How the Stock Market Is Like a Game Show

Imagine you’re a contestant on the game show “Let’s Make a Deal.” [Jeff Clark's Market Minute]( How the Stock Market Is Like a Game Show By Jeff Clark, editor, Market Minute Imagine you’re a contestant on the game show “Let’s Make a Deal.” Monty Hall pulls you out of the audience. He waves $2,000 in your face and says, “This is your money. You can take it and keep it right now, or you can trade it for what’s behind the curtain.” Of course, you know from a lifetime of watching daytime television that there’s a 50% chance that what’s behind the curtain is an all-expenses-paid trip to Mazatlán – valued at $5,000 – and a 50% chance that it’s something virtually worthless, like a farm animal. What do you do? If it’s me… I’m taking the cash. I’m thinking, “I came here with nothing. There’s a 100% chance I’ll leave here better off if I take the money. There’s only a 50% chance I’ll leave here happy if I take what’s behind the curtain. Either way… my life isn’t going to change dramatically. So, I’ll take the $2,000 and be happy no matter what.” Here’s another line of thought… “I came here with nothing. The worst case is I’ll leave here with nothing. But there’s a 50% chance to increase the return on my prize by 150%. The odds justify that trade. So, I’ll pick what’s behind the curtain.” Recommended Link [Do You Bank in Any of these 110 Banks?]( [image]( [These 110 banks]( have enrolled in a controversial pilot program that could have drastic implications for your money. If your bank is on this list, you’ll need to move your cash before September 20th… or risk your entire life savings. [Click here to see the full list.]( -- Here’s the thing… there’s nothing wrong with either decision. All that matters is how you view the consequences of the trade. Let me explain… I’m going to be happy if I get a $2,000 windfall profit. I might be slightly more ecstatic if I win a trip valued at $5,000. But I’ll feel like an idiot if I give up the $2,000 and go home with a goat. So, I’ll pass on “ecstatic.” I’ll take “happy.” Not everyone thinks that way – which is why we love watching game shows. Let’s apply this thought process to the stock market… Free Trading Resources Have you checked out Jeff's free trading resources on his website? It contains a selection of special reports, training videos, and a full trading glossary to help kickstart your trading career – at zero cost to you. Just [click here]( to check it out. Every time I close a trade, in the back of my mind, a little voice asks, “What happens if it moves even higher?” This is the equivalent of Monty Hall asking if I want to keep the $2,000 or trade it for what’s behind the curtain. I know for sure that I’m happy if I close the trade right now. I don’t know if I’ll be happier or feel like an idiot later. So, I almost always chose to err on the side of happiness. Now… if this is your only time on a game show… if it’s your only chance to make a trade in front of Monty Hall, it’s understandable if you choose what’s behind the curtain. After all, it’s your only shot to maximize your gains. I get it. But the stock market isn’t a game show. We have trading opportunities almost every single day. The secret to longevity as a trader is to consistently take the money when it’s flashed in front of you. In today’s environment, it might be time to settle on “happy” over “ecstatic.” You might feel a tinge of disappointment if a trip to Mazatlán is behind the curtain. But you’re still heading home with more money than you had before. Be happy. At least you’re not going home with a goat. Best regards and good trading, [Signature] Jeff Clark READER MAILBAG Would you take the money, or choose to see what’s behind the curtain? Let us know your thoughts – and any questions you have – at feedback@jeffclarktrader.com. 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