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With Home Sales Down, Is It Time to Buy This Homebuilder ETF?

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Fri, Jan 20, 2023 05:10 PM

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History is on this ETF?s side Proprietary Data Insights Financial Pros Homebuilder ETF Searches in

History is on this ETF’s side [View in browser]( Proprietary Data Insights Financial Pros Homebuilder ETF Searches in the Last Month Rank Name Searches #1 SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF 119 #2 iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF 33 #3 iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF 27 #4 Invesco Dynamic Building & Construction ETF 24 #5 Hoya Capital Housing ETF 0 #ad [Position Yourself in the Face of Market Volatility]( Brought to you by [The Alt]( [Take Your Investments to the Next Level With The Alt]( We curate crypto, NFT, real estate, startup, art, commodities, hedge fund, and more alternative investment content that matters to you. [Click here to sign up](. ETFs With Home Sales Down, Is It Time to Buy This Homebuilder ETF? People are applying for mortgages less than they have in more than 25 years, according to data from Redfin. New home sales are down 35% from a year earlier. Higher interest rates have made it more expensive for people to buy homes. But the housing market has rebounded from worse conditions, and historically, homes appreciate in value over time. And financial pros are starting to take a hard look at homebuilders after an off year, according to the latest data from our proprietary sentiment indicator, Trackstar. The SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF (XHB) was financial pros’ most searched homebuilder ETF and one of the top ETF searches overall in December. With the housing market cooling off, is it time to get into this homebuilder ETF? SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF The SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF provides investors with exposure to the homebuilder segment of the S&P Total Market Index. XHB may include exposure to the subindustries of building products, home furnishings, home improvement retail, home furnishing retail, and household appliances. Key Facts About XHB - Estimated 3-to-5-year EPS growth: 6.85% - Price-to-cash-flow ratio: 11.9x - Price-to-earnings ratio: 9.5x There are 35 holdings in the XHB portfolio. The top 10 holdings below make up nearly 40% of its weight. [Top Holdings] Source: State Street Corporation Building-products companies comprise 46.8% of the fund’s weighted holdings, followed by homebuilders at 30.4%. [Holdings] Source: State Street Corporation This is an important point many investors ignore: XHB isn’t a pure play on homebuilders. Rather, it’s an ETF that plays on the health of the home-building industry. Performance XHB began trading on January 31, 2006. Over the last 10 years, it has returned an average of 9.5% annually. It’s returned 7.4% annually over the last five years. But last year was hard, as the ETF fell 28.9%. [Financials] Source: State Street Corporation Investing & Trading XHB An average of 3.3 million shares of XHB trade daily. The ETF is both optionable and shortable. Investors will be happy to hear that the ETF pays an annual dividend of $0.77, a yield of 1.2%. Competition Investors seeking exposure to homebuilders via ETFs have a few options besides XHB. They include the iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF (ITB), Invesco Dynamic Building & Construction ETF (PKB), iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF (IYR), and Hoya Capital Housing ETF (HOMZ). Portfolio Composition - XHB: medium-sized value companies - PKB: medium-sized companies, a blend of value and growth - ITB: medium-sized value companies - IYR: medium-sized growth companies - HOMZ: medium-sized value companies Holdings & Top 10 Weighting - XHB: 35 positions, with the top 10 making up 39.7% of the portfolio - PKB: 32 positions, with the top 10 making up 46.0% of the portfolio - ITB: 52 positions, with the top 10 making up 64.9% of the portfolio - IYR: 83 positions, with the top 10 making up 44.9% of the portfolio - HOMZ: 103 positions, with the top 10 making up 19.4% of the portfolio HOMZ is the most diversified of these ETFs, with 103 positions. In addition, its top 10 holdings are just 19.4% of its weighting. XHB has fewer positions than IYR and PKB, but its top 10 weightings are smaller. Fees - XHB: 0.35% - PKB: 0.57% - ITB: 0.39% - IYR: 0.39% - HOMZ: 0.30% XHB charges an expense ratio of 0.35%, which is less than most other homebuilding ETFs. Dividend - XHB: 1.20% - PKB: 0.42% - ITB: 0.82% - IYR: 2.84% - HOMZ: 2.00% IYR and HOMZ offer dividends of 2.84% and 2.00%, respectively. HOMZ also has a less concentrated portfolio than the other ETFs here. Performance (3 Years, Compounded Annually) - XHB: 38.13% - PKB: 24.12% - ITB: 41.02% - IYR: -6.42% - HOMZ: 13.94% Out of the group, ITB has performed best over the last three, five, and 10 years, but XHB didn’t trail by much, with returns of 39.7% the last five years compared to ITB’s 40.1%. Our Opinion 8/10 Higher interest rates have made it more expensive to buy homes. As Redfin noted, there have been fewer mortgage applications than there have been in more than 25 years. 2022 was hard for XHB shareholders. This difficulty may continue in 2023. But no one can time the market perfectly, and historically, the ETF has posted strong returns. That’s why we think nibbling on shares at these levels makes sense, as does buying more if XHB dips further. News & Insights Just Spilled - [Has Jack Dorsey Doomed Another Company?]( - [2023 Investment Outlook: The Top Trends to Watch]( - [Last Year’s Top Performer Looks to Repeat]( - [A Better Way to Play Gold]( [We want to hear from you! Let us know your thoughts by clicking here]( [Article Link]( [Link]( # [submit to reddit]( [submit to reddit]( [submit to reddit]( [submit to reddit]( To ensure delivery of all emails, [allow us on your list]( Spill&email=TheSpill@news.investingchannel.com). Update your email preferences or unsubscribe [here](. Manage your subscriptions with our [preference center](. View our privacy policy [here](. Copyright ©2023 InvestingChannel. All rights reserved. 1325 Avenue of the Americas, Floor 27 & 28 New York, New York 10019 Disclaimer: This is not investment advice. This InvestingChannel, Inc., newsletter is for information purposes only and is based on opinion. Futures, forex, stock, and options trading are not appropriate for all investors. There is a substantial risk of loss associated with trading these markets. Losses can and will occur. No system or methodology has ever been developed that can ensure returns or eliminate losses. InvestingChannel, Inc., makes no representation or implication that using any of the methodologies or systems in this newsletter will generate returns or insure against losses. Investors should be cautious about any and all investments and are advised to conduct their own due diligence prior to making any investment decisions.

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