Why Momentum Remains Red

[] Momentum remains red as investors continue to sell during the Fed Open Market Committee meeting. Let’s discuss the Fed’s next move tomorrow. [View in browser]( . Momentum remains red as investors continue to sell during the Fed Open Market Committee meeting. Let’s discuss the Fed’s next move tomorrow. [View in browser]( . . [] [Havens Investment Letter] [] [Havens Investment Letter] [] [] [] World-class trader spots huge moves on regular stocks (NOT options!) He’s one of the internet’s original day traders... He’s a 12-time World Trading Champion... And for nearly 30 years, he hasn’t needed a day job! That’s because he’s made his living from the markets... spotting huge moves of 30%... 60%...and even 100% on little-known stocks! And now he’s inviting you to learn his system! [Click here to get started for just $9!]( [] --------------------------------------------------------------- [] World-class trader spots huge moves on regular stocks (NOT options!) He’s one of the internet’s original day traders... He’s a 12-time World Trading Champion... And for nearly 30 years, he hasn’t needed a day job! That’s because he’s made his living from the markets... spotting huge moves of 30%... 60%...and even 100% on little-known stocks! And now he’s inviting you to learn his system! [Click here to get started for just $9!]( [] --------------------------------------------------------------- [] [] Why Momentum Remains Red [Garrett Pic] Momentum is Red. The push to 3,900 on the S&P 500 came and went, and now we’re back in a breakdown mode. The markets have shown little resilience in pushing higher against tomorrow’s Fed meeting. Fed Chair Jerome Powell will be pumping rates to at least 3.0%, the highest level in over a decade. I’ve been sitting in cash since last week and avoided about a 9% move down. Now, I’m waiting for an oversold territory to give us a short-term bounce. Dear Investor, The S&P 500 bounced off resistance on Tuesday. Once we closed the day Monday at 3,900, we moved straight down. Tomorrow, the Federal Reserve will update the nation on monetary policy. The consensus calls for a 75-basis point hike that would bring us to 3.0%. That’s the highest level since 2008. What’s worse? It breaks the negative trend of interest rate reversions that we witnessed back in 1990. Every time that the Fed has aggressively hiked interest rates, we’ve witnessed crises around the globe or in the United States. This chart alone shows the post-1990s recession, the Dot-com bubble, the 2008 financial crisis, and the 2018 market tantrum. But we’re breaking above the trend. With the Consumer Price Index (CPI) pushing north of 8.3%, the Fed may need to push rates to the highest levels since - gulp - early 2006. If that’s the case, we have to worry about Black Swan territory for the market. Black Swan Trading If you ever watched the Big Short - you might remember the two young guys who operated an investment shop out of their garage. The premise of the strategy is that markets tend to misprice long-shot market events that could cause a dramatic move in the global markets. If we think about low-probability events that make sense in hindsight, we might think about 9/11, the COVID crisis, or the broad global adoption of the internet. There have been other events that appeared on the global markets in recent decades that few people considered possible, but they led to dramatic moves. Whether it was Russia’s invasion of Ukraine or the collapse of Long Term Capital Management, there is always a way to bet on the improbable from becoming probable. These positions also act as a very strong piece of insurance for your portfolio. One of my preferred strategies is to go out two months and purchase an S&P 500 put that trades for $1.00 on the options chain. Today, November 18, 2022, $300 put trades for roughly $1.00. Considering many challenges on the horizon and the fact that this market is teetering on the edge, this wouldn’t be a terrible bet. It represents about a 23% move on the S&P 500. But you don’t need that to happen. You only need a sharp reaction in the next two weeks. If the market tanks, this trade will pay off. If it doesn’t, then you’ve lost no more than $100 - insurance against a broad market move lower. Time to Buy Bonds? I assume now that the Fed funds rate will cap out at around 4.25%, and the Fed will allow two meetings without a rate adjustment. The United States should be in a recession by then. Specifically, I’m looking at investment-grade bonds that have unique attributes. They must operate in businesses that humans need to survive - food, energy, and medicine. I’m not interested in tech or communications bonds. In addition, I’m looking to go shopping in the mining and minerals space, while also targeting a few international currencies. I’m specifically looking for nations that are rich in resources, have little corruption, and can navigate the growing commodity crunches around the world. Think Norway. I’ll talk more about how I’ll build my rebound watch list this week. Enjoy your day, [Garrett signature] Garrett {NAME} Chief Analyst, American Markets [] --------------------------------------------------------------- [] [] Why Momentum Remains Red [Garrett Pic] Momentum is Red. The push to 3,900 on the S&P 500 came and went, and now we’re back in a breakdown mode. The markets have shown little resilience in pushing higher against tomorrow’s Fed meeting. Fed Chair Jerome Powell will be pumping rates to at least 3.0%, the highest level in over a decade. I’ve been sitting in cash since last week and avoided about a 9% move down. Now, I’m waiting for an oversold territory to give us a short-term bounce. Dear Investor, The S&P 500 bounced off resistance on Tuesday. Once we closed the day Monday at 3,900, we moved straight down. Tomorrow, the Federal Reserve will update the nation on monetary policy. The consensus calls for a 75-basis point hike that would bring us to 3.0%. That’s the highest level since 2008. What’s worse? It breaks the negative trend of interest rate reversions that we witnessed back in 1990. Every time that the Fed has aggressively hiked interest rates, we’ve witnessed crises around the globe or in the United States. This chart alone shows the post-1990s recession, the Dot-com bubble, the 2008 financial crisis, and the 2018 market tantrum. But we’re breaking above the trend. With the Consumer Price Index (CPI) pushing north of 8.3%, the Fed may need to push rates to the highest levels since - gulp - early 2006. If that’s the case, we have to worry about Black Swan territory for the market. Black Swan Trading If you ever watched the Big Short - you might remember the two young guys who operated an investment shop out of their garage. The premise of the strategy is that markets tend to misprice long-shot market events that could cause a dramatic move in the global markets. If we think about low-probability events that make sense in hindsight, we might think about 9/11, the COVID crisis, or the broad global adoption of the internet. There have been other events that appeared on the global markets in recent decades that few people considered possible, but they led to dramatic moves. Whether it was Russia’s invasion of Ukraine or the collapse of Long Term Capital Management, there is always a way to bet on the improbable from becoming probable. These positions also act as a very strong piece of insurance for your portfolio. One of my preferred strategies is to go out two months and purchase an S&P 500 put that trades for $1.00 on the options chain. Today, November 18, 2022, $300 put trades for roughly $1.00. Considering many challenges on the horizon and the fact that this market is teetering on the edge, this wouldn’t be a terrible bet. It represents about a 23% move on the S&P 500. But you don’t need that to happen. You only need a sharp reaction in the next two weeks. If the market tanks, this trade will pay off. If it doesn’t, then you’ve lost no more than $100 - insurance against a broad market move lower. Time to Buy Bonds? I assume now that the Fed funds rate will cap out at around 4.25%, and the Fed will allow two meetings without a rate adjustment. The United States should be in a recession by then. Specifically, I’m looking at investment-grade bonds that have unique attributes. They must operate in businesses that humans need to survive - food, energy, and medicine. I’m not interested in tech or communications bonds. In addition, I’m looking to go shopping in the mining and minerals space, while also targeting a few international currencies. I’m specifically looking for nations that are rich in resources, have little corruption, and can navigate the growing commodity crunches around the world. Think Norway. I’ll talk more about how I’ll build my rebound watch list this week. Enjoy your day, [Garrett signature] Garrett {NAME} Chief Analyst, American Markets --------------------------------------------------------------- [] Pick the Perfect Apple Trade -- with 70% Success Rate and a 3-to-1 Reward-to-Risk Ratio [apples in basket]( [Learn the method here]( --------------------------------------------------------------- [] [] Pick the Perfect Apple Trade -- with 70% Success Rate and a 3-to-1 Reward-to-Risk Ratio [apples in basket]( [Learn the method here]( --------------------------------------------------------------- [] [] [] Is Trading AAPL Stock and Finding Meaningful Movement Still Possible? There are thousands of stocks moving in the market every single day… But few draw the level of focus, attention, and excitement as Apple, Inc. (AAPL). AAPL is the Biggest, Richest, and One of the Most Widely Traded Stocks in the World Apple was the first company to hit a market cap of $1 trillion or more, and they now have a market cap of over $2.6 trillion. With an average daily volume of almost 90 million, it is also one of the most widely-traded companies in the world. Even Warren Buffett himself owns more a higher stake in AAPL than in any other company. All This Interest in AAPL Creates One Major Problem With so much interest in such a popular, widely discussed stock, there’s a clear problem. Is it really possible for traders to reach in and grab meaningful trade movement from AAPL shares? Can traders really hope to still trade this crown jewel of tech stocks? Thanks to a Reclusive California Tech Wiz, the Path for Trading AAPL is Clear Thanks to the work of a rogue group of former Wall Street traders, led by a brilliant California tech wiz, they can! Micah Lamar, the brain behind one of the most powerful trade-testing softwares on the planet, has uncovered what he calls “The Perfect AAPL Trade.” [>> See this remarkable system in action here <<]( With a groundbreaking combination of indicators, Micah has perfected a system that now carries an almost-70% win rate… And a reward-to-risk ratio of 3-to-1… And he recently shared that system with the public for the very first time. [Click here right away to learn everything about the Perfect Apple Trade]( --------------------------------------------------------------- [] [] [] Is Trading AAPL Stock and Finding Meaningful Movement Still Possible? There are thousands of stocks moving in the market every single day… But few draw the level of focus, attention, and excitement as Apple, Inc. (AAPL). AAPL is the Biggest, Richest, and One of the Most Widely Traded Stocks in the World Apple was the first company to hit a market cap of $1 trillion or more, and they now have a market cap of over $2.6 trillion. With an average daily volume of almost 90 million, it is also one of the most widely-traded companies in the world. Even Warren Buffett himself owns more a higher stake in AAPL than in any other company. All This Interest in AAPL Creates One Major Problem With so much interest in such a popular, widely discussed stock, there’s a clear problem. Is it really possible for traders to reach in and grab meaningful trade movement from AAPL shares? Can traders really hope to still trade this crown jewel of tech stocks? Thanks to a Reclusive California Tech Wiz, the Path for Trading AAPL is Clear Thanks to the work of a rogue group of former Wall Street traders, led by a brilliant California tech wiz, they can! Micah Lamar, the brain behind one of the most powerful trade-testing softwares on the planet, has uncovered what he calls “The Perfect AAPL Trade.” [>> See this remarkable system in action here <<]( With a groundbreaking combination of indicators, Micah has perfected a system that now carries an almost-70% win rate… And a reward-to-risk ratio of 3-to-1… And he recently shared that system with the public for the very first time. [Click here right away to learn everything about the Perfect Apple Trade]( --------------------------------------------------------------- [] [] Article Recap - [Why Momentum Remains Red](#i572731) - [Is Trading AAPL Stock and Finding Meaningful Movement Still Possible?](#156383) --------------------------------------------------------------- [] Article Recap - [Why Momentum Remains Red](#i572731) - [Is Trading AAPL Stock and Finding Meaningful Movement Still Possible?](#156383) --------------------------------------------------------------- [] © 2022 Godesburg Financial Publishing, Inc. DISCLAIMER: COMMUNICATIONS FROM GODESBURG FINANCIAL PUBLISHING (GFP) ARE FOR EDUCATIONAL AND INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY – NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE: GFP and all the services it offers are for educational and informational purposes only and should NOT be understood to be securities-related offers or solicitations. None of GFP’s communications should be considered or used as personalized investment advice. GFP recommends that you speak with a licensed professional before making any investment decision. RESULTS PRESENTED ARE NOT NECCESSARILY TYPICAL OR VERIFIED: GFP communications may include information regarding the historical trading performance of gurus in their services (all verified by a third party), as well as testimonials of non-employees depicting profitable investments and trades that are believed to be true based on the representations of the persons providing the testimonial of their own free will. Please be aware that the claims regarding investing or trading results of non-employees are not tracked by GFP nor can they be verified. As always, past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Therefore, results presented in this email should NOT be considered TYPICAL. Actual results can and will vary based on everything from experience, ability, risk mitigation practices, and market volatility... to the amount of money exposed in the investment or trade. Investing and trading are speculative and carry serious risk. You may lose some, all - or possibly more - than your original investment or trade. GODESBURG FINANCIAL PUBLISHING IS NOT AN INVESTMENT ADVISOR OR REGISTERED BROKER: GFP, including its owners and employees, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers, brokers, or any sort of registered investment advisors with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, any state securities regulatory authorities, or any self-regulatory organizations. GODESBURG FINANCIAL PUBLISHING EMPLOYEES MAY HOLD SECURITIES DISCUSSED: If a writer holds any securities in a communication, it will be disclosed along with the information on the potential investment or trade. HIR, its owners or employees, have not been - or ever will be - paid by the issuer of a security mentioned in our services or communications. GFP, its owners and employees are paid entirely or in part from commissions based on sales of their services to subscribers. For more information, please visit [our disclaimer page here.]( Sent to: {EMAIL} [Unsubscribe]( Godesburg Financial Publishing Inc., 251 Little Falls Drive, Wilmington, DE 19808, United States [] © 2022 Godesburg Financial Publishing, Inc. DISCLAIMER: COMMUNICATIONS FROM GODESBURG FINANCIAL PUBLISHING (GFP) ARE FOR EDUCATIONAL AND INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY – NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE: GFP and all the services it offers are for educational and informational purposes only and should NOT be understood to be securities-related offers or solicitations. None of GFP’s communications should be considered or used as personalized investment advice. GFP recommends that you speak with a licensed professional before making any investment decision. RESULTS PRESENTED ARE NOT NECCESSARILY TYPICAL OR VERIFIED: GFP communications may include information regarding the historical trading performance of gurus in their services (all verified by a third party), as well as testimonials of non-employees depicting profitable investments and trades that are believed to be true based on the representations of the persons providing the testimonial of their own free will. Please be aware that the claims regarding investing or trading results of non-employees are not tracked by GFP nor can they be verified. As always, past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Therefore, results presented in this email should NOT be considered TYPICAL. Actual results can and will vary based on everything from experience, ability, risk mitigation practices, and market volatility... to the amount of money exposed in the investment or trade. Investing and trading are speculative and carry serious risk. You may lose some, all - or possibly more - than your original investment or trade. GODESBURG FINANCIAL PUBLISHING IS NOT AN INVESTMENT ADVISOR OR REGISTERED BROKER: GFP, including its owners and employees, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers, brokers, or any sort of registered investment advisors with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, any state securities regulatory authorities, or any self-regulatory organizations. GODESBURG FINANCIAL PUBLISHING EMPLOYEES MAY HOLD SECURITIES DISCUSSED: If a writer holds any securities in a communication, it will be disclosed along with the information on the potential investment or trade. HIR, its owners or employees, have not been - or ever will be - paid by the issuer of a security mentioned in our services or communications. GFP, its owners and employees are paid entirely or in part from commissions based on sales of their services to subscribers. For more information, please visit [our disclaimer page here.]( Sent to: {EMAIL} [Unsubscribe]( Godesburg Financial Publishing Inc., 251 Little Falls Drive, Wilmington, DE 19808, United States