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I Think It's Starting...

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godesburgfinancialpublishing.com

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Mon, Oct 10, 2022 09:47 PM

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. The bond markets are flashing red again as investors try to avoid conditions that we haven’t

[] The bond markets are flashing red again as investors try to avoid conditions that we haven’t seen since the Great Financial Crisis. A crash appears imminent. [View in browser]( . The bond markets are flashing red again as investors try to avoid conditions that we haven’t seen since the Great Financial Crisis. A crash appears imminent. [View in browser]( . . [] [Havens Investment Letter] [] [Havens Investment Letter] [] [] [] World-class trader spots huge moves on regular stocks (NOT options!) He’s one of the internet’s original day traders... He’s a 12-time World Trading Champion... And for nearly 30 years, he hasn’t needed a day job! That’s because he’s made his living from the markets... spotting huge moves of 30%... 60%...and even 100% on little-known stocks! And now he’s inviting you to learn his system! [Click here to get started for just $9!]( [] --------------------------------------------------------------- [] World-class trader spots huge moves on regular stocks (NOT options!) He’s one of the internet’s original day traders... He’s a 12-time World Trading Champion... And for nearly 30 years, he hasn’t needed a day job! That’s because he’s made his living from the markets... spotting huge moves of 30%... 60%...and even 100% on little-known stocks! And now he’s inviting you to learn his system! [Click here to get started for just $9!]( [] --------------------------------------------------------------- [] [] I Think It's Starting [Garrett Pic] Market momentum is Red. All sectors have gone negative as energy started to break down from overbought conditions recently. Materials continue to fall, and traders are starting to worry about the impact of the Fed’s rate hikes on Western economies. This market has severe warning signs as the VIX remains elevated over 30. Cash remains your best friend in this market. Dear Investor, The situation has gone from bad to worse. Today, shares of mortgage REIT Annaly Capital Management (NLY) plunged another 6.9% as concerns about credit spreads and housing amplified. So the Fed’s persistent goal of fighting inflation has entered a new phase. The bond markets now completely understand that the central bank will continue its frantic pace of rate hikes. And - to be honest - it will only continue until something else breaks. The bond market is crying “uncle” right now. We just hit new highs on the year - a reminder that those calling a bottom need to stop. Rate hikes have already broken the United Kingdom. The nation is now stuck in a perpetual cycle of higher rates and inflation. In the United States, it’s hard to see a silver lining over the next two months. The markets have priced a rate hike of 75 basis points for its November meeting. Recall that the central bank’s preferred inflation metric exceeded expectations. Then Friday’s jobs report signaled robust wages. This week, we’ll get an update on the Producer Price Index (front of the supply chain costs) and the Consumer Price Index (CPI). The problem - unfortunately - is that these reports don’t even matter anymore. After OPEC’s cut of two million barrels to its production, crude prices have risen so hard and fast that we might see a large monthly jump in CPI in the October report (which won’t arrive until mid-November.) Meanwhile, it’s time for politicians in Washington to learn actual economics. We are facing severe problems on the Mississippi River due to drought. The price of barges has surged, raising the stakes for farmers needing fertilizer and moving grain out of their silos. We desperately need supply-side policies in Washington, D.C. to expedite the production of food, energy, and other critical commodities. As supply chains face renewed pressure, we won’t get inflation down just by relying on the Federal Reserve. We need to boost supply… and we need to do it now. Dimon Warns of Recession There are five people who I listen to regularly for insight into the markets. These are voices that I trust. I don’t feel like someone is trying to bait and switch me. They are authentic. They are: - Jamie Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan - Scott Minerd, CIO of Guggenheim Investments - Zoltan Pozsar, Investment Strategist at Credit Suisse - Sam Zell, Chairman of Equity Group Investments - Michael Burry, founder of Scion Capital If you only follow these five names, you’ll know every risk on the horizon. You’ll be 12 moves ahead of the markets, and you won’t be surprised by any headline on CNBC or Bloomberg. Today, Dimon issued a very severe warning on the state of the economy. When discussing inflation, Russia’s war, massive rate hikes, and “unknown” unknowns on the markets… Dimon warned that a recession is coming. "These are very, very serious things which I think are likely to push the U.S. and the world — I mean, Europe is already in recession — and they're likely to put the U.S. in some kind of recession six to nine months from now," Dimon told CNBC. Dimon said the S&P 500 could drop by another 20% before it’s all over. He projected that the next 20% decline would be much more painful than the first - signaling the possibility of a dramatic downturn. We haven’t experienced forced selling yet among pensions and other large funds. For the last few months, many investors have speculated that we’ll follow a similar pattern to the 2001 and 2008 crashes. But I’ve noted that the 2018 pattern from the markets could lure some investors into a false sense of security before we finally get capitulation. In 2018, the Fed engaged in its rate tightening and sold assets from its balance sheet - much like what we witnessed this year. As a result, the S&P 500 bounced in a range for three months before we finally experienced a dramatic 19.8% decline in December 2018. I expect to see something similar. The question is what the Fed would do in this situation… In 2018, when the markets tanked, the Fed pivoted to increase its balance sheet and cut interest rates. Our high inflation levels remain the difference between then and now. I am very concerned that inflation will remain entrenched - and that the Fed would need to go even higher on interest rates to flush out the system thoroughly. The consequences of this would be gruesome - but we are trying to undo 14 years of excess in less than 12 months. When we make it to the other side of what is coming, you’ll want to start a transition toward assets like energy, food, housing, and other commodities. The stuff that matters in this economy - the things we need to survive - will sit at the center of future monetary regimes. I’ll explain how to start targeting these companies when the time is right. Enjoy your day, [Garrett signature] Garrett {NAME} Chief Analyst, American Markets [] --------------------------------------------------------------- [] [] I Think It's Starting [Garrett Pic] Market momentum is Red. All sectors have gone negative as energy started to break down from overbought conditions recently. Materials continue to fall, and traders are starting to worry about the impact of the Fed’s rate hikes on Western economies. This market has severe warning signs as the VIX remains elevated over 30. Cash remains your best friend in this market. Dear Investor, The situation has gone from bad to worse. Today, shares of mortgage REIT Annaly Capital Management (NLY) plunged another 6.9% as concerns about credit spreads and housing amplified. So the Fed’s persistent goal of fighting inflation has entered a new phase. The bond markets now completely understand that the central bank will continue its frantic pace of rate hikes. And - to be honest - it will only continue until something else breaks. The bond market is crying “uncle” right now. We just hit new highs on the year - a reminder that those calling a bottom need to stop. Rate hikes have already broken the United Kingdom. The nation is now stuck in a perpetual cycle of higher rates and inflation. In the United States, it’s hard to see a silver lining over the next two months. The markets have priced a rate hike of 75 basis points for its November meeting. Recall that the central bank’s preferred inflation metric exceeded expectations. Then Friday’s jobs report signaled robust wages. This week, we’ll get an update on the Producer Price Index (front of the supply chain costs) and the Consumer Price Index (CPI). The problem - unfortunately - is that these reports don’t even matter anymore. After OPEC’s cut of two million barrels to its production, crude prices have risen so hard and fast that we might see a large monthly jump in CPI in the October report (which won’t arrive until mid-November.) Meanwhile, it’s time for politicians in Washington to learn actual economics. We are facing severe problems on the Mississippi River due to drought. The price of barges has surged, raising the stakes for farmers needing fertilizer and moving grain out of their silos. We desperately need supply-side policies in Washington, D.C. to expedite the production of food, energy, and other critical commodities. As supply chains face renewed pressure, we won’t get inflation down just by relying on the Federal Reserve. We need to boost supply… and we need to do it now. Dimon Warns of Recession There are five people who I listen to regularly for insight into the markets. These are voices that I trust. I don’t feel like someone is trying to bait and switch me. They are authentic. They are: - Jamie Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan - Scott Minerd, CIO of Guggenheim Investments - Zoltan Pozsar, Investment Strategist at Credit Suisse - Sam Zell, Chairman of Equity Group Investments - Michael Burry, founder of Scion Capital If you only follow these five names, you’ll know every risk on the horizon. You’ll be 12 moves ahead of the markets, and you won’t be surprised by any headline on CNBC or Bloomberg. Today, Dimon issued a very severe warning on the state of the economy. When discussing inflation, Russia’s war, massive rate hikes, and “unknown” unknowns on the markets… Dimon warned that a recession is coming. "These are very, very serious things which I think are likely to push the U.S. and the world — I mean, Europe is already in recession — and they're likely to put the U.S. in some kind of recession six to nine months from now," Dimon told CNBC. Dimon said the S&P 500 could drop by another 20% before it’s all over. He projected that the next 20% decline would be much more painful than the first - signaling the possibility of a dramatic downturn. We haven’t experienced forced selling yet among pensions and other large funds. For the last few months, many investors have speculated that we’ll follow a similar pattern to the 2001 and 2008 crashes. But I’ve noted that the 2018 pattern from the markets could lure some investors into a false sense of security before we finally get capitulation. In 2018, the Fed engaged in its rate tightening and sold assets from its balance sheet - much like what we witnessed this year. As a result, the S&P 500 bounced in a range for three months before we finally experienced a dramatic 19.8% decline in December 2018. I expect to see something similar. The question is what the Fed would do in this situation… In 2018, when the markets tanked, the Fed pivoted to increase its balance sheet and cut interest rates. Our high inflation levels remain the difference between then and now. I am very concerned that inflation will remain entrenched - and that the Fed would need to go even higher on interest rates to flush out the system thoroughly. The consequences of this would be gruesome - but we are trying to undo 14 years of excess in less than 12 months. When we make it to the other side of what is coming, you’ll want to start a transition toward assets like energy, food, housing, and other commodities. The stuff that matters in this economy - the things we need to survive - will sit at the center of future monetary regimes. I’ll explain how to start targeting these companies when the time is right. Enjoy your day, [Garrett signature] Garrett {NAME} Chief Analyst, American Markets --------------------------------------------------------------- [] Pick the Perfect Apple Trade -- with 70% Success Rate and a 3-to-1 Reward-to-Risk Ratio [apples in basket]( [Learn the method here]( --------------------------------------------------------------- [] [] Pick the Perfect Apple Trade -- with 70% Success Rate and a 3-to-1 Reward-to-Risk Ratio [apples in basket]( [Learn the method here]( --------------------------------------------------------------- [] [] [] Has This Group of Remarkable Traders Discovered the PERFECT AAPL Trade? If you ever thought that it’s way too late to see significant movement in major stocks like AAPL... You need to think again… The Perfect Apple Trade Has Been Discovered Thanks to the help of a maverick group of former Wall Street traders… and a state-of-the-art artificial intelligence platform… California tech wiz and renowned trader Micah Lamar has uncovered obscure “trade cycles” in AAPL shares capable of signaling major movement… All in a matter of days... These Aren’t Common Results Nearly all market analysts are clueless about these moves… But Micah’s proprietary system has been able to predict significant moves in AAPL stock… over and over again. Now, You Can See the System for Yourself! He’ll walk you through his AAPL system step-by-step… and answer the most common questions he sees... You’ll even be able to gain access to Micah’s proprietary Apple trading tool… Plus, you’ll see the remarkable results Micah’s system has returned, just by placing one trade on iconic Apple Inc., the crown jewel of tech stocks… [Click here to gain immediate access to this presentation]( You’ll be one of the lucky few to see the Perfect Apple Trade system yourself… And meet the brilliant inventor behind this system… [Catch it all here]( --------------------------------------------------------------- [] [] [] Has This Group of Remarkable Traders Discovered the PERFECT AAPL Trade? If you ever thought that it’s way too late to see significant movement in major stocks like AAPL... You need to think again… The Perfect Apple Trade Has Been Discovered Thanks to the help of a maverick group of former Wall Street traders… and a state-of-the-art artificial intelligence platform… California tech wiz and renowned trader Micah Lamar has uncovered obscure “trade cycles” in AAPL shares capable of signaling major movement… All in a matter of days... These Aren’t Common Results Nearly all market analysts are clueless about these moves… But Micah’s proprietary system has been able to predict significant moves in AAPL stock… over and over again. Now, You Can See the System for Yourself! He’ll walk you through his AAPL system step-by-step… and answer the most common questions he sees... You’ll even be able to gain access to Micah’s proprietary Apple trading tool… Plus, you’ll see the remarkable results Micah’s system has returned, just by placing one trade on iconic Apple Inc., the crown jewel of tech stocks… [Click here to gain immediate access to this presentation]( You’ll be one of the lucky few to see the Perfect Apple Trade system yourself… And meet the brilliant inventor behind this system… [Catch it all here]( --------------------------------------------------------------- [] [] Article Recap - [I Think It's Starting](#i572731) - [Has This Group of Remarkable Traders Discovered the PERFECT AAPL Trade?](#156382) --------------------------------------------------------------- [] Article Recap - [I Think It's Starting](#i572731) - [Has This Group of Remarkable Traders Discovered the PERFECT AAPL Trade?](#156382) --------------------------------------------------------------- [] © 2022 Godesburg Financial Publishing, Inc. DISCLAIMER: COMMUNICATIONS FROM GODESBURG FINANCIAL PUBLISHING (GFP) ARE FOR EDUCATIONAL AND INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY – NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE: GFP and all the services it offers are for educational and informational purposes only and should NOT be understood to be securities-related offers or solicitations. None of GFP’s communications should be considered or used as personalized investment advice. GFP recommends that you speak with a licensed professional before making any investment decision. RESULTS PRESENTED ARE NOT NECCESSARILY TYPICAL OR VERIFIED: GFP communications may include information regarding the historical trading performance of gurus in their services (all verified by a third party), as well as testimonials of non-employees depicting profitable investments and trades that are believed to be true based on the representations of the persons providing the testimonial of their own free will. Please be aware that the claims regarding investing or trading results of non-employees are not tracked by GFP nor can they be verified. As always, past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Therefore, results presented in this email should NOT be considered TYPICAL. Actual results can and will vary based on everything from experience, ability, risk mitigation practices, and market volatility... to the amount of money exposed in the investment or trade. Investing and trading are speculative and carry serious risk. You may lose some, all - or possibly more - than your original investment or trade. GODESBURG FINANCIAL PUBLISHING IS NOT AN INVESTMENT ADVISOR OR REGISTERED BROKER: GFP, including its owners and employees, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers, brokers, or any sort of registered investment advisors with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, any state securities regulatory authorities, or any self-regulatory organizations. GODESBURG FINANCIAL PUBLISHING EMPLOYEES MAY HOLD SECURITIES DISCUSSED: If a writer holds any securities in a communication, it will be disclosed along with the information on the potential investment or trade. HIR, its owners or employees, have not been - or ever will be - paid by the issuer of a security mentioned in our services or communications. GFP, its owners and employees are paid entirely or in part from commissions based on sales of their services to subscribers. For more information, please visit [our disclaimer page here.]( Sent to: {EMAIL} [Unsubscribe]( Godesburg Financial Publishing Inc., 251 Little Falls Drive, Wilmington, DE 19808, United States [] © 2022 Godesburg Financial Publishing, Inc. DISCLAIMER: COMMUNICATIONS FROM GODESBURG FINANCIAL PUBLISHING (GFP) ARE FOR EDUCATIONAL AND INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY – NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE: GFP and all the services it offers are for educational and informational purposes only and should NOT be understood to be securities-related offers or solicitations. None of GFP’s communications should be considered or used as personalized investment advice. GFP recommends that you speak with a licensed professional before making any investment decision. RESULTS PRESENTED ARE NOT NECCESSARILY TYPICAL OR VERIFIED: GFP communications may include information regarding the historical trading performance of gurus in their services (all verified by a third party), as well as testimonials of non-employees depicting profitable investments and trades that are believed to be true based on the representations of the persons providing the testimonial of their own free will. Please be aware that the claims regarding investing or trading results of non-employees are not tracked by GFP nor can they be verified. As always, past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Therefore, results presented in this email should NOT be considered TYPICAL. Actual results can and will vary based on everything from experience, ability, risk mitigation practices, and market volatility... to the amount of money exposed in the investment or trade. Investing and trading are speculative and carry serious risk. You may lose some, all - or possibly more - than your original investment or trade. GODESBURG FINANCIAL PUBLISHING IS NOT AN INVESTMENT ADVISOR OR REGISTERED BROKER: GFP, including its owners and employees, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers, brokers, or any sort of registered investment advisors with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, any state securities regulatory authorities, or any self-regulatory organizations. GODESBURG FINANCIAL PUBLISHING EMPLOYEES MAY HOLD SECURITIES DISCUSSED: If a writer holds any securities in a communication, it will be disclosed along with the information on the potential investment or trade. HIR, its owners or employees, have not been - or ever will be - paid by the issuer of a security mentioned in our services or communications. GFP, its owners and employees are paid entirely or in part from commissions based on sales of their services to subscribers. For more information, please visit [our disclaimer page here.]( Sent to: {EMAIL} [Unsubscribe]( Godesburg Financial Publishing Inc., 251 Little Falls Drive, Wilmington, DE 19808, United States

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