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What Winston Churchill Would Have Advised About Today's Market

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libertythroughwealth.com

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ltw@p.libertythroughwealth.com

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Tue, Mar 3, 2020 04:42 PM

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The recent market correction has investors everywhere panicking. But if you really want to grow your

The recent market correction has investors everywhere panicking. But if you really want to grow your wealth, heed this advice: Keep calm and carry on.  [Browser View]( [Liberty Through Wealth]( What Winston Churchill Would Have Advised About Today's Market Nicholas Vardy, ETF Strategist, The Oxford Club  The recent market correction has investors everywhere panicking. But are corrections actually that rare?  If you really want to grow your wealth, heed Nicholas Vardy's advice: Keep calm and carry on.  [He Received a Heartbreaking Letter From His Birth Mother...]( [Letter From Mother](You'll NEVER guess what happened next. But the events that followed made him wealthier than he could have ever imagined. For the first time ever, he's revealing the secrets that helped take him from rags to riches. [Click here to find out what they are.](  [Nicholas Vardy]  By early 1939, England knew that war with Germany was imminent. The government began to print motivational posters to prepare the British public for the German Air Force’s inevitable bombing campaign. The most famous poster was the one below...  [Keep Calm and Carry On]  It echoes the advice Winston Churchill - Britain's future prime minister - would have given. As well as my advice about how you should react to last week's market correction. If you find yourself squirming, hold on tight. The odds are excellent that the financial storm will soon pass. And in a few months, the market - and your investment portfolio - will have fully recovered. A Sell-Off for the History Books What a week it was in the financial markets. The S&P 500 set a record - unsurpassed since 1928 - for how quickly four months' worth of gains were wiped out after hitting an all-time high. Both February 24 and 25 saw the market move down by more than three standard deviations. The odds of that happening on any single day is 3 in 1,000. The odds of that happening on consecutive days is closer to 1 in 100,000, or once every 400 years. Amid a correction, it always seems like "this time it’s different." But investors felt the same way after the internet bubble burst, after 9/11, during the global financial crisis of 2008 and when faced with the imminent collapse of the European Union in the 2010s. Yes, the current gut-wrenching correction may continue for a while. But always remember: There’s never been a market correction that didn’t end. Below are three things you should keep in mind. No. 1: Corrections are a normal part of investing. Markets never go up in a straight line. And as sure as night follows day, a market’s rise will be punctuated by pullbacks. During the dot-com boom of the late 1990s, the Nasdaq saw five roughly 10% declines before its eventual collapse. (On average, corrections - defined as at least a 10% pullback in the market - happen once a year.) During each correction, investors must decide whether to stay in the market or not. Those who exited lost out on the raging bull market’s biggest gains. Corrections are never the end of the world. Less than 20% of them turn into bear markets. Put another way... 80% of corrections are just short pauses in an otherwise healthy bull market.  [Bill O'Reilly's Wild Money Secret](  [Bill O'Reilly Video Thumbnail](  [In a tell-all video, Bill O'Reilly reveals the shocking way YOU can retire with a seven-figure nest egg.](  No. 2: Your biggest challenge is managing your psychology. Most investors think that the biggest challenge they will face during a market correction lies in circumstances outside of their control: a slowing economy... disappointing earnings... or a ["black swan" event]( like a coronavirus. Alas, the pros know that the real challenge lies far closer to home, [between your ears](. If you have ever tried to time the market, you know that humans are woefully ill-equipped to make accurate decisions in the face of market panics. When the stock market starts tumbling, every fiber of your being may want to sell your assets and move into cash. But the odds are excellent that you’d be selling out at a lousy price just before the market rebounds. No. 3: Missing just a few good days decimates your returns. A hasty decision to sell your stocks during a market correction could cost you far more than you can imagine. Let’s look at the numbers. Between 1996 and 2015, the S&P 500 returned an average of 8.2% a year. If you missed out on only the top 10 trading days during these 20 years, your returns would have dropped to 4.5% a year. If you missed out on the top 20 trading days, your returns would have halved yet again to just 2.1%. And if you missed out on the top 30 trading days, you’d have made no money for 20 years!  [Chart - S&P 500 Average Annual Return]  What’s my advice? Don’t throw in the towel and go to cash. Once sentiment shifts, the market will rebound like a coiled spring. The very best days of the market often follow the very worst. If you’re an active trader, reduce your bet size. Playing smaller will limit your risk and keep you in the game. If you’re a long-term investor, rebalance your holdings. Buying stocks while "on sale" is a reliable way to boost your long-term returns. The biggest threat to your financial future is not the drops your portfolio suffers during a market correction. The biggest threat is not to be invested at all. So take the advice of the British government to its citizens in 1939: "Keep calm and carry on." Good investing, Nicholas --------------------------------------------------------------- Interested in hearing more from Nicholas? Follow [@NickVardy]( on Twitter. [Leave a Comment](  [Facebook]( [Twitter]( [share](mailto:?subject=A%20great%20piece%20from%20Liberty%20Through%20Wealth...&body=From%20Liberty%20Through%20Wealth:%0D%0A%0D%0A The%20recent%20market%20correction%20has%20investors%20everywhere%20panicking.%20But%20if%20you%20really%20want%20to%20grow%20your%20wealth,%20heed%20this%20advice:%20Keep%20calm%20and%20carry%20on. %0A%0D ?src=shared)  About Nicholas  Nicholas Vardy is the ETF Strategist of The Oxford Club, head of Oxford Wealth Accelerator, and contributor to Liberty Through Wealth and [The Oxford Communiqué](. He is a widely recognized expert on exchange-traded funds whose work has been cited in a variety of publications, including The Wall Street Journal and Financial Times. He holds a B.A. and M.A. from Stanford University and a J.D. from Harvard Law School. He is also an associate of the Adam Smith Institute and the Chatham House think tank in London.  [Nancy Pelosi]([Is This the... Worst Law in History!?!]( As Forbes Reported, This Law "Gives the IRS Carte Blanche to Confiscate Up to One-Third of Your IRA." [Click Here to See the Gruesome Details.](  More From Liberty Through Wealth  [A photo showing a road warning sign stating ]( [Time to Buy the Market Drop... or Sell Before the Next One?]( By Alexander Green Right now, every investor is asking the same question: Is it too early to buy or too late to sell? Here's what wealth builders need to know. [A photo showing a road warning sign stating ]( [What Should Investors Do Today? Follow the Advice I Gave Last Month]( By Alexander Green The market has been particularly volatile this week. What should investors do? Follow this sound wealth creation advice that has stood the test of time. [American flag in the sky]( [Never Bet Against America]( By Nicholas Vardy Declinism is a recurring theme in American culture, but it couldn’t be further from the truth. Americans enjoy more wealth and power than most. You are receiving this email because you subscribed to Liberty Through Wealth. To unsubscribe from Liberty Through Wealth, [click here](. Questions? Check out our [FAQs](. Trying to reach us? [Contact us here.]( Please do not reply to this email as it goes to an unmonitored inbox. To cancel by mail or for any other subscription issues, write us at: Liberty Through Wealth | Attn: Member Services | P.O. Box 932, Baltimore, MD 21203 North America: [1.877.806.4508]( | International: [+1.443.353.4610]( | Fax: [1.410.329.1923]( Website: [www.libertythroughwealth.com]( Keep the emails you value from falling into your spam folder. [Whitelist Liberty Through Wealth](. © 2020 The Oxford Club LLC All Rights Reserved [Oxford Club] The Oxford Club is a financial publisher that does not offer any personal financial advice or advocate the purchase or sale of any security or investment for any specific individual. Members should be aware that although our track record is highly rated by an independent analysis and has been legally reviewed, investment markets have inherent risks and there can be no guarantee of future profits. The stated returns may also include option trades. We expressly forbid our writers from having a financial interest in their own securities recommendations to readers. All of our employees and agents must wait 24 hours after online publication or 72 hours after the mailing of printed-only publications prior to following an initial recommendation. Any investments recommended by The Oxford Club should be made only after consulting with your investment advisor and only after reviewing the prospectus or financial statements of the company. Protected by copyright laws of the United States and international treaties. The information found on this website may only be used pursuant to the membership or subscription agreement and any reproduction, copying, or redistribution (electronic or otherwise, including on the world wide web), in whole or in part, is strictly prohibited without the express written permission of The Oxford Club, 105 W. Monument Street, Baltimore MD 21201.

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