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The dominos are starting to fall...

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Fri, Mar 10, 2023 10:29 PM

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Editor's Picks Once again, the market is showing its true colors as we end the week with the biggest

[View this email in your browser]( [Youtube]( [Kitco Metals]( Editor's Picks [@neils_C]( Once again, the [gold]( market is showing its true colors as we end the week with the biggest bank failure since the start of the 2008 Great Financial Crisis. Friday, [California state regulators seized Silicon Valley Bank and appointed the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. as the receiver](. The bank, known for providing venture capital to tech startups and supporting cryptocurrencies, saw a run on its deposits after it announced plans to sell shares to raise capital. It needed to raise money to cover a $1.8 billion deficit after selling loss-making assets, mostly U.S. government bonds. In a surprise to none, the bank’s bond and mortgage-backed securities holding have taken a major hit as the Federal Reserve has aggressively raised interest rates to cool down inflation. According to analysts, even if the fallout from SVB’s failure is limited, it does show the growing financial stress in the marketplace as the Federal Reserve has raised interest rates by 475 basis points during this tightening cycle. According to many analysts, this is just an early taste of what’s to come, as the economy is yet to feel the full effects of the Federal Reserve’s rate hikes. To add fuel to the fire, the central bank isn’t done yet. [In his two days of testimony before Congress, Fed Chair Jerome Powell warned lawmakers that interest rates must go higher to cool down inflation.]( Of course, the question now is, with a potential banking crisis looming, does the Federal Reserve have room to raise interest rates higher? Since the start of this tightening cycle, economists and analysts have warned investors that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates until something breaks. That was a clear theme at the 2023 Prospectors & Developers Association of Canada. [Nicky Shiels, head of metals strategy at MKS PAMP, gave a keynote address on gold]( and silver prices and said that whether the Fed raises rates to 5% or 6%, they are in the “eighth inning” of this tightening cycle, which will be positive for gold. She added that the Federal Reserve must also choose between fighting inflation or ensuring the economy doesn’t fall into a recession. A the same time, she noted that it’s unlikely the central bank will be able to bring inflation down. "They need to pick one because they can't do both," she said. "Something will break before they get inflation down." On the sidelines of PDAC 2023, [Chantelle Schieven, head of research at Capitalight Research, said that the Fed continues to put the economy at risk as it underestimates the lag in U.S. monetary policy.]( "The faster you raise interest rates, the faster something is going to give, that something is going to break," she said. "Gold doesn't need a crisis to move higher, but it definitely loves a crisis." Schieven said she sees a potential Fed-induced banking crisis will push gold prices to $2,000 an ounce by the end of the year. She added that with that target in mind, she sees gold prices at an attractive value. And she is not the only one. Tuesday, DoubleLine Capital CEO Jeffrey Gundlach said in a webinar that he continues to like gold. “Gold probably deserves a role in portfolios at $1,800 type dollar price, even though the Fed is raising interest rates," he said. Finally, in other PDAC news, the team at Kitco would like to congratulate [Filo Mining CEO Jamie Beck for earning Kitco’s Mining CEO of the Year 2022 in the non-operating category](. [Lundin Gold CEO Ron Hochstein was awarded Kitco's Mining CEO Of The Year 2022 in the operating category](. According to analysts, mining executives and other participants, there was definitely a bullish vibe at the world’s largest mining conference in Toronto this past week. [There is a lot of new energy in the mining sector as demand for critical metals drives investor interest.]( That is it for this week; have a great weekend. Neils C. Editor's picks [Singapore adds gold to its reserves, buys 45 tonnes in January]( adds gold to its reserves, buys 45 tonnes in January]( [Stocks to crash 30% in 2023, only these equities will thrive - Pierre Lassonde]( to crash 30% in 2023, only these equities will thrive - Pierre Lassonde]( [This asset will 10X by 2027 as gold hits $5k - Rob McEwen]( asset will 10X by 2027 as gold hits $5k - Rob McEwen]( [Will Elon Musk buy a silver mine? Silver to $125 as EV companies drive demand - Keith Neumeyer]( Elon Musk buy a silver mine? Silver to $125 as EV companies drive demand - Keith Neumeyer]( [Kitco News]( [Banking dominos continue to fall as Silicon Valley Bank is seized]( [Silvergate Bank folds, sparking a wave of finger-pointing and panic selling]( [Powell says the Fed needs to raise rates higher, prepared to go back to bigger increases]( [A Fed-induced crisis as it aggressively raises rates will drive gold back to record highs this year - Capitalight's Chantelle Schieven]( [China's central bank puts the world on notice as it buys more gold; analysts at PDAC expect this is only the start of a new trend]( [LBMA investigating Perth Mint allegations after 100 tonnes of "doped" gold shipped to China over three years]( [Gold is a 'rational market,' but industrial metals are the winners - Liberum analyst]( [DoubleLine's Gundlach: Gold at $1,800 is a buy even though the Fed is "very likely" to hike by 50bps in March]( ['The Fed is in its eighth inning' and inflation is not going down, and that will drive gold higher, MKS' Nicky Shiels]( [Biden's budget proposal looks to alter crypto tax rules and the CFTC once again lays claim to regulating certain tokens]( [Despite the crypto winter, 75% of crypto holders are confident about the future of the industry - Paxos]( [The gold sector attempts to reverse the PDAC curse]( [Collective mining]( [Biggest bank failure since 2008 drives gold sentiment higher, could hit $1,900 next week]( [Gold Live App]( [Kitco Mining]( [Ranking amongst the greats - Filo Mining's Jamie Beck on its large undeveloped copper project]( amongst the greats - Filo Mining's Jamie Beck on its large undeveloped copper project]( ['Few companies have the cash flow yield that Lundin Gold has' - CEO Ron Hochstein]( [Government of Canada approves Alamos Gold's Lynn Lake gold project in Manitoba]( [New energy in the mining sector as PDAC 2023 attracts more than 23,000 attendees]( [Kitco Gold Chart]( [Kitco Gold Chart]( Technically Speaking Jim Wyckoff Market Analyst and Columnist jwyckoff@kitco.com [Good week for gold bulls; what to expect Monday]( Promotion [Lord]( This message was intended for {EMAIL} , as a subscriber and/or customer of Kitco. [Advertising]( | [Update Your Email Preferences]( | [Privacy Policy]( | [Contact us]( | [Unsubscribe]( All logos, brand names and/or trademarks that appear here are the property of their respective copyright holders. © 2023 Kitco Metals Inc. 620 Cathcart, Suite #900, Montreal, Quebec, H3B 1M1 Canada.

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