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This Isn't Good...

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godesburgfinancialpublishing.com

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Wed, Oct 5, 2022 10:44 PM

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. Oil prices pushed higher on Wednesday after OPEC+ announced plans to cut production by two million

[] Oil prices pushed higher on Wednesday after OPEC+ announced plans to cut production by two million barrels per day. This is a huge blow to U.S. markets. [View in browser]( . Oil prices pushed higher on Wednesday after OPEC+ announced plans to cut production by two million barrels per day. This is a huge blow to U.S. markets. [View in browser]( . . [] [Havens Investment Letter] [] [Havens Investment Letter] [] [] [] 70% Success Rate Trading the Crown Jewel of Tech Stocks?! That’s the remarkable track record Micah Lamar boasts with the “Perfect Apple Trade.” And Micah is sharing details on how others can get in on these trades. [Click here to see the broadcast now]( [] --------------------------------------------------------------- [] 70% Success Rate Trading the Crown Jewel of Tech Stocks?! That’s the remarkable track record Micah Lamar boasts with the “Perfect Apple Trade.” And Micah is sharing details on how others can get in on these trades. [Click here to see the broadcast now]( [] --------------------------------------------------------------- [] [] This Isn't Good [Garrett Pic] Market momentum is Yellow, but it’s hard to trust the move as the S&P 500 bounces against resistance. Moreover, the markets are betting against the Fed while coming off oversold conditions from Friday. As a result, I’ve held SPY since Monday morning, but I’m not looking to trade much else in this environment until I indicate that a sustainable rally is in order. Dear Investor, Today, OPEC+ - the global energy cartel that dominates the international energy market - announced plans to cut oil production by two million barrels per day. This news is a huge blow to the United States, which had jockeyed for more production from Saudi Arabia in the wake of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. The following chart notes that Russia and Saudi Arabia will account for more than one million barrels combined. This suggests that the two nations are cooperating to help elevate prices for the foreseeable future. This is a major blow to the Biden Administration. For months, the Biden Administration has sold one million barrels daily from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve. That has helped lower oil and gasoline prices here in the United States. But the government is slated to stop this effort in October. As a result, the Reserve has only 22 days of U.S. demand left - raising severe red flags about the nation’s energy security. Meanwhile, U.S. energy companies have started to reduce production - largely thanks to concerns about a recession and lingering worries about energy policy that has deterred investment in the space. Saudi Arabia has created a floor for Brent crude prices (the global oil benchmark) at roughly $90 per barrel. WTI crude - the U.S. benchmark - is rising in response. The Biden administration is looking at new policies that might help reduce prices at home - especially ahead of this election. I’ve heard speculation that the administration could consider a ban on U.S. oil exports. This proposition would be disastrous to the global economy in an energy crisis and chip about $45 billion in GDP away in 2023. This would be a modern version of putting tariffs on the economy during the Great Depression. It’s a short-term Band-Aid that would have global repercussions. Assuming that oil prices find support at the $85 to $90 level, now is the time to pounce on the oil producers in the Permian Basin. I’ve long championed Devon Energy (DVN), ConocoPhillips (COP), Occidental (OXY), and Marathon Oil (MRO). But instead of just buying the stocks at today’s prices, consider this trade. Credit Spread Today, Occidental Petroleum traded at $67.74. At this price, it might be a bargain. But why buy 100 shares at this level, when you can sell a credit spread and lock in a price that may be far more attractive. Warren Buffett and his company Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A) have been loading up on OXY stock every time shares fall to the $57 to $59 level. Let’s take advantage. If you sell the November 11, 2022, $58 put, you can generate $1.34 for that credit. This means you’d receive $134 for every contract for 100 shares. But just selling puts would require at least $5,666 in margin. That doesn’t work. So, you can then purchase the November 11, 2022, $55 put for $0.87 (or $87). This creates a spread that gives you a credit of $47 and a breakeven on OXY stock at $57.53. Now, you won’t need as much margin. You’ll effectively risk $253 to generate an 18.6% return over the next month. So your probability of profit is north of 83%. I want to stress what this means for you. Imagine that you bought 100 shares of the stock for $6,700 today. If the stock falls to $59 by November 11, you will LOSE $800. But if you sell the credit spread, the stock falls to $59 and never falls under the strike price of the put you sold, you’d make money. The potential return here is 18.6% in less than 35 days (or 178% annualized). In this market, it’s tough to time when oil prices might rise higher and higher. Instead of chasing stocks higher with high-priced options, consider improving your profit probability and shooting for annualized gains that are well into triple digits. Enjoy your weekend, [Garrett signature] Garrett {NAME} Chief Analyst, American Markets [] --------------------------------------------------------------- [] [] This Isn't Good [Garrett Pic] Market momentum is Yellow, but it’s hard to trust the move as the S&P 500 bounces against resistance. Moreover, the markets are betting against the Fed while coming off oversold conditions from Friday. As a result, I’ve held SPY since Monday morning, but I’m not looking to trade much else in this environment until I indicate that a sustainable rally is in order. Dear Investor, Today, OPEC+ - the global energy cartel that dominates the international energy market - announced plans to cut oil production by two million barrels per day. This news is a huge blow to the United States, which had jockeyed for more production from Saudi Arabia in the wake of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. The following chart notes that Russia and Saudi Arabia will account for more than one million barrels combined. This suggests that the two nations are cooperating to help elevate prices for the foreseeable future. This is a major blow to the Biden Administration. For months, the Biden Administration has sold one million barrels daily from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve. That has helped lower oil and gasoline prices here in the United States. But the government is slated to stop this effort in October. As a result, the Reserve has only 22 days of U.S. demand left - raising severe red flags about the nation’s energy security. Meanwhile, U.S. energy companies have started to reduce production - largely thanks to concerns about a recession and lingering worries about energy policy that has deterred investment in the space. Saudi Arabia has created a floor for Brent crude prices (the global oil benchmark) at roughly $90 per barrel. WTI crude - the U.S. benchmark - is rising in response. The Biden administration is looking at new policies that might help reduce prices at home - especially ahead of this election. I’ve heard speculation that the administration could consider a ban on U.S. oil exports. This proposition would be disastrous to the global economy in an energy crisis and chip about $45 billion in GDP away in 2023. This would be a modern version of putting tariffs on the economy during the Great Depression. It’s a short-term Band-Aid that would have global repercussions. Assuming that oil prices find support at the $85 to $90 level, now is the time to pounce on the oil producers in the Permian Basin. I’ve long championed Devon Energy (DVN), ConocoPhillips (COP), Occidental (OXY), and Marathon Oil (MRO). But instead of just buying the stocks at today’s prices, consider this trade. Credit Spread Today, Occidental Petroleum traded at $67.74. At this price, it might be a bargain. But why buy 100 shares at this level, when you can sell a credit spread and lock in a price that may be far more attractive. Warren Buffett and his company Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A) have been loading up on OXY stock every time shares fall to the $57 to $59 level. Let’s take advantage. If you sell the November 11, 2022, $58 put, you can generate $1.34 for that credit. This means you’d receive $134 for every contract for 100 shares. But just selling puts would require at least $5,666 in margin. That doesn’t work. So, you can then purchase the November 11, 2022, $55 put for $0.87 (or $87). This creates a spread that gives you a credit of $47 and a breakeven on OXY stock at $57.53. Now, you won’t need as much margin. You’ll effectively risk $253 to generate an 18.6% return over the next month. So your probability of profit is north of 83%. I want to stress what this means for you. Imagine that you bought 100 shares of the stock for $6,700 today. If the stock falls to $59 by November 11, you will LOSE $800. But if you sell the credit spread, the stock falls to $59 and never falls under the strike price of the put you sold, you’d make money. The potential return here is 18.6% in less than 35 days (or 178% annualized). In this market, it’s tough to time when oil prices might rise higher and higher. Instead of chasing stocks higher with high-priced options, consider improving your profit probability and shooting for annualized gains that are well into triple digits. Enjoy your weekend, [Garrett signature] Garrett {NAME} Chief Analyst, American Markets --------------------------------------------------------------- [] Pick the Perfect Apple Trade -- with 70% Success Rate and a 3-to-1 Reward-to-Risk Ratio [apples in basket]( [Learn the method here]( --------------------------------------------------------------- [] [] Pick the Perfect Apple Trade -- with 70% Success Rate and a 3-to-1 Reward-to-Risk Ratio [apples in basket]( [Learn the method here]( --------------------------------------------------------------- [] [] [] Now Available: The Brainchild of Wall Street Mavericks — the Perfect Apple Trade If you ever thought that it’s way too late to see significant movement in major stocks like AAPL... You need to think again… The Perfect Apple Trade Has Been Discovered Thanks to the help of a maverick group of former Wall Street traders… and a state-of-the-art artificial intelligence platform… California tech wiz and renowned trader Micah Lamar has uncovered obscure “trade cycles” in AAPL shares capable of signaling major movement… All in a matter of days... These Aren’t Common Results Nearly all market analysts are clueless about these moves… But Micah’s proprietary system has been able to predict significant moves in AAPL stock… over and over again. Now, You Can See the System for Yourself! He’ll walk you through his AAPL system step-by-step… and answer the most common questions he sees... You’ll even be able to gain access to Micah’s proprietary Apple trading tool… Plus, you’ll see the remarkable results Micah’s system has returned, just by placing one trade on iconic Apple Inc., the crown jewel of tech stocks… [Click here to gain immediate access to this presentation]( You’ll be one of the lucky few to see the Perfect Apple Trade system yourself… And meet the brilliant inventor behind this system… [Catch it all here]( --------------------------------------------------------------- [] [] [] Now Available: The Brainchild of Wall Street Mavericks — the Perfect Apple Trade If you ever thought that it’s way too late to see significant movement in major stocks like AAPL... You need to think again… The Perfect Apple Trade Has Been Discovered Thanks to the help of a maverick group of former Wall Street traders… and a state-of-the-art artificial intelligence platform… California tech wiz and renowned trader Micah Lamar has uncovered obscure “trade cycles” in AAPL shares capable of signaling major movement… All in a matter of days... These Aren’t Common Results Nearly all market analysts are clueless about these moves… But Micah’s proprietary system has been able to predict significant moves in AAPL stock… over and over again. Now, You Can See the System for Yourself! He’ll walk you through his AAPL system step-by-step… and answer the most common questions he sees... You’ll even be able to gain access to Micah’s proprietary Apple trading tool… Plus, you’ll see the remarkable results Micah’s system has returned, just by placing one trade on iconic Apple Inc., the crown jewel of tech stocks… [Click here to gain immediate access to this presentation]( You’ll be one of the lucky few to see the Perfect Apple Trade system yourself… And meet the brilliant inventor behind this system… [Catch it all here]( --------------------------------------------------------------- [] [] Article Recap - [This Isn't Good](#i572731) - [Now Available: The Brainchild of Wall Street Mavericks — the Perfect Apple Trade](#156381) --------------------------------------------------------------- [] Article Recap - [This Isn't Good](#i572731) - [Now Available: The Brainchild of Wall Street Mavericks — the Perfect Apple Trade](#156381) --------------------------------------------------------------- [] © 2022 Godesburg Financial Publishing, Inc. DISCLAIMER: COMMUNICATIONS FROM GODESBURG FINANCIAL PUBLISHING (GFP) ARE FOR EDUCATIONAL AND INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY – NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE: GFP and all the services it offers are for educational and informational purposes only and should NOT be understood to be securities-related offers or solicitations. None of GFP’s communications should be considered or used as personalized investment advice. GFP recommends that you speak with a licensed professional before making any investment decision. RESULTS PRESENTED ARE NOT NECCESSARILY TYPICAL OR VERIFIED: GFP communications may include information regarding the historical trading performance of gurus in their services (all verified by a third party), as well as testimonials of non-employees depicting profitable investments and trades that are believed to be true based on the representations of the persons providing the testimonial of their own free will. Please be aware that the claims regarding investing or trading results of non-employees are not tracked by GFP nor can they be verified. As always, past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Therefore, results presented in this email should NOT be considered TYPICAL. Actual results can and will vary based on everything from experience, ability, risk mitigation practices, and market volatility... to the amount of money exposed in the investment or trade. Investing and trading are speculative and carry serious risk. You may lose some, all - or possibly more - than your original investment or trade. GODESBURG FINANCIAL PUBLISHING IS NOT AN INVESTMENT ADVISOR OR REGISTERED BROKER: GFP, including its owners and employees, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers, brokers, or any sort of registered investment advisors with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, any state securities regulatory authorities, or any self-regulatory organizations. GODESBURG FINANCIAL PUBLISHING EMPLOYEES MAY HOLD SECURITIES DISCUSSED: If a writer holds any securities in a communication, it will be disclosed along with the information on the potential investment or trade. HIR, its owners or employees, have not been - or ever will be - paid by the issuer of a security mentioned in our services or communications. GFP, its owners and employees are paid entirely or in part from commissions based on sales of their services to subscribers. For more information, please visit [our disclaimer page here.]( Sent to: {EMAIL} [Unsubscribe]( Godesburg Financial Publishing Inc., 251 Little Falls Drive, Wilmington, DE 19808, United States [] © 2022 Godesburg Financial Publishing, Inc. DISCLAIMER: COMMUNICATIONS FROM GODESBURG FINANCIAL PUBLISHING (GFP) ARE FOR EDUCATIONAL AND INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY – NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE: GFP and all the services it offers are for educational and informational purposes only and should NOT be understood to be securities-related offers or solicitations. None of GFP’s communications should be considered or used as personalized investment advice. GFP recommends that you speak with a licensed professional before making any investment decision. RESULTS PRESENTED ARE NOT NECCESSARILY TYPICAL OR VERIFIED: GFP communications may include information regarding the historical trading performance of gurus in their services (all verified by a third party), as well as testimonials of non-employees depicting profitable investments and trades that are believed to be true based on the representations of the persons providing the testimonial of their own free will. Please be aware that the claims regarding investing or trading results of non-employees are not tracked by GFP nor can they be verified. As always, past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Therefore, results presented in this email should NOT be considered TYPICAL. Actual results can and will vary based on everything from experience, ability, risk mitigation practices, and market volatility... to the amount of money exposed in the investment or trade. Investing and trading are speculative and carry serious risk. You may lose some, all - or possibly more - than your original investment or trade. GODESBURG FINANCIAL PUBLISHING IS NOT AN INVESTMENT ADVISOR OR REGISTERED BROKER: GFP, including its owners and employees, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers, brokers, or any sort of registered investment advisors with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, any state securities regulatory authorities, or any self-regulatory organizations. GODESBURG FINANCIAL PUBLISHING EMPLOYEES MAY HOLD SECURITIES DISCUSSED: If a writer holds any securities in a communication, it will be disclosed along with the information on the potential investment or trade. HIR, its owners or employees, have not been - or ever will be - paid by the issuer of a security mentioned in our services or communications. GFP, its owners and employees are paid entirely or in part from commissions based on sales of their services to subscribers. For more information, please visit [our disclaimer page here.]( Sent to: {EMAIL} [Unsubscribe]( Godesburg Financial Publishing Inc., 251 Little Falls Drive, Wilmington, DE 19808, United States

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