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That Should Do It for the Bouncing Dollar

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jeffclarktrader.com

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Wed, Feb 14, 2018 02:46 PM

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The downtrend is intact. That Should Do It for the Bouncing Dollar Editor's note: Due to technical d

The downtrend is intact. [Jeff Clark's Market Minute]( That Should Do It for the Bouncing Dollar Editor's note: Due to technical difficulties, this morning's Market Minute was delayed. You can find today's issue below. --------------------------------------------------------------- The [last time we looked at the U.S. Dollar Index (USD)]( in late January, we figured the buck was oversold and due for a bounce. The index was approaching support. The "short dollar" trade was too popular. And, since the financial markets rarely reward popularity, it seemed like the buck was near a bottom. The dollar has enjoyed a nice bounce since then. Take a look... You can see how the index held support at about the 88 level. That support line goes all the way back to late 2014. It was unlikely to be broken on the first attempt. So, it was reasonable to be looking for at least a short-term bounce off of that level. Recommended Link [New Gold Rush Occurs In Unusual Spot (But Americans Could Get Filthy Rich from Home!)]( Already it's yielded legendary gains of 13,725%... 30,614%... and 96,150%... turning a measly $1,000 into one million. Now this "golden corridor" is about to mint its next wave of millionaires... Will you be one of them? [Click here for the full scoop.]( - Notice, though, that there was no positive divergence on the [MACD momentum indicator]( at the low point. In other words, as the dollar was falling, the MACD was falling right along with it. That tells us the downtrend is strong and likely to continue. Any bounce off of support would be short-term only. There's more downside ahead. So, now that the dollar has bounced and has relieved the short-term oversold conditions we noted back in late January, we can start looking for the downtrend to resume. The buck still has a little room to work higher over the next few days. USD could bounce up to its former support line (now resistance) just above 91. But it's not likely to run much higher than that. And the next push lower might just be forceful enough to break below support at 88. If that happens, then look out below. The next support line is all the way down at 85. Best regards and good trading, Jeff Clark Reader Mailbag For today, readers write in about the action in gold stocks, Jeff's recent blog activity, and another story of an option trade order gone awry... Thanks for your daily insights. Would love your current thoughts on GDX/Gold. – Tanner You've been quiet on gold miners today – have any thoughts? Quite a bit of action there. – Cal Any thoughts on where precious metals are headed short-term and intermediate? – Clint Thanks for writing in, all. You can find Jeff's thoughts on yesterday's gold action [right here](. Your [Feb 12th late-night thoughts]( embody the wisdom of ages. There are very few constants in life but the journey is best traveled with wisdom. Keep your beacon shining, we need it. – Harilal I read everything you put out and as a general trend figure you're right on but during the last week of this market turmoil I finally sold most of what I had invested and am now just sitting on it. The peace of mind – for the moment – is great! I've started [paying closer attention to commodities](. – James In [Tuesday's 11 a.m. update on Delta Direct]( Jeff indicated that market action is constructive for the next leg up. I am somewhat puzzled by that. Of all the suspects, the main one for the market's selloff in the past week is the rising interest rate due to variety of factors coming together. That's not going to change. As we speak, the 10-year yield is about 2.85% – really the same as just before market started its descent. I would have argued that the sideways action so far today is "constructive" if you are bearish, working off oversold conditions in preparation for the next leg down. I guess only time will tell. – Stephen We appreciate your note, Stephen. Yesterday after market close, Jeff wrote in Delta Direct elaborating on the market's constructive action. You can find that blog post [right here](. I can appreciate [the predicament Lawrence was in](. Years ago I was in a hurry to catch a plane but wanted to enter a trade. Using my smartphone I entered the option call with Scottrade. In my hurry I entered the limit price in the volume box. Fortunately my local Scottrade office called and asked if I really wanted to buy a thousand-plus contracts. They cancelled the order, but lord that still scares me to this day. I double check all orders and will not enter an order if I am in a hurry. Big shout-out to Scottrade and their brokers. – Glenn As always, don't hesitate to write to us with your trading stories, experiences, questions, and suggestions. You can do so [right here](mailto:feedback@jeffclarktrader.com). In Case You Missed It... If Trump has any shot at getting re-elected in 2020, he'll need to keep strengthening the stock market. And [this small company]( – considered too vital to fail by both the Oval Office and tech giants like Facebook, Amazon, and Google – is his ticket... Find out more about this company, and how you can get in before the masses, [right here](. This email was sent to {EMAIL} as part of your free subscription to Jeff Clark's Market Minute. [Click Here]( to change your delivery preferences or unsubscribe. © 2018 Jeff Clark Trader, 55 NE 5th Avenue Suite 100, Delray Beach, FL 33483, USA. All rights reserved. Any reproduction, copying, or redistribution, in whole or in part, is prohibited without written permission from the publisher. Information contained herein is obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but its accuracy cannot be guaranteed. It is not designed to meet your personal situation – we are not financial advisors nor do we give personalized advice. The opinions expressed herein are those of the publisher and are subject to change without notice. It may become outdated and there is no obligation to update any such information. Recommendations in Jeff Clark Trader publications should be made only after consulting with your advisor and only after reviewing the prospectus or financial statements of the company in question. You shouldn't make any decision based solely on what you read here. Jeff Clark Trader writers and publications do not take compensation in any form for covering those securities or commodities. Jeff Clark Trader expressly forbids its writers from owning or having an interest in any security that they recommend to their readers. Furthermore, all other employees and agents of Jeff Clark Trader and its affiliate companies must wait 24 hours before following an initial recommendation published on the Internet, or 72 hours after a printed publication is mailed.

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