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This Huge Retailer Might Be The Most Resilient

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Thu, Jun 2, 2022 07:00 PM

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Checking In On The Paycheck-To-Paycheck Economy BROUGHT TO YOU BY: Proprietary Data Insights Top Con

Checking In On The Paycheck-To-Paycheck Economy [View in browser]( BROUGHT TO YOU BY: Proprietary Data Insights Top Consumer Defensive Stock Searches This Month Rank Name Searches #1 Walmart 126,721 #2 Costco 120,476 #3 Target 115,046 #4 Coca-Cola 54,873 #5 Beyond Meat 43,577 #ad [This tiny upstart could be gold’s big winner]( Source: [CouponBirds]( It’s a sign of the times when a platform that specializes in helping people save money via coupon and promo codes chimes in with a meaningful study on personal finance. Gotta give CouponBirds some credit for the interesting data they collected after surveying 3,012 workers in May. Living Paycheck To Paycheck On average, it takes 14 days for workers in the U.S. to spend their paychecks each month. At this juncture, they’re hurting, often digging into savings to live out the remainder of the month. This helps support [The Juice’s contention]( that cash-strapped consumers low on or out of savings have turned to credit card debt to survive or sustain discretionary spending. What’s Happening In North Dakota? The Juice looked for a clear answer. We simply couldn’t find one. But we’ll keep digging to figure out why North Dakota crushed every other state on this paycheck metric. It takes 28 days for the average North Dakotan surveyed to spend their paycheck. No other state, except for Hawaii (21 days) and including South Dakota (16 days), even made their money last more than 20 days. Other notables: - California and New York: 15 days - Texas: 14 days - Nevada, Iowa, Alabama, and Georgia: 9 days - New Mexico: 8 days Right now, there’s no rhyme or reason to the discrepancies. And, even with more data from more variables, there might not be. The old personal finance is personal mantra might be the only thing we can be certain of, especially in uncertain times. Sponsored [5 Monthly Dividends to Buy NOW— paying up to 8.6%!]( The "experts" say you need at least a million bucks to retire comfortably these days. But I’ve got a dead-simple strategy that could let you retire on a lot less... as little as just $500k or $600K. Details are waiting for you in an exclusive briefing (along with 5 great monthly payers). [Contrarian Outlook]( Investing This Huge Retailer Might Be The Most Resilient Key Takeaways: - Costco isn’t seeing the same pressure as the dollar stores or even Walmart. - In fact, it appears the company can count on a relatively strong consumer. - COST might be another stock to consider on strength in a weak market. Earlier this week in The Juice, we considered data on personal savings and consumer debt alongside earnings results from Dollar Tree (DLTR), Dollar General (DG), and Walmart (WMT) and came to an educated conclusion: All of this info tells us large swaths of the population are hurting, spending their money on necessities such as food first. So discretionary spending, on things you don’t actually need, falls by the wayside. However, there’s a so-called discount retailer that doesn’t necessarily count on cash-strapped consumers looking for deep bargains. That’s Costco (COST) The average Costco customer: - Asian American and female - Married, between 35 and 44 years old - At least a four-year college degree - Income greater than $125,000 a year Meantime, the average Walmart or Target (TGT) customer makes a relatively low $80,000 annually. Dollar General and Dollar Tree shoppers take in something closer to the $40,000-a-year range. The Resilient Costco Shopper To highlight Costco’s strength in the “discount” retail space, we turn to the company’s May 26th earnings conference call. Just as we did DG, DLTR, and WMT. Cash-strapped consumers turn to the dollar stores. Makes sense. And whereas Walmart reports a spending shift from higher margin general merchandise (discretionary purchases) to lower margin groceries (necessity), Costco has not seen a worrying shift in consumer behavior. Here’s what the company’s SVP of Finance and Investor Relations, Bob Nelson, [said]( when asked about this: I mean, some of the areas I mentioned like sporting goods, well, all the gyms are opening up again and a lot of – within sporting goods, it's really exercise equipment that – we sold a lot a year ago. And this year, people are back at the gyms. Office is down a little bit. And again, people were setting up working from home a year ago. So it's no surprise to us that, that department is a little bit softer than a year ago. So not really, I think the categories that we're seeing be a little bit softer than we expect or categories that we expected to be soft. It's not a big surprise. So the typical Costco customer is not shifting spending. In fact, the company reports store traffic increased 6.8% globally and 5.6% in the U.S., while average transaction size went up 7.6% worldwide and 10.4% domestically in the quarter. Revenue increased 16.3% to $51.61 billion from $44.38 billion. Buy On Strength? We suggested considering DG and DLTR on strength, relative to their retail peers and the broad market, on their strong earnings reports. You might want to do likewise with Costco. Last week, around the company’s earnings report, the stock went on a nice run. Source: [Google Finance]( Year to date, heading into earnings COST was down 17%. Since last week, the stock spent time in the $455-$465 before retracing its steps closer to $470. The Bottom Line: We’re inclined to bargain hunt when markets tank. Makes sense. However, there’s equal opportunity in buying names that perform relatively well in bad stock markets. If this strategy resonates with you, like Dollar General and Dollar Tree, Costco might be worth more of your own due diligence. News & Insights Freshly Squeezed - [10 Best Stocks To Buy Under $50]( - [What Metaverse Stocks are and why you can't ignore them (ad)]( - [CBO Numbers Remind Us Of Just How Irresponsible Congress Is]( - [Why HIRE? Six Consecutive Quarters Of Revenue Growth]( [We want to hear from you! Let us know your thoughts by clicking here]( # [submit to reddit]( [submit to reddit]( [submit to reddit]( [submit to reddit]( To ensure delivery of all emails, [allow us on your list](. Update your email preferences or unsubscribe [here](. View our privacy policy [here](. Copyright ©2022 InvestingChannel. All rights reserved. 1325 Avenue of the Americas, Floor 27 & 28 New York, New York 10019 Disclaimer: This is not investment advice. This InvestingChannel, Inc. newsletter is for information purposes only and opinion-based. Futures, forex, stock, and options trading are not appropriate for all investors. There is a substantial risk of loss associated with trading these markets. Losses can and will occur. No system or methodology has ever been developed that can ensure returns or against losses. No representation or implication is being made that using any of these methodologies or systems will generate returns or ensure against losses. Investors should be cautious about any and all investments and are advised to conduct their own due diligence prior to making any investment decisions. [Link](

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