âAn empire toppled by its enemies can rise again. But one which crumbles from within? Thatâs dead. Forever.â
â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â â April 4, 2024 The âBig Systemâ Gold Spike âAn empire toppled by its enemies can rise again. But one which crumbles from within? Thatâs dead. Forever.â â Zemo in Captain America: Civil War [Special Reminder: In case you missed [our recent announcement]( The Essential Investor has merged with legacy contributors to Agora Financial. The new, larger, more inclusive project is called The Grey Swan Investment Fraternity. If youâre interested in the scope and benefits of our new endeavor, please see what prompted us to merge [here](. If youâve been a member of The Essential Investor, please keep an eye out for your new benefits.] Dear [Reader], April 4, 2024 â Nothing agitates the atoms of the fraternity quite like a spike in the price of gold. After topping $2,3oo yesterday, gold is hovering around $2,297 this morning. Still short of our $3,100 target, but trading above a 100-day trend-line established on March 22, when the rally began at $2,104. âFed governor Adriana Kuglerâs dovish comments that the Fed is still on track to cut rates this year,â Peter Schiff tweeted last night, âdespite clear evidence that inflation is accelerating, sent the price of gold to over $2,3oo. The Fed is prepared to sacrifice the public to bail out the government and the banks.â Schiffâs tweet kicked off a discussion as to whether gold or Bitcoin best expresses the plight of the Fed in its âfightâ against inflation. Weâll reserve judgment on the subject for now. Instead, letâs dig in with a few other members and see if we can agree on the root cause of goldâs recent rally. CONTINUED BELOW... >>ADVERTISEMENT<< 2024 â The Real Election Year Surprise In 2016, the October Election Surprise was Hillary Clintonâs email scandal⦠In 2020, the October Election Surprise was the suppression of all the dirty material on Hunter Bidenâs âforgottenâ laptop⦠Now, in 2024, weâre forecasting an October Election Surprise that almost no one sees coming â and this time itâll be way more devastating than anything youâve seen before. [Click here to learn about 2024âs real October Election Surprise »]( Itâs not at all what you think. CONTINUED... âOne of Wall Streetâs most influential insiders,â observes Lau Vegys in Doug Caseyâs take, âBlackRock CEO Larry Fink has recently voiced his belief that the ballooning debt represents a real threat to the nationâs fiscal future.â Back in February, during an interview on â60 Minutes,â Fed Chair Jerome Powell alerted viewers: âThe national debt is growing faster than the economy, so it is unsustainable.â âPowell and the U.S. Congressional Budget Office (CBO),â writes Brian Lutz at dollarcollapse.com, âhave both publicly warned that the national debt is unsustainable. The debt is rising... $1 trillion every 100 days. $10 billion every day. And $416 million every hour. âAnd that means, eventually the United States will be overcome with a sovereign debt crisis. No matter how the statistics on unemployment and inflation get jostled.â Lutz frames the Fedâs challenge in economic terms: âThe economy will not be strong enough to cover the cost of paying those debts. Eventually, debt will cause less money to enter the economy, which in turn causes less trade and more unemployment. Since there is less money available to generate more trade (and create employment opportunities), the Fed will have no choice but to print more money, which leads to inflation. That is the Keynesian paradox. More fiat money cannot improve real production. Fiat money only creates more debt, and more consumption.â The Fed has a limited set of tools in its tool box. Since the days of the Greenspan Put, we know its tool of choice is to drop interest rates at every whiff of crisis. After zero interest rates (ZIRP), thereâs quantitative easing (QE)⦠and thereâs direct purchases in the market, like the subprime mortgage debt it gobbled up during and after the 2008 financial crisis. ZIRP and QE are two of the technical ways to describe money getting shoveled into the economy through the banking system. The third, of course, is wanton government spending. According to the bean counters at the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget, Trumpâs tenure in the Oval Office added $8.4 trillion to the federal debt â $3.6 trillion came from pandemic relief laws and executive orders, another $2.5 trillion was the result of changes to the tax code, and $2.3 trillion came from spending increases. Nobodyâs going to complain about tax cuts. But alongside nearly $6 trillion in spending increases⦠Economics 101 teaches us that more money and less stuff to spend it on equals⦠rising prices. Whatâs the Fed to do? âArtificially low interest rates are a problem in themselves,â writes Bill Bonner on the same theme this morning. âThey distort the real cost of capital, tempting people to borrow too much money. Debt increases... leading to a debt crisis of some sort.â In a lengthier piece, Bonner identifies Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as the only serious candidate for president who has a handle on the issue. âThe long-term issue is government spending,â RFK Jr. argued in a recent interview on Fox News, âbecause inflation and high interest rates are just medicine and they both are poisonous medicines.â As a result, Kennedy suggests that âwe need to get spending under control and dramatically reduce military spending.â In the third edition of our book [Empire of Debt]( (now available for pre-order at[Amazon]( and[Barnes & Noble]( Bill and I spend a fair amount of time analyzing Dwight Eisenhowerâs now infamous farewell address given in 1961. Not only does Eisenhower warn about the outsized influence of the military industrial complex on domestic politics, but on foreign policy, too. For good measure, the 34th president warned of a rising tech elite and its influence on the whole kaboodle â politics, the media, foreign wars. Bonner puts Eisenhowerâs conundrum into close perspective during the election of 2024, and those bidding to replace the 46th president: âKennedy is right. The feds spend too much. They borrow too much. They need lower interest rates to support the debt. And they âprintâ money to help keep rates low. Low rates... high rates... inflation... inflation control â all are linked to excess spending. The dots connect. And if the problem is to be addressed, intentionally, spending is the place to begin. It has to be brought under control. It would be nice if a real reformer â maybe like Milei in Argentina or Kennedy in the U.S. â could solve the problem in an orderly... sensible... way. The wars could be stopped. The budget could be balanced. Peace and prosperity could be restored to the land.  But it seems unlikely. Biden and Trump are the front runners. Neither has any interest in the problem â or even any awareness of it. And the whole Beltway, Wall Street, University, Media, Military Establishment benefits from the system as it is.â We recall, too, another long-time fraternity member, Dr. Ron Paul, being interviewed ago by Tucker Carlson on âXâ: âAmerica needs to go through rough and tumble times because the price always has to be paid,â Paul said. âYou know we canât walk away from the debt. How do you liquidate it?â Dr. Paulâs response to his own question: âYou print money, and every time you print money, the value of the dollar goes down. So the value of the debt goes down. If you double the money supply and prices go up by 50%. Thatâs inflation. But if you do that, the real debt, it goes down. So, itâs a theft, itâs a tax. Itâs evil.â The government has no choice but to inflate its way out of debt. And âthatâs what will happen,â Paul told Tucker. âReally, the most important thing you can do is study and understand whatâs going on.â And âown gold.â So it goes, Addison Wiggin, The Wiggin Sessions P.S. âVery wealthy people donât have to worry about the cost of a loaf of bread,â Paul concluded. âThey do, however, have to worry about the âbig system.â Because when the big system goes on, thereâs not many people who are going to escape it.â On June 10th, 1963, not long after Eisenhowerâs farewell address, his successor, John F. Kennedy â RFK Jr.âs uncle â gave a commencement address at the American University in D.C. The speech outlined a vision of peace â non-aggression, personal responsibility, and individual liberty â all ideas anathema to the âbig systemâ Dr. Paul refers to. That speech, Paul suggests, sealed JFKâs fate. He was assassinated 165 days later in Dallas. Dr. Paul, in the interview with Carlson, refers to the event as âa coup.â âAt the end of the day,â Paul says, âthe Republic is gone.â The âbig systemâ â [Empire of Debt]( â remains. (You can pre-order[Empire of Debt: We Came, We Saw, We Borrowed]( now available for pre-order at[Amazon]( and[Barnes & Noble]( or if you prefer one of these sites: [Bookshop.org]( or [Target]( Please send your comments, reactions, opprobrium, vitriol and praise to: addison@greyswanfraternity.com. The Daily Missive from The Wiggin Sessions is committed to protecting and respecting your privacy. We do not rent or share your email address. By submitting your email address, you consent to The Wiggn Sessions delivering daily email issues and advertisements. 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