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The Bounce in Oil Starts Today

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jeffclarktrader.com

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service@exct.jeffclarktrader.com

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Wed, Nov 14, 2018 12:32 PM

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The Bounce in Oil Starts Today Bullish oil traders have been wiped out. West Texas Intermediate Crud

[Jeff Clark's Market Minute]( The Bounce in Oil Starts Today Bullish oil traders have been wiped out. West Texas Intermediate Crude (WTIC) has fallen in price for 12 straight days. One barrel of the gooey, black stuff cost over $76 back in early October. Today, one barrel of oil costs just $56. That’s a 25% haircut in six weeks. And, it’s one of the steepest declines oil traders have ever seen. Take a look at the chart… The recent action on this chart is the very definition of a “nosedive.” Traders won’t often see such a dramatic, one way move as we’ve witnessed in oil over the past six weeks. Recommended Link [His New Prediction: The Greatest Day in Stock Market History]( There are certain dates we remember. Our birthday... a special anniversary... a national holiday. Now a trend investor out of Florida who correctly called the rental property trend, legal marijuana wave, and blockchain boom... is telling folks to circle a new date on their calendars... February 4, 2019. Why that day? [Read his shocking prediction here]( - The chart has systematically taken out one support line (the blue lines) after another – without any hesitation. And now, the price of oil is sitting at its lowest level of the year. Technical indicators, like the [MACD]( and [RSI]( are more oversold than they’ve been all year. And many analysts are calling for oil to drop as low as $50 per barrel. I’ll take the other side of that bet. It looks to me like oil is gearing up for one heck of an oversold bounce. And, I suspect that bounce will start today. Let me explain… The last time we looked at oil was back in [late August](. Back then, we noted how the price of oil had developed a sort of “holiday trading pattern” – where the price of oil would start to rally one or two weeks before a major holiday. Then it would decline briefly right after the holiday. You can see the action in the red rectangles in the chart above. The price of oil spiked higher going into Memorial Day, Independence Day, and Labor Day. That action made total sense. Folks tend to drive a lot more during three-day weekends in the summer. So, the price of oil would rise in anticipation of increased demand for gasoline. Curiously, though, the biggest rally in oil this year happened following the post-Labor Day decline in the weeks ahead of Columbus Day (or Indigenous People’s Day, Native American Day, Cougar-Mellencamp-Tractor Pull Day, or whatever it’s called anymore). That holiday isn’t normally known for lots of traveling. But heck, the pattern played out well as oil rallied to its highest price of the year going into the holiday. Then the price of oil declined sharply afterwards. Looking at the calendar today, it’s worth noting that Thanksgiving is rapidly headed our way. If the holiday trading pattern continues to play out, then the price of oil should start moving higher in anticipation of increased driving going into the Thanksgiving holiday. So, I like the idea of buying oil today. The price of oil is remarkably oversold after declining for 11 straight days. Investor sentiment – a contrary indicator – is bearish. And, we have a major travel holiday coming up next week. This setup looks good for a solid bounce in the price of oil. Best regards and good trading, Jeff Clark Reader Mailbag In today’s mailbag, one Delta Report subscriber explores his membership’s benefits… Hi Jeff. I've now read and learned a lot from your special report “How to Win 90.2% of Your Trades Every Earnings Season.” Thanks. It showed me how I must sometimes be the option seller, but other times, be the options buyer. I needed to buy a newer, more robust smartphone to download your mobile app. It's arriving in a few days; I'm excited. I admire your thoroughness. Thanks for sharing your expertise with us. – Bob What do you see happening to the price of oil as the holidays approach? And Delta Report subscribers, which one of Jeff’s services do you find most helpful or useful? And as always, you can send any other trading questions, stories, or suggestions to feedback@jeffclarktrader.com. How to Make Huge Money From Gold This “new gold” investment has delivered gains up to 9,001% over the past year… even with the recent drought in gold. And the best part? It’s an investment that makes money from gold… even if the spot price stays perfectly flat, or falls. This is a highly speculative method… but the gains are undeniable. [Read on about this incredibly moneymaking strategy...]( This email was sent to {EMAIL} as part of your free subscription to Jeff Clark's Market Minute. [Click Here]( to change your delivery preferences or unsubscribe. © 2018 Jeff Clark Trader, 455 NE 5th Ave, Suite D286, Delray Beach, FL 33483, USA. All rights reserved. Any reproduction, copying, or redistribution, in whole or in part, is prohibited without written permission from the publisher. Information contained herein is obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but its accuracy cannot be guaranteed. It is not designed to meet your personal situation – we are not financial advisors nor do we give personalized advice. The opinions expressed herein are those of the publisher and are subject to change without notice. It may become outdated and there is no obligation to update any such information. Recommendations in Jeff Clark Trader publications should be made only after consulting with your advisor and only after reviewing the prospectus or financial statements of the company in question. You shouldn't make any decision based solely on what you read here. Jeff Clark Trader writers and publications do not take compensation in any form for covering those securities or commodities. Jeff Clark Trader expressly forbids its writers from owning or having an interest in any security that they recommend to their readers. Furthermore, all other employees and agents of Jeff Clark Trader and its affiliate companies must wait 24 hours before following an initial recommendation published on the Internet, or 72 hours after a printed publication is mailed.

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