Is My Home in the Gulf of Mexico Yet?

[] The retail sector is facing new pressures from Amazon, which just announced yet another prime event day in October. How will retail stocks respond to this news during existing inventory challenges. [View in browser]( . The retail sector is facing new pressures from Amazon, which just announced yet another prime event day in October. How will retail stocks respond to this news during existing inventory challenges. [View in browser]( . . [] [Havens Investment Letter] [] [Havens Investment Letter] [] [] [] Day Trading Crash Course The "Day Trading Crash Course" includes everything you will need on the path to market mastery... including hundreds of hours of recorded Q&A strategy sessions -- a $997 value... Just $9 gets you a full week of access! [Start your day trading journey today!]( [] --------------------------------------------------------------- [] Day Trading Crash Course The "Day Trading Crash Course" includes everything you will need on the path to market mastery... including hundreds of hours of recorded Q&A strategy sessions -- a $997 value... Just $9 gets you a full week of access! [Start your day trading journey today!]( [] --------------------------------------------------------------- [] [] Is My Home in the Gulf of Mexico Yet? [Garrett Pic] Momentum remains Red, but the markets are in flux as global challenges on energy and currencies rattle Europe. Energy remains under pressure due to concerns about a recession, and the leadership in Washington fails to understand the looming economic threat. Oh, and it doesn’t help that Vladimir Putin is still threatening the West with nuclear weapons. Seems that the best part of September is the hurricane about to hit my house. Dear Investor, Greetings from a street that is likely underwater. While the rest of the world is focused on a crashing British Pound, cratering oil prices, nuclear threats, and “CLIMATE CHANGE (Snicker)” - a seasonal hurricane has made its way into my line of vision. As you read this, the storm is hitting the outskirts of Fort Myers. If my power is out right now, that means we’re playing card games in the dark. School is canceled. It’s a good thing I don’t have all my money in Bitcoin (how on earth would I access it?) The least I can do today is offer you a little insight into how to navigate this market - even with the lights off. Worries for Retail I firmly believe we are in a recession - and that we won’t see positive economic growth until the end of the second quarter in 2023. As I’ve noted, Eric Basmajian has pointed out the “Most Important Chart in Economics” (Click on the image to view it larger). It explains that housing and consumer cyclical spending drive economic expansion and contraction in a normal economy. Does it feel like the housing market is strong right now? Since 70% of the U.S. economy is driven by consumer spending… and more Americans are putting everything on the credit card, the retail sector will likely face an incredibly difficult fourth quarter. That quarter centers around the holidays. And I can’t imagine that this will be as robust of a holiday as in the past. And the retail industry can thank Amazon.com (AMZN) for making things even more difficult. A new report signals that the nation’s largest e-commerce giant is planning a second Prime Day event in the middle of October. This is four to six weeks ahead of the Black Friday extravaganza of every major retail outlet. (Why don’t they get it over with and just have Black Friday in July at this point?) Retail companies are already facing inventory pressures this year, and Amazon jumping the line with new promotions only creates new promotions. If companies move their product events forward, this increases marketing budgets and likely lowers margins of items on sale. This is a hostile effort by Amazon to not only snatch market share, but also accelerate balance sheet problems for its rivals. [I have written at length]( about the competitive pressures of Amazon - especially the hostile way that they use their balance sheet against their own suppliers. It’s very clear to me that regulators don’t understand the company’s true competitive advantages. And Amazon will only continue to gain ground and hurt competition through these anti-competitive practices. The Federal Reserve released its latest “Dot Plot” forecast for future rate moves. The dots you see are the projected peak interest rate levels among the Fed Open Market Committee members - the voting band of merry central bankers - that set the Fed funds rate. As you see below, the Fed will likely raise interest rates from 3% today to at least 4.25% at the end of the year. This means another 75-point hike in November and a 50-point hike in December. The Fed believes it will start to contain inflation, with rates pushing up to 4.5%-4.75% in 2023. At that point, the Dot Plot suggests, the Fed will begin to cut interest rates to support the economy in 2024 and 2025. Not so fast, my friends. As I’m about to show you, the Fed has no chance of bringing interest rates back down to 2% by 2025 without causing a significant financial crisis. Have a look at this chart. This tracks every major economy that has experienced inflation of over 5% in the last 40 years. We’re looking at how long it took a nation with inflation over 5% to bring its inflation level back down to the 2% target. The average time: Ten years. The Fed was incredibly off about its predictions for the previous 12 months. On what planet would I trust them over the next 36 months? Cash remains your friend… even while they destroy it. Enjoy your day, [Garrett signature] Garrett {NAME} Chief Analyst, American Markets [] --------------------------------------------------------------- [] [] Is My Home in the Gulf of Mexico Yet? [Garrett Pic] Momentum remains Red, but the markets are in flux as global challenges on energy and currencies rattle Europe. Energy remains under pressure due to concerns about a recession, and the leadership in Washington fails to understand the looming economic threat. Oh, and it doesn’t help that Vladimir Putin is still threatening the West with nuclear weapons. Seems that the best part of September is the hurricane about to hit my house. Dear Investor, Greetings from a street that is likely underwater. While the rest of the world is focused on a crashing British Pound, cratering oil prices, nuclear threats, and “CLIMATE CHANGE (Snicker)” - a seasonal hurricane has made its way into my line of vision. As you read this, the storm is hitting the outskirts of Fort Myers. If my power is out right now, that means we’re playing card games in the dark. School is canceled. It’s a good thing I don’t have all my money in Bitcoin (how on earth would I access it?) The least I can do today is offer you a little insight into how to navigate this market - even with the lights off. Worries for Retail I firmly believe we are in a recession - and that we won’t see positive economic growth until the end of the second quarter in 2023. As I’ve noted, Eric Basmajian has pointed out the “Most Important Chart in Economics” (Click on the image to view it larger). It explains that housing and consumer cyclical spending drive economic expansion and contraction in a normal economy. Does it feel like the housing market is strong right now? Since 70% of the U.S. economy is driven by consumer spending… and more Americans are putting everything on the credit card, the retail sector will likely face an incredibly difficult fourth quarter. That quarter centers around the holidays. And I can’t imagine that this will be as robust of a holiday as in the past. And the retail industry can thank Amazon.com (AMZN) for making things even more difficult. A new report signals that the nation’s largest e-commerce giant is planning a second Prime Day event in the middle of October. This is four to six weeks ahead of the Black Friday extravaganza of every major retail outlet. (Why don’t they get it over with and just have Black Friday in July at this point?) Retail companies are already facing inventory pressures this year, and Amazon jumping the line with new promotions only creates new promotions. If companies move their product events forward, this increases marketing budgets and likely lowers margins of items on sale. This is a hostile effort by Amazon to not only snatch market share, but also accelerate balance sheet problems for its rivals. [I have written at length]( about the competitive pressures of Amazon - especially the hostile way that they use their balance sheet against their own suppliers. It’s very clear to me that regulators don’t understand the company’s true competitive advantages. And Amazon will only continue to gain ground and hurt competition through these anti-competitive practices. The Federal Reserve released its latest “Dot Plot” forecast for future rate moves. The dots you see are the projected peak interest rate levels among the Fed Open Market Committee members - the voting band of merry central bankers - that set the Fed funds rate. As you see below, the Fed will likely raise interest rates from 3% today to at least 4.25% at the end of the year. This means another 75-point hike in November and a 50-point hike in December. The Fed believes it will start to contain inflation, with rates pushing up to 4.5%-4.75% in 2023. At that point, the Dot Plot suggests, the Fed will begin to cut interest rates to support the economy in 2024 and 2025. Not so fast, my friends. As I’m about to show you, the Fed has no chance of bringing interest rates back down to 2% by 2025 without causing a significant financial crisis. Have a look at this chart. This tracks every major economy that has experienced inflation of over 5% in the last 40 years. We’re looking at how long it took a nation with inflation over 5% to bring its inflation level back down to the 2% target. The average time: Ten years. The Fed was incredibly off about its predictions for the previous 12 months. On what planet would I trust them over the next 36 months? Cash remains your friend… even while they destroy it. Enjoy your day, [Garrett signature] Garrett {NAME} Chief Analyst, American Markets --------------------------------------------------------------- [] Pick the Perfect Apple Trade -- with 70% Success Rate and a 3-to-1 Reward-to-Risk Ratio [apples in basket]( [Learn the method here]( --------------------------------------------------------------- [] [] Pick the Perfect Apple Trade -- with 70% Success Rate and a 3-to-1 Reward-to-Risk Ratio [apples in basket]( [Learn the method here]( --------------------------------------------------------------- [] [] [] Is Trading AAPL Stock and Finding Meaningful Movement Still Possible? There are thousands of stocks moving in the market every single day… But few draw the level of focus, attention, and excitement as Apple, Inc. (AAPL). AAPL is the Biggest, Richest, and One of the Most Widely Traded Stocks in the World Apple was the first company to hit a market cap of $1 trillion or more, and they now have a market cap of over $2.6 trillion. With an average daily volume of almost 90 million, it is also one of the most widely-traded companies in the world. Even Warren Buffett himself owns more a higher stake in AAPL than in any other company. All This Interest in AAPL Creates One Major Problem With so much interest in such a popular, widely discussed stock, there’s a clear problem. Is it really possible for traders to reach in and grab meaningful trade movement from AAPL shares? Can traders really hope to still trade this crown jewel of tech stocks? Thanks to a Reclusive California Tech Wiz, the Path for Trading AAPL is Clear Thanks to the work of a rogue group of former Wall Street traders, led by a brilliant California tech wiz, they can! Micah Lamar, the brain behind one of the most powerful trade-testing softwares on the planet, has uncovered what he calls “The Perfect AAPL Trade.” [>> See this remarkable system in action here <<]( With a groundbreaking combination of indicators, Micah has perfected a system that now carries an almost-70% win rate… And a reward-to-risk ratio of 3-to-1… And he recently shared that system with the public for the very first time. [Click here right away to learn everything about the Perfect Apple Trade]( --------------------------------------------------------------- [] [] [] Is Trading AAPL Stock and Finding Meaningful Movement Still Possible? There are thousands of stocks moving in the market every single day… But few draw the level of focus, attention, and excitement as Apple, Inc. (AAPL). AAPL is the Biggest, Richest, and One of the Most Widely Traded Stocks in the World Apple was the first company to hit a market cap of $1 trillion or more, and they now have a market cap of over $2.6 trillion. With an average daily volume of almost 90 million, it is also one of the most widely-traded companies in the world. Even Warren Buffett himself owns more a higher stake in AAPL than in any other company. All This Interest in AAPL Creates One Major Problem With so much interest in such a popular, widely discussed stock, there’s a clear problem. Is it really possible for traders to reach in and grab meaningful trade movement from AAPL shares? Can traders really hope to still trade this crown jewel of tech stocks? Thanks to a Reclusive California Tech Wiz, the Path for Trading AAPL is Clear Thanks to the work of a rogue group of former Wall Street traders, led by a brilliant California tech wiz, they can! Micah Lamar, the brain behind one of the most powerful trade-testing softwares on the planet, has uncovered what he calls “The Perfect AAPL Trade.” [>> See this remarkable system in action here <<]( With a groundbreaking combination of indicators, Micah has perfected a system that now carries an almost-70% win rate… And a reward-to-risk ratio of 3-to-1… And he recently shared that system with the public for the very first time. [Click here right away to learn everything about the Perfect Apple Trade]( --------------------------------------------------------------- [] [] Article Recap - [Is My Home in the Gulf of Mexico Yet?](#i572731) - [Is Trading AAPL Stock and Finding Meaningful Movement Still Possible?](#156383) --------------------------------------------------------------- [] Article Recap - [Is My Home in the Gulf of Mexico Yet?](#i572731) - [Is Trading AAPL Stock and Finding Meaningful Movement Still Possible?](#156383) --------------------------------------------------------------- [] © 2022 Godesburg Financial Publishing, Inc. DISCLAIMER: COMMUNICATIONS FROM GODESBURG FINANCIAL PUBLISHING (GFP) ARE FOR EDUCATIONAL AND INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY – NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE: GFP and all the services it offers are for educational and informational purposes only and should NOT be understood to be securities-related offers or solicitations. None of GFP’s communications should be considered or used as personalized investment advice. GFP recommends that you speak with a licensed professional before making any investment decision. RESULTS PRESENTED ARE NOT NECCESSARILY TYPICAL OR VERIFIED: GFP communications may include information regarding the historical trading performance of gurus in their services (all verified by a third party), as well as testimonials of non-employees depicting profitable investments and trades that are believed to be true based on the representations of the persons providing the testimonial of their own free will. Please be aware that the claims regarding investing or trading results of non-employees are not tracked by GFP nor can they be verified. As always, past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Therefore, results presented in this email should NOT be considered TYPICAL. Actual results can and will vary based on everything from experience, ability, risk mitigation practices, and market volatility... to the amount of money exposed in the investment or trade. Investing and trading are speculative and carry serious risk. You may lose some, all - or possibly more - than your original investment or trade. GODESBURG FINANCIAL PUBLISHING IS NOT AN INVESTMENT ADVISOR OR REGISTERED BROKER: GFP, including its owners and employees, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers, brokers, or any sort of registered investment advisors with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, any state securities regulatory authorities, or any self-regulatory organizations. GODESBURG FINANCIAL PUBLISHING EMPLOYEES MAY HOLD SECURITIES DISCUSSED: If a writer holds any securities in a communication, it will be disclosed along with the information on the potential investment or trade. HIR, its owners or employees, have not been - or ever will be - paid by the issuer of a security mentioned in our services or communications. GFP, its owners and employees are paid entirely or in part from commissions based on sales of their services to subscribers. For more information, please visit [our disclaimer page here.]( Sent to: {EMAIL} [Unsubscribe]( Godesburg Financial Publishing Inc., 251 Little Falls Drive, Wilmington, DE 19808, United States [] © 2022 Godesburg Financial Publishing, Inc. DISCLAIMER: COMMUNICATIONS FROM GODESBURG FINANCIAL PUBLISHING (GFP) ARE FOR EDUCATIONAL AND INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY – NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE: GFP and all the services it offers are for educational and informational purposes only and should NOT be understood to be securities-related offers or solicitations. None of GFP’s communications should be considered or used as personalized investment advice. GFP recommends that you speak with a licensed professional before making any investment decision. RESULTS PRESENTED ARE NOT NECCESSARILY TYPICAL OR VERIFIED: GFP communications may include information regarding the historical trading performance of gurus in their services (all verified by a third party), as well as testimonials of non-employees depicting profitable investments and trades that are believed to be true based on the representations of the persons providing the testimonial of their own free will. Please be aware that the claims regarding investing or trading results of non-employees are not tracked by GFP nor can they be verified. As always, past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Therefore, results presented in this email should NOT be considered TYPICAL. Actual results can and will vary based on everything from experience, ability, risk mitigation practices, and market volatility... to the amount of money exposed in the investment or trade. Investing and trading are speculative and carry serious risk. You may lose some, all - or possibly more - than your original investment or trade. GODESBURG FINANCIAL PUBLISHING IS NOT AN INVESTMENT ADVISOR OR REGISTERED BROKER: GFP, including its owners and employees, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers, brokers, or any sort of registered investment advisors with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, any state securities regulatory authorities, or any self-regulatory organizations. GODESBURG FINANCIAL PUBLISHING EMPLOYEES MAY HOLD SECURITIES DISCUSSED: If a writer holds any securities in a communication, it will be disclosed along with the information on the potential investment or trade. HIR, its owners or employees, have not been - or ever will be - paid by the issuer of a security mentioned in our services or communications. GFP, its owners and employees are paid entirely or in part from commissions based on sales of their services to subscribers. For more information, please visit [our disclaimer page here.]( Sent to: {EMAIL} [Unsubscribe]( Godesburg Financial Publishing Inc., 251 Little Falls Drive, Wilmington, DE 19808, United States