This trend has likely already peaked [View in browser]( BROUGHT TO YOU BY:
Proprietary Data Insights Top Restaurant Stock Searches This Month Rank Name Searches
#1 Starbucks 1,038
#2 Chipotle Mexican Grill 577
#3 McDonaldâs 380
#4 Yum! Brands 181
#5 Restaurant Brands International 119
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- This says a lot about the power of dining out, particularly in a post-pandemic world.
- But it doesnât mean you should load up on restaurant stocks.
- Stick with proven, best-of-breed names. The pandemic accelerated lots of trends that were already in progress. Remote work. Day drinking. Better work-life balance. The [ubiquity of delivery apps](. And ghost kitchens. A ghost kitchen is a virtual kitchen/digital storefront that produces food and drink for delivery and pickup from one location, often for multiple apps that market themselves for online and phone ordering. For example, you could create a fried chicken sandwich or avocado toast concept (how unique!) and market it completely online, then prepare your orders in a central ghost kitchen thatâs the base for pickup and delivery. Interesting idea. Itâs gained traction. But itâs not very hospitable. According to the National Restaurant Association (thatâs the NRA weâre talking about in todayâs essay)âs 2023 State of the Restaurant Industry report, restaurant operators actually expect the number of ghost kitchens to either remain flat or decline. Because while 55% of people in the NRA survey said food pickup and delivery are âessentialâ to their lifestyles, 70% say they prefer their food from a traditional physical location. In other words, even though they might do takeaway, they want to know exactly where itâs coming from. They want to put a face with the name, so to speak. It also makes sense from another standpoint. Not sure about you, but we enjoy dining out among other people. Itâs a social experience. A ritual. And, according to the same NRA survey, the broad hospitality industry should officially come roaring back from the pandemic this year. The NRA anticipates food-service industry sales to hit $997 billion this year, to some extent due to higher menu prices. Itâs the vicious cycle of inflation. Prices get higher, but people continue to consume (because, as we said, they enjoy going out), so prices stay high. But thereâs also the demand end of the equation. Based on the restaurant operators the NRA surveyed, it could reach, if not surpass, pre-pandemic levels more than three years after we got into this mess. If the predictions in the NRA report are accurate, the total food and beverage industry workforce will expand by 500,000 jobs by the end of this year, hitting 15.5 million, past pre-pandemic levels. 87% of restaurant operators say theyâll hire more workers in the next 6-12 months. Fast-casual establishments are at the high end at 91%. Coffee and snack joints are on the low end at 69%. Much of this optimism is based on another consensus from the NRA survey: We wonât see a major recession in 2023. Often, the best way to gauge the prospects of recession is from Main Street. From people with boots on the ground. Hospitality happens in cities, on main streets and in the trenches. The operators have a good sense of traffic, which can reflect consumption levels. Here in Los Angeles, bars and restaurants appear as packed as ever. We hear likewise from our friends in San Francisco, New York, and other cities, including smaller ones such as Portland, Denver, and Buffalo. It goes back to why ghost kitchens might fade and never be a core component of our eating experience. The social component of eating out matters even more in a post-pandemic world where most people seem to have finally forgotten about COVID. The NRA has data to back this up: 84% of consumers say âgoing out to a restaurant with family and friends is a better use of their leisure time than cooking and cleaning up.â Impressive number, even as inflation has driven up the cost of dining out. Of course, The Juice agrees. Hospitality will never die, no matter how many ghost kitchens, [mobile ordering apps, and digital kiosks]( we see pop up around the world. [The #1 stock for 2023]( Investment expert Brad Thomas knows how to pick stocks. He bought Starbucks back in 2006⊠He bought Nike in 2003⊠And he and his team delivered a perfect track record from March 2020 to September 2022. Now, for a limited time, heâs revealing his #1 stock for 2023⊠[Get its name here]([Ad] The Bottom Line: All of this isnât necessarily a sign to pile into restaurant stocks, especially speculative ones with weak national and regional footprints. One other datapoint from the NRA report: 47% of restaurateurs think competition will get more intense in 2023 than it was last year. So think about the big, publicly traded names with focused brick-and-mortar operations, solid and growing digital/mobile strategies, and, often as a result of these two elements, strong consumer loyalty. Think Starbucks (SBUX), McDonaldâs (MCD), and Chipotle (CMG). [Starbucks] Source: Google Finance mailto:?body=Article URL: https%3A%2F%2Finvestingchannel.com%2F%3Fp%3D575225?utm_medium=ic-nl&utm_source=103930 News & Insights Freshly Squeezed - From The Spill: [Can Our +54% Pick Keep Running?](
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1325 Avenue of the Americas, Floor 27 & 28 New York, New York 10019 Disclaimer: This is not investment advice. This InvestingChannel, Inc., newsletter is for information purposes only and is based on opinion. Futures, forex, stock, and options trading are not appropriate for all investors. There is a substantial risk of loss associated with trading these markets. Losses can and will occur. No system or methodology has ever been developed that can ensure returns or eliminate losses. InvestingChannel, Inc., makes no representation or implication that using any of the methodologies or systems in this newsletter will generate returns or insure against losses. Investors should be cautious about any and all investments and are advised to conduct their own due diligence prior to making any investment decisions.