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Gold is feeling the heat as Powell ignores bond market selloff

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Fri, Mar 5, 2021 09:18 PM

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Editor's Picks Just when it looked like gold was finding a bottom around $1,700, . fell solidly belo

[View this email in your browser]( [Facebook]( [Twitter]( [Forward]( [Kitco Metals]( Editor's Picks [@neils_C]( Just when it looked like gold was finding a bottom around $1,700, [Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell decided to throw the market a shovel and told investors to start digging](. [Gold prices]( fell solidly below $1,700 an ounce late Thursday after Powell, speaking at the Wall Street Journal Jobs Summit, said that he wasn't too concerned with the selloff in the bond market. He said that it would take more than just a rise in bond yields for the central bank to adjust its monetary policy. While the rise in bond yields attracted his attention, he said that monetary policy is not based on one number. "I would be concerned with disorder in the financial market or unwanted tightening. It's not about one particular price," he said. Powell's comments pushed bond yields to a one-year high above 1.6%. Heading into the weekend, yields on 10-year notes are still at elevated levels above 1.5%. The question a lot of investors and market players have been asking is at what point does the Federal Reserve jump in a cap bond yields, which have risen more than 200% from its lows in August. The answer the market keeps getting from Powell is "not any time soon." To make a long story short, storm clouds will continue to brew over the gold market as bond yields can continue to rise unchecked. According to some analysts, if gold can't gold support at $1,680, we could see significantly lower prices with potentially $1,600 as a looming target. "Wherever the top in yields is, it will be the bottom for gold," said Phillip Streible, chief market strategist at Blue Line Futures, in a comment to Kitco News, Friday. While there is clearly negative sentiment in the marketplace in the near-term, many investors are not ready to give up on gold in the long-term. Although most people are focused on the growing potential for a strong economic recovery, the inflation threat continues to grow. Gold's price action has been lackluster lately. However, the broader commodity market is on fire, with everything from grains to lumber to base metals seeing unprecedented rallies. For many analysts, these higher prices could unleash a tidal wave of inflation that could drive gold prices higher. "Historically, gold has tended to underperform a commodity-led reflationary period in the first six months but has generally outperformed in the subsequent six to 36 months," said [analysts at the World Gold Council]( in a report published earlier this week. With so much going on in financial markets, the ongoing debate between gold and cryptocurrencies feels like a sideshow that completely ignores the bigger event. This week billionaire investor [Mark Cuban]( jumped into the debate and battled it out with bitcoin critic Peter Schiff on Twitter. Cuban declared, "Gold is dead Peter. Move on." However, Schiff shot back, saying that [bitcoin]( was "a waste of energy." I personally think this debate is a waste of time because ultimately the two assets are doing the exact same thing. Bitcoin and gold are hedges used to protect investors from global currency debasement in an environment of rising inflation. With that, I am going to let famed investor[Frank Giustra have the final say in this dispute](. "Both @mcuban & @PeterSchiff are misguided. Bitcoin is here to stay, for a while anyway. Gold is far from dead. Stop fighting each other. All #BTC fans, gold is the least of your worries. Your real battle will be with governments, CB's," he said on Twitter. Neils C. Related Stories [Mark Cuban says 'gold is dead' as Peter Schiff slams bitcoin as 'waste of energy']( Cuban says 'gold is dead' as Peter Schiff slams bitcoin as 'waste of energy']( [Leaders at B2Gold, Chalice Mining win Kitco Mining's CEO of 2020]( at B2Gold, Chalice Mining win Kitco Mining's CEO of 2020]( [Lobo Tiggre on why gold has not responded to rising inflation]( Tiggre on why gold has not responded to rising inflation]( [Gold price is set up to trade lower before bottoming - Chris Vermeulen]( price is set up to trade lower before bottoming – Chris Vermeulen]( [Kitco News]( [Fitch revises metals prices on 'tight market supply,' warns gold price to fall to $1,200 by 2023]( ['Where to' for gold price? Stay cautious, says Pepperstone]( [Gold prices drop below $1,700 as Jerome Powell dismisses rising inflation and bond yields]( [Silver is 'the best trade': It's sporadic but could hit $60 in 2021 - ex-JP Morgan MD]( [Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger: 'Since I never buy any gold, I never buy any bitcoin']( [Further gold ETF redemptions could push prices to $1,700 - Standard Chartered]( [Despite bond rally, real rates are still negative and that is good for gold - WGC's Perlaky]( [This is when gold price reverses: Goehring & Rozencwajg on $15K gold]( [Is Wall Street signaling a bubble as gold price fights off a move below $1,700?]( [Is gold's disappointing drop to $1,700 just noise? City Index asks]( [February was not a good month for gold as global ETF holdings drop 2% - WGC]( [Silver seeing healthy consolidation, building a base to $50 - Andrew Hecht]( [Oversold miner ETF's testing 7-year breakout levels]( [CEO of the year]( [Unchecked rise in bond yields will weigh on gold as prices end the week below $1,700]( [Gold Live App]( [Kitco Mining]( [Top 10 largest gold mining companies in 2020 - report]( [Top 10 largest gold mining companies in 2020 - report]( [Company led by Robert Friedland to invest $44.5M in copper-silver-gold project in Montana]( [Gold needn't get any better to make investors a lot of money right now: Keech]( Majestic initiates international arbitration request under NAFTA against the Government of Mexico]( [Great Panther achieves record financial results on strong operating performance]( [Kitco Gold Chart]( [Kitco Gold Chart]( For Pete's Sake Peter Hug Director, Global Trading phug@kitco.com [What happens to gold next, and where are yields headed? Peter Hug]( Technically Speaking Jim Wyckoff Market Analyst and Columnist jwyckoff@kitco.com [Gold, silver see price pressure after upbeat U.S. jobs data]( Promotion [CentriumX]( This message was intended for {EMAIL} , as a subscriber and/or customer of Kitco. [Advertising]( | [Update Your Email Preferences]( | [Privacy Policy]( | [Contact us]( | [Unsubscribe]( All logos, brand names and/or trademarks that appear here are the property of their respective copyright holders. © 2021 Kitco Metals Inc. 620 Cathcart, Suite #900, Montreal, Quebec, H3B 1M1 Canada.

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