Three Charts for Hurricane Weather

[] Hurricane Ian is fast approaching the Florida coast. So, let’s take a day to look at some data that may impact your investments over the next four to five months. [View in browser]( . Hurricane Ian is fast approaching the Florida coast. So, let’s take a day to look at some data that may impact your investments over the next four to five months. [View in browser]( . . [] [Havens Investment Letter] [] [Havens Investment Letter] [] [] [] This 12-time World Trading Champion Wants To Trade With You! He’s won the prestigious World Traders Challenge a total of 12 times... and it’s no wonder why, when he specializes in finding low-priced stocks that move 30%... 60%... even 100% in mere hours! Now he’s teaching his unique strategy to a small group of traders -- and inviting you to learn his system! [Click here to activate your trial now!]( [] --------------------------------------------------------------- [] This 12-time World Trading Champion Wants To Trade With You! He’s won the prestigious World Traders Challenge a total of 12 times... and it’s no wonder why, when he specializes in finding low-priced stocks that move 30%... 60%... even 100% in mere hours! Now he’s teaching his unique strategy to a small group of traders -- and inviting you to learn his system! [Click here to activate your trial now!]( [] --------------------------------------------------------------- [] [] Three Charts for Hurricane Weather [Garrett Pic] Momentum remains Red. The markets are still in flux after last week’s September swoon. We remain in a period of historical volatility for the markets, with ugly seasonality. Investors should remember that cash is their best friend in these markets, and hedge funds remain very short in this market. Dear Investor, Honestly, I was uncertain if we would have power at my house in Southwestern Florida on Tuesday. So, I put together this list of charts as a nice dive into the state of the markets and the economy. Today, I want to talk about three specific charts that are very important to your money. First, we’ll talk about the Federal Reserve, market volatility, and the impact of this selloff on corporate debt. Prepare yourself. Chart No. 1 – An “Unknown” Unknown… The Fed has just increased its Funds rate to 3%. This is the first time we’ve seen these levels in 14 years. Every aggressive Fed rate hike has ended in a crisis somewhere around the world… whether it’s here in the United States or in some country that most Americans can’t locate on a map. The last time the Fed pushed 2.5%, the bond market melted down (November 2018), and equities collapsed at a frantic pace (the S&P 500 fell 19.8% in December 2018). Let’s look at pre-2020 rate hikes and the calamity that ensued. As you can see, a crisis is common whenever the Fed moves very quickly. But, here’s the kicker. The Fed is raising interest rates at a pace we haven’t seen before. So, not only are we moving rates to their highest levels in more than a decade… Not only is the Fed raising rates aggressively, but that is also melting down the bond and equity markets… But also, the Federal Reserve is moving at the fastest pace of any rate cycle dating back to the 1990s. Which begs the question. What black swan event is coming? Chart No. 2 – Breaking Down Like… A Breaking Guy… Who Breaks. To give you a sense of how bad these markets are… consider this small fact. We’re getting into rarified air. The chart below offers insight into the number of consecutive days the S&P 500 traded below its 200-day moving average. This tells us that we’re really in crisis mode. We have now seen the S&P 500 remain under the 200-day moving average for more than 100 days. Despite all of the previous crises of the 2010s (Debt ceiling, China, Europe, and COVID), we still never saw the index drop under the 200-day for that long. And it’s why I continue to eye the charts aligned with the Dot-Com and the 2008 Financial Crisis. With so much aggregate demand imploding, it’s hard to see how this situation improves in the short term. Maybe. MAYBE the Fed pauses hikes in December to give us a little reprieve, and people will stop selling like the world is on fire. But the world is on fire, and I wouldn’t be shocked to see this figure surpass the Dot-Com or the Great Financial Crisis downturn, given the fight against inflation. Chart No. 3 – Junk Junk Baby… The Fed can’t step in again and start repurchasing corporate bonds, can it? Corporate bond ETFs are melting down past their COVID lows. Again, we’re spiraling toward a worse liquidity crisis than people initially thought. When will the Fed pivot? Can it be at this point without hurting its credibility? It is still not too late to get away from Bond ETFs. We may see even more selling… and my concern is that there may be no real bids if we hit a full-fledged crisis. Enjoy your day, [Garrett signature] Garrett {NAME} Chief Analyst, American Markets [] --------------------------------------------------------------- [] [] Three Charts for Hurricane Weather [Garrett Pic] Momentum remains Red. The markets are still in flux after last week’s September swoon. We remain in a period of historical volatility for the markets, with ugly seasonality. Investors should remember that cash is their best friend in these markets, and hedge funds remain very short in this market. Dear Investor, Honestly, I was uncertain if we would have power at my house in Southwestern Florida on Tuesday. So, I put together this list of charts as a nice dive into the state of the markets and the economy. Today, I want to talk about three specific charts that are very important to your money. First, we’ll talk about the Federal Reserve, market volatility, and the impact of this selloff on corporate debt. Prepare yourself. Chart No. 1 – An “Unknown” Unknown… The Fed has just increased its Funds rate to 3%. This is the first time we’ve seen these levels in 14 years. Every aggressive Fed rate hike has ended in a crisis somewhere around the world… whether it’s here in the United States or in some country that most Americans can’t locate on a map. The last time the Fed pushed 2.5%, the bond market melted down (November 2018), and equities collapsed at a frantic pace (the S&P 500 fell 19.8% in December 2018). Let’s look at pre-2020 rate hikes and the calamity that ensued. As you can see, a crisis is common whenever the Fed moves very quickly. But, here’s the kicker. The Fed is raising interest rates at a pace we haven’t seen before. So, not only are we moving rates to their highest levels in more than a decade… Not only is the Fed raising rates aggressively, but that is also melting down the bond and equity markets… But also, the Federal Reserve is moving at the fastest pace of any rate cycle dating back to the 1990s. Which begs the question. What black swan event is coming? Chart No. 2 – Breaking Down Like… A Breaking Guy… Who Breaks. To give you a sense of how bad these markets are… consider this small fact. We’re getting into rarified air. The chart below offers insight into the number of consecutive days the S&P 500 traded below its 200-day moving average. This tells us that we’re really in crisis mode. We have now seen the S&P 500 remain under the 200-day moving average for more than 100 days. Despite all of the previous crises of the 2010s (Debt ceiling, China, Europe, and COVID), we still never saw the index drop under the 200-day for that long. And it’s why I continue to eye the charts aligned with the Dot-Com and the 2008 Financial Crisis. With so much aggregate demand imploding, it’s hard to see how this situation improves in the short term. Maybe. MAYBE the Fed pauses hikes in December to give us a little reprieve, and people will stop selling like the world is on fire. But the world is on fire, and I wouldn’t be shocked to see this figure surpass the Dot-Com or the Great Financial Crisis downturn, given the fight against inflation. Chart No. 3 – Junk Junk Baby… The Fed can’t step in again and start repurchasing corporate bonds, can it? Corporate bond ETFs are melting down past their COVID lows. Again, we’re spiraling toward a worse liquidity crisis than people initially thought. When will the Fed pivot? Can it be at this point without hurting its credibility? It is still not too late to get away from Bond ETFs. We may see even more selling… and my concern is that there may be no real bids if we hit a full-fledged crisis. Enjoy your day, [Garrett signature] Garrett {NAME} Chief Analyst, American Markets --------------------------------------------------------------- [] Reclusive California Tech Wiz Reveals... the Perfect AAPL Trade [San Francisco bay]( [See the reveal of this remarkable system]( --------------------------------------------------------------- [] [] Reclusive California Tech Wiz Reveals... the Perfect AAPL Trade [San Francisco bay]( [See the reveal of this remarkable system]( --------------------------------------------------------------- [] [] [] Brilliant CBOE Trader Reveals His 50 Cent Gamma System Alan Knuckman is a veteran of CBOE and a brilliant trader featured regularly on financial TV. But now, he’s ready to reveal the 50 Cent Gamma System, which he calls his biggest breakthrough yet. 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Sign up below to learn Alan’s system for trading… [>> Click here to learn every detail]( --------------------------------------------------------------- [] [] Article Recap - [Three Charts for Hurricane Weather](#i572731) - [Brilliant CBOE Trader Reveals His 50 Cent Gamma System](#159894) --------------------------------------------------------------- [] Article Recap - [Three Charts for Hurricane Weather](#i572731) - [Brilliant CBOE Trader Reveals His 50 Cent Gamma System](#159894) --------------------------------------------------------------- [] © 2022 Godesburg Financial Publishing, Inc. DISCLAIMER: COMMUNICATIONS FROM GODESBURG FINANCIAL PUBLISHING (GFP) ARE FOR EDUCATIONAL AND INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY – NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE: GFP and all the services it offers are for educational and informational purposes only and should NOT be understood to be securities-related offers or solicitations. None of GFP’s communications should be considered or used as personalized investment advice. GFP recommends that you speak with a licensed professional before making any investment decision. RESULTS PRESENTED ARE NOT NECCESSARILY TYPICAL OR VERIFIED: GFP communications may include information regarding the historical trading performance of gurus in their services (all verified by a third party), as well as testimonials of non-employees depicting profitable investments and trades that are believed to be true based on the representations of the persons providing the testimonial of their own free will. Please be aware that the claims regarding investing or trading results of non-employees are not tracked by GFP nor can they be verified. As always, past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Therefore, results presented in this email should NOT be considered TYPICAL. Actual results can and will vary based on everything from experience, ability, risk mitigation practices, and market volatility... to the amount of money exposed in the investment or trade. Investing and trading are speculative and carry serious risk. You may lose some, all - or possibly more - than your original investment or trade. GODESBURG FINANCIAL PUBLISHING IS NOT AN INVESTMENT ADVISOR OR REGISTERED BROKER: GFP, including its owners and employees, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers, brokers, or any sort of registered investment advisors with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, any state securities regulatory authorities, or any self-regulatory organizations. GODESBURG FINANCIAL PUBLISHING EMPLOYEES MAY HOLD SECURITIES DISCUSSED: If a writer holds any securities in a communication, it will be disclosed along with the information on the potential investment or trade. 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GFP recommends that you speak with a licensed professional before making any investment decision. RESULTS PRESENTED ARE NOT NECCESSARILY TYPICAL OR VERIFIED: GFP communications may include information regarding the historical trading performance of gurus in their services (all verified by a third party), as well as testimonials of non-employees depicting profitable investments and trades that are believed to be true based on the representations of the persons providing the testimonial of their own free will. Please be aware that the claims regarding investing or trading results of non-employees are not tracked by GFP nor can they be verified. As always, past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Therefore, results presented in this email should NOT be considered TYPICAL. Actual results can and will vary based on everything from experience, ability, risk mitigation practices, and market volatility... to the amount of money exposed in the investment or trade. Investing and trading are speculative and carry serious risk. You may lose some, all - or possibly more - than your original investment or trade. GODESBURG FINANCIAL PUBLISHING IS NOT AN INVESTMENT ADVISOR OR REGISTERED BROKER: GFP, including its owners and employees, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers, brokers, or any sort of registered investment advisors with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, any state securities regulatory authorities, or any self-regulatory organizations. GODESBURG FINANCIAL PUBLISHING EMPLOYEES MAY HOLD SECURITIES DISCUSSED: If a writer holds any securities in a communication, it will be disclosed along with the information on the potential investment or trade. HIR, its owners or employees, have not been - or ever will be - paid by the issuer of a security mentioned in our services or communications. GFP, its owners and employees are paid entirely or in part from commissions based on sales of their services to subscribers. For more information, please visit [our disclaimer page here.]( Sent to: {EMAIL} [Unsubscribe]( Godesburg Financial Publishing Inc., 251 Little Falls Drive, Wilmington, DE 19808, United States