy the China Dip... Now or Ever]( [Midterm Election]( [How the Election May Impact Your Portfolio]( [Wealthy Woman]( [What Exactly Do Millionaires Invest In?]( [Beat Inflation]( [How to Beat the Worst Inflation in 40 Years]( SPONSORED ["I've Never Recommended Something Like This Before"]( [AG on Stage]( Has the world's greatest stock picker gone mad? He picked Amazon, Netflix, Apple... [And now this?]( Alexander Green makes a BOLD prediction to a huge crowd in his latest TEK Talk... And it might just help set you up for retirement. [Click here to see more.]( [The Oxford Club]( You are receiving this email because you subscribed to Liberty Through Wealth. Liberty Through Wealth is published by The Oxford Club. Questions? Check out our [FAQs](. Trying to reach us? [Contact us here.]( Please do not reply to this email as it goes to an unmonitored inbox. [Privacy Policy]( | [Whitelist Liberty Through Wealth]( | [Unsubscribe]( © 2022 The Oxford Club, LLC All Rights Reserved The Oxford Club | [105 West Monument Street](#) | [Baltimore, MD 21201](#) North America: [1.800.589.3430](#) | International: [+1.443.353.4334](#) | Fax: [1.410.329.1923](#) [Oxfordclub.com]( The Oxford Club is a financial publisher that does not offer any personal financial advice or advocate the purchase or sale of any security or investment for any specific individual. Members should be aware that although our track record is highly rated by an independent analysis and has been legally reviewed, investment markets have inherent risks and there can be no guarantee of future profits. The stated returns may also include option trades. We expressly forbid our writers from having a financial interest in their own securities recommendations to readers. All of our employees and agents must wait 24 hours after online publication or 72 hours after the mailing of printed-only publications prior to following an initial recommendation. Any investments recommended by The Oxford Club should be made only after consulting with your investment advisor and only after reviewing the prospectus or financial statements of the company. Protected by copyright laws of the United States and international treaties. The information found on this website may only be used pursuant to the membership or subscription agreement and any reproduction, copying, or redistribution (electronic or otherwise, including on the world wide web), in whole or in part, is strictly prohibited without the express written permission of The Oxford Club, 105 W. Monument Street, Baltimore MD 21201.

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