Poll Dance

Will the presidential predictions get it right? [For the best experience, read in browser.]( September 4, 2024 Good morning! Today we're taking a closer look at... - [Why presidential polling got it wrong]( in 2016 and 2020 — and whether we can trust it this time around - [7 tips to save your marriage]( - [What homeowners should know about hurricanes](before storms hit - How to rock the denim trend that's here to stay (and [my favorite pairs]() Read on!   In the News [A graphic of a hand holding a ballot]( Getty Images Vice President Kamala Harris is widening her lead over former President Donald Trump, with national polls showing that she’s edging him out by a few points. But can we really trust polls again? As Trump proved in 2016, polling can be off right up until Election Day. The good news? Analysts learned several lessons from that race: A new report from the nonpartisan Pew Research Center shows that pollsters have updated their methods to more accurately reflect the electorate. Nevertheless, here’s [why surveys could still be wrong]( as we head into the final stretch to Nov. 5. [READ MORE]( PASS THIS STORY ALONG: mailto:?subject=Check%20out%20this%20story%20from%20Wake-Up%20Call%21&body=https%3A%2F%2Fkatiecouric.com%2Fnews%2Fpolitics-and-policy%2F2024-presidential-polling-is-it-accurate%2F   More Stories [Firefighters on top of a damaged building hose a plume of smoke below]( Firefighters on top of a damaged building in Lviv. (Getty Images) Ukraine’s Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba has tendered his resignation ahead of an expected cabinet reshuffle. At least 51 people were killed in a Russian strike on a Ukrainian military school and hospital yesterday — and an overnight missile onslaught in Lviv killed at least seven, including a 14-year-old girl. Linda Sun, a former aide to New York Gov. Kathy Hochul and former Gov. Andrew Cuomo, has been accused of acting as a secret agent for the Chinese government. The 41-year-old is charged with violating the Foreign Agents Registration Act, visa fraud, alien smuggling and money laundering, and allegedly received millions of dollars in gifts for serving China's interests. A 17-year-old has been charged in the shooting and attempted robbery of San Francisco 49ers rookie Ricky Pearsall on Saturday. The unnamed suspect is accused of attempted murder, attempted robbery and assault with a semi-automatic firearm. An 11-year-old boy has confessed to fatally shooting the 82-year-old former mayor of a Louisiana town and his 31-year-old daughter. The child, who's been identified as a relative of Joe Cornelius Sr. and Keisha Miles, was arrested Sunday.   Must-Reads [Hands putting together heart-shaped puzzle pieces]( Love That Lasts We've already shared the warning signs of divorce, so here's the flip side: Experts dish on the 7 strategies for improving your marriage. [Read More »]( [Couple on the couch watches ceiling water leaking into a bucket]( After the Rain It's National Preparedness Month — and hurricane season — so we're sharing info about the hidden health hazard these storms create. [Read More »]( [photo from behind of two sisters]( Order Up How accurate are stereotypes that eldest siblings are bossy, or only children are selfish? We dug deep into these theories. [Read More »](   Next Steps [Hospital hallway ceiling]( Getty Images Getting discharged from the hospital is a major step for cancer patients — and the road to recovery doesn't end there. We spoke to a case manager who arranges [the essential care patients need]( once they're back home. [READ MORE]( [Sponsored by Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center](   What We're Loving Lately [Dr. Diamond Metacine skincare set]( KCM Crown jewel: Dr. Jason Diamond is a Beverly Hills-based plastic surgeon to the stars, and you can bring his expertise home with you with [his science-backed skincare collection](. We'll warn you, it doesn't come cheap — but with these results, you get what you pay for. Spirit-free: Many people are reevaluating their relationship with alcohol. If you're sober-curious, [the new workbook Going Dry]( is chock-full of practical tips and thought-starters from a dry lifestyle expert. Restart and refuel: Summer was a whirlwind! With all the fun and indulgence, it's easy to feel a little off track. Don’t worry — now’s the perfect time to refocus on your health. KCM contributor Dr. Mary Claire Haver is kicking off a four-week challenge that's all about resetting nutrition, building better habits, and boosting energy levels in a supportive, motivating community. [Sign up right here]( to learn more and get started.   Wide Appeal [Wide-leg jeans on orange background]( KCM In case you haven't heard, skinny jeans are out and wide-leg denim is in. But this silhouette is more than a passing fad (plus, they're so much more comfy than their skin-tight predecessor). We rounded up [9 timeless pairs to add to your closet](, including my personal favorites. [SHOP HERE](   [The Shop Edit. Love shopping as much as we do? Subscribe to our latest newsletter and you'll never miss another trend, money-saving sale, or hard-to-find gem!](   Thanks for reading! Want to stay connected? 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