Katusa's Investment Insights
March 27, 2020
America the Broken â Can It Be Restored?
By Marin Katusa
This is the first issue of The Rise of America, a series about the future of the United States as the global superpower. Youâll read about the forces that will propel it to unprecedented dominanceâand how you can best position yourself to profit from it.
Dear Reader,
Youâve heard someone say some variation of this recentlyâ¦
âWhat a crazy time to be alive!â
Or, âWe live in interesting timesâ.
But none of those are true. For centuries, times like these have been the rule.
The United States has been in turmoil for much of its history:
- The Revolutionary War
- The Great Chicago Fire
- The Civil War
- The Great Depression
- The Cold War
- The Vietnam War
- Hurricane Katrina
Itâs a long list of stormy times. And every single one of those heartbreaking events has led to renewed growth and prosperity for the American people.
But there is something unusual about our time: a complete breakdown of some of our countryâs most critical aspects.
Take infrastructure, for example.
In 2017, the American Society of Civil Engineers released its latest âreport cardâ on United States infrastructure. The overall grade: D.
Roads, dams, public drinking water, schools (ironically), all of them got a D or worse.
One in four bridges of the bridges you drive across every day is deficient or obsolete.
But thatâs nothing compared to other systems that are part of everyday American life. These, among others, are all in shambles:
- The tax code
- Medicaid
- Healthcare
- Education
- Corporate welfare
That list wasnât just made up. It came from a senior U.S. Senator.
The big problem is that the government has become so flawed and ineffective that the âDâ in each of these areas is on pace to quickly turn into an âF.â
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How can we turn back from a certain collision course absolute catastrophe?
Well, there could be an âenlightenedâ coupâas weâve seen slight glimmers over the past two decades.
Or perhaps we could change the way our democracy operates or hold a new constitutional convention to rewrite the rules.
Or maybe create a new, viable third party⦠the first one in more than a century.
But the final optionâone thatâs uniquely Americanâis most likely.
Itâs called a âSputnik moment.â
Mass Chaos Always Leads to American Prosperity
On October 4, 1957, the Soviet Union launched Sputnik 1. It was the worldâs first man-made satellite.
When news media greatly exaggerated the danger of the situation, the United States went into shock.
One scientist wrote that the day Sputnik orbited the Earth was the day the U.S. became a âsecond-rate power.â But in a private meeting, President Eisenhower revealed that he knew the opposite was true.
Russia has âdone us a good turn,â said Eisenhower.
Because with that launch, the Soviet Union had thrust the powerful American machine into action. Remarkablyâ¦
- NASA was created from the ground up in under a year.
And a decade later, the first men landed on the moon. And they were American astronauts, not Soviet cosmonauts.
Within 20 years, the Soviet Union was gone. And the United States was the undeniable, unassailable world leader in space.
- Itâs been the same throughout all of U.S. history. America has waited until its back is up against a wall before acting.
And when it does act, it absolutely crushes whatever problems oppose it.
Right Now, Americaâs Back is up Against a Wall
The coronavirus ripping across the nation has already resulted in tax code changes and bailouts.
Itâs disrupted the education system. And parents are seeing firsthand how broken the education system is.
The strength of Medicaid and our healthcare system are about to meet the test of a lifetime.
It might be hard to look past a market in freefall and the collapse of order and the hoarding of toilet paper all around us.
But coronavirus has done us a good turn.
Because⦠this is our Sputnik moment.
This is what will force a healthcare overhaul, an education renovation, and economic restructuring. All in the name of not getting beat by a virus.
This is what will set our foreign policy and domestic economy on the path toward another half-century of record-breaking growth and prosperity.
- In short, the fears of these completely normal times will propel the incredible success of the next.
What Comes After the Catastrophe Is Whatâs Important
You see, a few years after the mass hysteria caused by Sputnik, Eisenhower ran for president again.
The American public still thought the Soviet Union could destroy the head of a needle anywhere on earth.
And Eisenhowerâs opponent, John F. Kennedy, was running his campaign on the âmissile gapââthe fact that the United States trailed the USSR in its missile stockpile.
But Eisenhower knew better. Based on secret U-2 missions, he knew that the U.S. had jumped far ahead in the arms race.
Right now, people are claiming that the coronavirus will kill us. If not physically, then economically. But thatâs based on their limited insight.
- Yes, the Coronavirus will inflict pain in the short term. But in the long term, it will propel the United States to historical greatness.
As a private investor, itâs easy to be distracted by the layoffs, the new jobless claims, and the death count reports by the mass media.
After this drop, you might be tempted to ditch the market altogether. I donât blame you.
But while everyone else is jumping ship, great investors are looking forward. Theyâre looking past the coronavirus and the inevitable economic fallout.
Theyâre planning for a future when the United States will have once again surge far past its competition.
Because time and again, America has fixed its problems without a regularly scheduled revolution.
And America is going to do it again.
Infrastructure, which weâre rapidly finding out is necessary to maintain the integrity of vital supply chains and a calm public, will be one of the first to get an upgrade.
- President Trump proposed a $2 trillion package in his 2020 budget. Thatâs enough to fix nearly every bridge, road, sewer, and school in the United States.
Now, with interest rates at historical lows, borrowing that amount will be far more attractive.
That massive infrastructure development will need China's levels of resources to construct: copper, iron, and oil.
Savvy investors are already mapping out which decimated resource stocks they want to pick up for dirt cheap.
- Because those stocks are eventually going to fly higher than theyâve ever been before.
And when the coronavirus is gone and the country has been fixed, it will be America the beautifulâonce again.
Regards,
Marin Katusa
P.S. On Monday, [I released my special briefing on the current markets](. If you have not seen it yet, I urge you to watch it before it gets taken down later today and shares it with anyone who might benefit.
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